Kentucky Climate Update
Date: Monday Nov 5 2018 Re: Palmer Drought (PDSI)/Crop Moisture (CMI) Indices Near Normal Temperatures and Above Normal Rainfall: The period started with near perfect weather in place as high pressure slowly worked across the area. This feature provided dry weather, mostly sunny skies, and warming temperatures, peaking in the upper 60s to middle 70s on Tuesday. Conditions deteriorated on Halloween and the first day of November as a cold front was very slow to work through the region. Widespread rains fell across the Commonwealth, but the majority of the soaking rainfall fell across Western Kentucky and areas northeast up into the Bluegrass. Many in this area saw 2 to 4+ inches for the week. Areas to the southeast missed out on much of the rainfall as the boundary stalled and only averaged a quarter to 1 inch for the week. Additional rain fell Friday and Sunday, but with much less in the way of any accumulations. WEST KY Long-term Hydrological Moisture status is: NEAR NORMAL CENTRAL KY Long-term Hydrological Moisture status is: UNUSUAL MOIST SPELL BLUEGRASS KY Long-term Hydrological Moisture status is: VERY MOIST SPELL EAST KY Long-term Hydrological Moisture status is: UNUSUAL MOIST SPELL WEST KY Crop Moisture status is: Prospects Above Normal, Some Fields Too Wet CENTRAL KY Crop Moisture status is: Prospects Above Normal, Some Fields Too Wet BLUEGRASS KY Crop Moisture status is: Prospects Above Normal, Some Fields Too Wet EAST KY Crop Moisture status is: Favorable For Normal Growth And Fieldwork Rainfall needed above normal to end the hydrological drought: West 0.00 inches, Central 0.00 inches, Bluegrass 0.00 inches and East 0.00 inches. WEEKLY PALMER DROUGHT AND CROP MOISTURE DATA FOR THE CLIMATE DIVISIONS IN THE CENTRAL REGION CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER, NCEP, NWS, NOAA WEEK 35 OF THE 2018 GROWING SEASON IS THE WEEK ENDING 3 NOV 2018 SOIL PCT MONTH PRELIM-P PRECIP MOISTURE FIELD CHANGE MOIST FINAL -F NEEDED UPPER LOWER CAP. POT RUN CROP FROM ANOM PALMER TO END TEMP PCPN LAYER LAYER END EVAP OFF MOIST PREV (Z) DROUGHT DROUGHT ST CD CLIMATE DIVISION (F) (IN) (IN) (IN) WEEK (IN) (IN) INDEX WEEK INDEX INDEX (IN) KY 1 WESTERN 54.1 2.47 1.00 5.44 71.6 0.33 0.00 1.39 1.26 2.74 1.15 F KY 2 CENTRAL 53.9 1.33 1.00 8.00 100.0 0.34 0.99 1.63 0.43 2.89 2.82 F KY 3 BLUEGRASS 52.8 1.82 1.00 8.00 100.0 0.32 1.50 1.72 1.18 2.78 3.59 F KY 4 EASTERN 52.4 0.33 1.00 5.00 100.0 0.31 0.02 0.45 -0.54 1.94 2.70 FNote: In the "Precip Needed to End Drought" column...that rainfall is needed ABOVE NORMAL./K. Thomas Priddy, UKAWC
for the entire list of ag. weather observations across Kentucky.
Updated Tuesday Evening, November 13, 2018
...Rain/Light Snow Ending Today, Wintery Mix Later Tomorrow & Thursday...
Radar is clear late this afternoon, but mostly cloudy skies remains. This feature has kept highs in the 30s today. Look for those temperatures to dip into the middle to upper 20s tonight and stay in the upper 30s to low 40s tomorrow. Bottom line, below normal temperatures are sticking around.
Precipitation chances increase Wednesday evening and carry over into the day on Thursday with a disturbance passing aloft. This system is expected to bring a wintry mix to much of the region, mainly Wednesday night. Freezing rain and sleet accumulations will be possible with this event and impact morning commutes for portions of Central Kentucky and the Bluegrass, while snow appears to be a better bet across Western Kentucky. Stay tuned for a morning update tomorrow!
Kentucky Weather Forecast
Fayette County Precision Ag. Weather Forecast