Kentucky Climate Update
Date: Monday Dec 31 2018 Re: Palmer Drought (PDSI)/Crop Moisture (CMI) Indices Above Normal Temperatures and Below Normal Precipitation: Mild weather highlighted the final week of 2018. The first half of the week, including the Christmas holiday, was dry for the Bluegrass State with high temperatures increasing through the 40s and into the 50s. Widespread showers returned on Thursday and Thursday night as a couple disturbances moved through the state. Winds did get very breezy with gusts in excess of 40s mph and isolated 50 mph wind gusts. Overall, this was the only rain event for the week as the state averaged 0.58 inches. Mild and dry conditions returned over the weekend with above normal temperatures back in place. Kentucky ended up closing 2018 with three straight weeks of above normal temperatures. WEST KY Long-term Hydrological Moisture status is: NEAR NORMAL CENTRAL KY Long-term Hydrological Moisture status is: VERY MOIST SPELL BLUEGRASS KY Long-term Hydrological Moisture status is: EXTREME MOIST SPELL EAST KY Long-term Hydrological Moisture status is: EXTREME MOIST SPELL WEST KY Crop Moisture status is: Favorable, Except Still Too Wet In Spots CENTRAL KY Crop Moisture status is: Favorable, Except Still Too Wet In Spots BLUEGRASS KY Crop Moisture status is: Favorable, Except Still Too Wet In Spots EAST KY Crop Moisture status is: More Dry Weather Needed, Work Delayed Rainfall needed above normal to end the hydrological drought: West 0.00 inches, Central 0.00 inches, Bluegrass 0.00 inches and East 0.00 inches. WEEKLY PALMER DROUGHT AND CROP MOISTURE DATA FOR THE CLIMATE DIVISIONS IN THE CENTRAL REGION CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER, NCEP, NWS, NOAA WEEK 43 OF THE 2018 GROWING SEASON IS THE WEEK ENDING 29 DEC 2018 SOIL PCT MONTH PRELIM-P PRECIP MOISTURE FIELD CHANGE MOIST FINAL -F NEEDED UPPER LOWER CAP. POT RUN CROP FROM ANOM PALMER TO END TEMP PCPN LAYER LAYER END EVAP OFF MOIST PREV (Z) DROUGHT DROUGHT ST CD CLIMATE DIVISION (F) (IN) (IN) (IN) WEEK (IN) (IN) INDEX WEEK INDEX INDEX (IN) KY 1 WESTERN 41.4 0.66 1.00 8.00 100.0 0.08 0.58 1.28 -0.11 0.47 1.70 P KY 2 CENTRAL 41.2 0.95 1.00 8.00 100.0 0.08 0.87 1.76 -0.03 0.57 3.90 F KY 3 BLUEGRASS 39.7 0.57 1.00 8.00 100.0 0.07 0.50 1.34 -0.33 0.73 4.44 P KY 4 EASTERN 39.5 1.02 1.00 5.00 100.0 0.06 0.96 2.17 -0.25 1.98 4.12 FNote: In the "Precip Needed to End Drought" column...that rainfall is needed ABOVE NORMAL./K. Thomas Priddy, UKAWC
for the entire list of ag. weather observations across Kentucky.
Updated Thursday Evening, January 17, 2019
......Heavy Rain and Flooding Saturday...Sharply Colder Saturday Night with Winter Mix and then Snow...
.........Bitter Cold Sunday thru Monday Morning with BRRR Wind Chills....
Light showers will push off to the east this evening and overnight, leading to dry conditions for the end of the work week. Kentucky will see similar temperatures tomorrow with highs low to middle 40s.
A much stronger system will bring more substantial rain, heavy at times, Friday night into Saturday. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches are expected and could lead to localized flooding on creeks, streams, and low-lying areas, along with rises on some rivers.
A changeover to snow is expected from the northwest Saturday afternoon and evening as much colder arctic air arrives behind a strong cold front. Gusty northwest winds will result in wind chill readings in the single digits by late Saturday night and Sunday morning. Some snow accumulation is possible Sunday.
Temperatures plummet 20 to 30 degrees Saturday night and bitter cold temperatures continue into Monday morning. Livestock Cold Stress will plunge into the Emergency Category during this period.Wind chills Sunday will only be from 5-15, and from 3 below to 5 above zero early Monday morning.
Kentucky Weather Forecast
Fayette County Precision Ag. Weather Forecast