Mon Sep 24 13:02:23 EDT 2018 ... =-=-=-=-=-=->-=-=-=-=-=- What is UTC time? Click here to find out.... Mouseover to pause!......Kentucky Short-term forecast... Western KY .TODAY...Showers in the morning, then showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Central KY ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .REST OF TODAY...Showers late in the morning, then showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. Eastern KY ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .REST OF TODAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms early, then showers and a chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall early. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall during the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds. Chance of rain 80 percent. Detailed forecast information is available in your Precision Ag Weather forecast here... -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- Long-range outlooks here.
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Current Ag Weather Conditions

Based on observations at 1200pm EDT, Monday September 24, 2018

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 74 degrees west, near 70 degrees central, and near 68 degrees east. Current sky conditions are light rain west, light rain central, and light rain east. In the west, relative humidity is near 91%, and the dew point is near 71 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 90%, and the dew point is near 67 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 66 degrees. Current drying conditions are poor west, poor central, and poor east. The livestock heat stress category is no stress west, no stress central, and no stress east. There is patchy fog west and central. Winds are from the south at 5 mph west, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. Winds are from the southeast at 12 mph with gusts at 20 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds and light rain. Winds are variable at 3 mph east, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 74 degrees at Paducah. The lowest temperature is 68 degrees at Somerset, Jackson, and Covington.
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796 
ASUS43 KLMK 241610
RWRKY 
KENTUCKY REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1200 PM EDT MON SEP 24 2018

NOTE "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

KYZ001>023-026-027-061>063-070>075-241700-
WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
PADUCAH        LGT RAIN  74  71  91 S5        29.99S FOG              
HENDERSON      LGT RAIN  71  70  96 S10       30.01R                  
OWENSBORO      RAIN      71  70  96 S9        30.02S FOG              
HOPKINSVILLE   DRIZZLE   72  72 100 S5        30.04S                  
BOWLING GREEN  LGT RAIN  73  72  96 S8        30.05S                  
GLASGOW        LGT RAIN  72  69  89 S6        30.07R                  
$$

KYZ024-025-028>034-038-045-046-053-241700-
NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LOUISVILLE/SDF LGT RAIN  70  69  97 SE9       30.06S FOG              
LOUISVILLE/LOU RAIN      72  71  97 E8        30.07S FOG              
FORT KNOX      RAIN      69  69 100 SE5       30.07S FOG              
$$

KYZ035>037-039>044-047>052-055>060-089>105-241700-
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LEXINGTON      LGT RAIN  70  67  90 SE12G20   30.12S FOG              
COVINGTON      LGT RAIN  68  68 100 SE10      30.12S FOG              
FRANKFORT      LGT RAIN  71  69  93 SE9       30.09F FOG              
$$

KYZ054-064>069-076>088-106>120-241700-
SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
JACKSON        LGT RAIN  68  66  93 VRB3      30.17S                  
LONDON         LGT RAIN  70  70 100 SE5       30.16R                  
SOMERSET       LGT RAIN  68  68 100 S7        30.14F                  
MIDDLESBORO    RAIN      71  71  98 CALM      30.18R                  
MONTICELLO     LGT RAIN  69  68  96 SE10      30.13F                  
$$

  





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For the forecasted weather conditions in Kentucky this coming week, click here.
Kentucky Short-Term Summary



Error Openning File: [ /ldmdata/discussions/AWUS83.KLMK ]

 


Error Openning File: [ /ldmdata/discussions/AWUS83.KJKL ]

 


Error Openning File: [ /ldmdata/discussions/AWUS83.KPAH ]

 

LMK

	

140 
FXUS63 KLMK 241312
AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
912 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.Forecast Update...
Issued at 910 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018

Rain is over almost all of the forecast area at this time. Have 
bumped up pops most locations as such. Otherwise, blending toward 
the latest hi-res models for the rest of the day and tonight. Just 
issued a Flood Advisory for the metro area based on persistent 
moderate rains causing some ponding of water on roadways. Otherwise, 
will be watching for more of the 3 to 6-hour flash flood guidance 
numbers being exceeded as rain rates over the course of an hour are 
relatively low.

As for severe chances, still watching the warm frontal location, now 
roughly along the I-64 corridor. Kentucky Mesonet temperatures are 
in the lower 70s across south Kentucky, but that area likely will 
stay cloudy most of the day. HRRR has been showing a north/south 
line forming and heading east across central and eastern KY later 
this afternoon. Will have to watch this line for stronger storm 
potential, given good shear along and just south of the warm front.

&&

.Short Term...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 340 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TODAY...
...CONDITIONAL THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

Early morning surface analysis reveals mostly cloudy conditions 
across the region.  Effective warm frontal boundary was located over 
southern KY as evidenced by temps near 70 degrees along the KY/TN 
border and decreasing into the lower 60s across southern IN.  Mid-
level perturbation is forecast to lift northward this morning and 
lead to an enhancement of rainfall across the region later this 
morning.  We're already seeing evidence of that with heavier showers 
moving into southern KY/Lake Cumberland region.

As the day wears on, the effective warm frontal boundary will 
continue to lift northward toward the Ohio River before stalling 
out.  Widespread rainfall is expected across the region this morning 
and into the afternoon hours.  By the afternoon, we'll be focusing 
on a conditional threat for some severe weather.  With warm front 
just north of the Ohio River, we'll see low-level winds pick up out 
of the south while surface winds remain generally out of the 
southeast.  This results in a curved low-level hodograph which may 
lead to some stronger storms obtaining some rotation.  The 
conditional threat exists due to uncertainty with regards to 
instability.  Widespread rainfall and clouds look to limit 
instability to an extent.  Marginal risk from SPC seems well placed 
and we agree that the main threats would be some marginally severe 
winds gusts, with an isolated supercell or two if sufficient 
instability develops. Highs today will likely range from about 73 to 
78 in most areas.  QPF amounts could be hefty in some locations.  In 
general, we're forecasting between one half and one and a quarter 
inches of rainfall today.  Some locally higher amounts are possible 
and this will only aggravate ongoing flooding issues across the 
region.

For tonight, cloudy skies will remain in place with patchy fog. 
Scattered rain showers are likely once again to develop overnight 
resulting in additional rainfall amounts of a quarter to a half 
inch.  Lows will be in the upper 60s to the lower 70s.

.Long Term...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Updated at 405 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...Heavy Rainfall and Strong Thunderstorms Tuesday - Tuesday Night...

Central Kentucky and southern Indiana will remain in a wet pattern 
Tuesday into Wednesday. In the upper levels, a pronounced trough 
centered over the Northern Plains and Canada will propagate eastward 
toward the Midwest and Great Lakes. Subtropical ridging to our south 
and southeast will result in broad SW flow, and our steady stream of 
Gulf moisture will continue. The latest models are showing a steady 
25 kt jet at 850 mb throughout Tuesday. At the surface, the primary 
low will actually be a deepening Hudson Bay cyclone, but a secondary 
wave is likely to get organized over the western Great Lakes. A 
fairly stout cold front will advance southeast into the Midwest 
region on Tuesday, placing the lower Ohio Valley well within the 
warm sector. 

Warm/moist advection should allow sfc dewpoints to climb into the 
lower 70s. This surge of moisture and isentropic upglide, combined 
with general synoptic-scale forcing associated with cyclonic flow, 
should allow for another round of scattered to numerous showers. 
However, we will lack strong low-level forcing prior to the arrival 
of the cold front Wednesday morning. So as the SPC Day 2 discussion 
mentions, the focus for convective initiation remains unclear. But 
there is a conditional threat for strong to severe thunderstorms out 
ahead of the cold front Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night. 
Instability is a big question mark here. Majority of model guidance 
would suggest an abundance of low to mid level clouds, limiting 
insolation. But a few models hint at partial clearing, perhaps over 
the eastern or southeastern forecast area. But would prefer not to 
assume too much about the mesoscale environment at this point. 

Convection that is able to develop will have 25-30 kts of deep layer 
shear to work with initially, increasing to 30-40 kts after 00z Wed. 
Forecast soundings show a veered wind profile and high precipitable 
water. The main threats appear to be flash flooding and isolated 
damaging winds. This convection will be capable of torrential 
rainfall, which could lead to serious issues given already saturated 
soils in many areas. Folks should heed any road closures Tuesday 
night, and some flooding will likely continue through the Wednesday 
morning commute. 

By Wednesday morning, the cold front is sweeping through with the
bulk of the rainfall pushing east of I-65. Breezy northwest winds
are forecast to develop behind the front with a brief shot of 
cold advection. After a mild, warm Tue night, temps won't move 
much on Wednesday. Lows Wednesday night are forecast to drop into 
the 50s, ranging from the low 50s in southern Indiana to near 60 
at the TN border. We'll see one more wave aloft swing through Thu 
into Thu night, but most areas should remain dry. May keep a small
PoP in the Lake Cumberland region. Friday through the weekend, 
the main baroclinic zone is forecast to setup well northwest of 
the region over the Plains and Upper Midwest. Meanwhile, 
subtropical ridging will build over the Southeast U.S. So we 
should finally get some sun and see highs climb back into the 70s 
and 80s.

&&

.Aviation...(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 640 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018

Poor flying conditions are expected to continue across the region 
today as an upper level disturbance lifts northward across the 
region.  Widespread rain showers will affect the terminals this 
morning and into the afternoon hours.  Effective warm front is 
forecast to lift toward the Ohio River by this afternoon.  Scattered 
thunderstorms will be possible in the afternoon and into the evening 
hours.  Overall thunderstorm coverage looks to be isolated, so plan 
on keeping VCTS in the TAFs for now.  Ceilings this morning at 
KSDF/KHNB/KLEX will likely remain in the IFR/MVFR range with mainly 
MVFR vsbys due to rain.  Down at KBWG, a mix of varying conditions 
looks likely with ceilings fluctuating in the MVFR/VFR range, but 
are forecast to drop back into the IFR range.  Winds today will be 
out of the southeast at 7-10 knots.


&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for INZ078-079-084-
     089>092.

KY...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for KYZ023>043-
     045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082.

&&

$$

Update...RJS
Short Term...MJ
Long Term....EBW
Aviation.....MJ


JKL

	

605 
FXUS63 KJKL 241540
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1140 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1140 AM EDT MON SEP 24 2018

Updated NDFD/forecast based on latest observational trends. The
main change was to increase rain chances in the southeast near VA
and TN where a large area of rain was spreading across the area.
The heaviest rains this afternoon into tonight still look to 
focus on the northwest half of the forecast area. Will be 
considering extending the flash flood watch in time, and possibly 
a little in areal extent as well. 


UPDATE Issued at 753 AM EDT MON SEP 24 2018

We continue to see areas of showers with pockets of moderate to at
times heavy rain moving across portions of eastern Kentucky. The
overall trend still looks like we will see additional heavy
rainfall move into the Bluegrass region this afternoon. Adjusted
the POPs to better match the latest obs and trends, but the grids
are in reasonable shape so far this morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 435 AM EDT MON SEP 24 2018

The morning surface analysis shows a warm front or perhaps surface
trough lifting north across the Lower Ohio Valley. In the upper 
levels, you have several waves in the 500mb flow and reasonable 
divergence aloft bring a slug of precipitation northward this 
morning. The good new this morning has been the rates have been 
around a quarter inch or less with isolated higher amounts at 
times in more robust convection. his afternoon the low level jet 
will increase bringing PWATs to around 2 inches and this will 
coincide with reasonable divergence aloft particularly across the 
Bluegrass region. This will lead to the continued potential for at
times heavy rainfall particularly across those Bluegrass regions 
and right along the CWA border with LMK. Given this and issuance 
of a slight to moderate day 1 excessive rainfall outlook will 
continue to FFA until 00Z. Given the lack of support for more in 
the southeast portions of the CWA will probably allow our current 
ESF to expire and see how additions precipitation lines up over 
the coming days.

Tonight do have the POPs lowering to likely, but could see the
need for an increase in POPs given the persistent low level jet
and higher PWAT values. However, you do see a decrease in the
upper level divergence through the evening. The one other issue
tonight will also be the potential for isolated thunderstorms 
given the increasing instability behind the lifting warm front. 
On Tuesday, do keep the POPs in the likely range mainly in the
northwest portions of the CWA given the persistent southerly 
flow. The better chances for stronger storms will be northwest of 
the region where better height falls and CAPE/shear balance 
reside. However, marginal risk presented by SPC in the far north 
mostly north of I-64 is not unreasonable. Again, instances of 
heavy rainfall with some of this convection remains the primary 
concern at this point.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 417 AM EDT MON SEP 24 2018

The extended period will begin as a deep trough over the central 
CONUS with progressive shortwaves makes its way eastward. At the 
surface, a cold front will approach the Commonwealth, bringing 
increased chances for showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday. The 
GFS shows 20-30 knots of shear and around 1000 J/kg of MUCAPE, 
along with a 30-40 knot LLJ early Wednesday. The ECMWF is a little
more conservative, with only about 20 knots of shear for the same
time frame. PWATs for this system are between 1.8 and 2.0 inches 
according to the GFS and around 1.75 from the ECMWF. With 
persistence and fair model agreement, stuck close with likely PoPs
given by the Blend for Wednesday. However, the main question will
be the timing of the FROPA. Showers and the potential for a few 
thunderstorms in the far southeast along the TN and VA borders 
will linger through Thursday as the cold front stalls to the 
southeast of Kentucky. As both surface high pressure and upper 
level ridging build in, drier conditions will take hold for the 
end of the work week and through the weekend.

High temperatures will be around seasonal norms Wednesday and 
Thursday, but increase to be above normal by the weekend. Low 
temperatures will be above normal for the beginning of the 
extended, then decrease to generally be around seasonal norms 
through the first part of the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
ISSUED AT 720 AM EDT MON SEP 24 2018

A surface boundary will continue to push north today and interact
with multiple upper level features leading to period of showers
today. We continue to see erosion of the lower CIGs this morning 
with a few locations in the north still seeing low lingering lower
CIGs. Overall most sites will see some improvements through mid 
morning, but we could see at least some lowering CIGs with heavier
rain showers mainly in the afternoon. Did opt to add VCTS this 
afternoon at most of the TAF sites. The winds will remain light
through the period.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for KYZ044-050>052-
058>060-068-069-079-080-083-104-106>109-111-112-114-119.

&&

$$

UPDATE...SBH
SHORT TERM...DJ
LONG TERM...CGAL
AVIATION...DJ

      
PAH

	
286 
FXUS63 KPAH 240836
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
336 AM CDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday night)
Issued at 330 AM CDT Mon Sep 24 2018

We will transition into more of a warm sector environment today as
a warm front lifts north through the region and sfc winds turn 
more southerly. Surface dew points will also climb into the upper
half of the 60s to near 70. Numerous showers will be ongoing early
today as the front moves through, especially over the Pennyrile
region of western KY, where we will maintain the ongoing flash
flood watch through the day. However, if we manage to get a bit 
of heating during afternoon, we may see a few stronger 
thunderstorms get going within an increasingly sheared environment
ahead of another mid level short wave moving east toward the 
lower OH River Valley. As such, SPC has maintained its marginal 
risk for severe over much of western KY and sw IN.

Uncertainty continues regarding the potential for severe storms 
Tuesday/Tuesday evening ahead of an advancing cold front off to 
our nw. Much of this time, our region will be well out ahead of
the front in the warm sector. Current thinking is that the main
risk for severe storms will lie along the sfc front Tuesday
afternoon off to our north. In addition, there could be 
considerable cloud cover which would inhibit low level 
destabilization. However, if storms do mange to initiate within
the warm sector, there would be enough shear to support organized
cells, with damaging wind gusts the main storm threat, especially
over the northern half of the forecast area during the late
afternoon and evening.

Once the front moves through the region Tuesday night, drier air
will work its way in as high pressure presses south through the
Midwest and Plains states. Though most locations will be rainfree
Wednesday, there is some question as to how quickly skies will 
clear and thus how much sun to expect. Most locations should see
high temps in the 70s. 

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 330 AM CDT Mon Sep 24 2018

Expect mainly dry conditions with a slow warming trend Thursday 
through the weekend. At the start of the period (Thursday), a large 
500 mb low over Canada will dominate much of the conus. By the 
weekend, a subtropical ridge over the Southeast will expand north 
and northwest. This ridge will bring warmer and more humid 
conditions for the weekend.

On Thursday, there will be considerable morning cloudiness as a 500 
mb trough rotates east-northeast across the lower Ohio Valley. An 
area of weak high pressure at the surface should inhibit any precip 
potential. The cool high pressure and the clouds will combine to 
limit highs to the lower and mid 70s. Overnight lows will be in the 
mid 50s.

On Friday, the surface high will retreat east across the upper Ohio 
Valley as the upper ridge expands northward. This will result in 
abundant sunshine, light winds, and highs in the mid/upper 70s. 

Over the weekend, a surface front will be located between the 
subtropical ridge and the Canadian upper-level low. The model 
guidance keeps this front well to our north Saturday, then the 00z 
ecmwf and gefs mean bring the weakening front south to the lower 
Ohio Valley on Sunday. The forecast will contain slight chance pops 
for some areas Sunday due to the proximity of the front. The 00z 
ecmwf qpf suggests some instability driven convection is possible 
even on Saturday, but this model is an outlier. Highs will be around 
80 this weekend, with lows in the lower 60s. 


&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 702 PM CDT Sun Sep 23 2018

A mid level disturbance will rotate through the region over the
next 24 hours as a warm front lifts north across the area late 
tonight into Monday morning. This will result in our next round of
showers tonight into at least Monday morning. A slight increase in
elevated instability may yield a few rumbles of thunder, but this
is not included in the current TAFs due to anticipated isolated 
nature. A mix of MVFR and IFR ceilings should trend towards mainly
IFR with occasional LIFR restrictions overnight into mid morning 
Monday, particularly in heavier bursts of rain. An improvement to 
MVFR ceilings is forecast by midday as winds turn southerly in 
the wake of the warm frontal passage.


&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for KYZ008-009-011>013-
     016-017-019>022.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GM
LONG TERM...MY
AVIATION...RJP

     
 

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 1200pm EDT, Monday September 24, 2018

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 74 degrees west, near 70 degrees central, and near 68 degrees east. Current sky conditions are light rain west, light rain central, and light rain east. In the west, relative humidity is near 91%, and the dew point is near 71 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 90%, and the dew point is near 67 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 66 degrees. Current drying conditions are poor west, poor central, and poor east. The livestock heat stress category is no stress west, no stress central, and no stress east. There is patchy fog west and central. Winds are from the south at 5 mph west, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. Winds are from the southeast at 12 mph with gusts at 20 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds and light rain. Winds are variable at 3 mph east, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 74 degrees at Paducah. The lowest temperature is 68 degrees at Somerset, Jackson, and Covington. Click here for the entire list of ag. weather observations across Kentucky.

  
Updated Monday, September 24, 2018

...Unsettled Conditions Continue Through Mid-Week; Heavy Rain Expected...

Periods of showers and thunderstorms are expected to move across the region today through Wednesday. Excessive rainfall is expected through the period.

Additional waves of showers and a few thunderstorms are expected Tuesday and Wednesday. These showers and storms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall and gusty winds. Rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches will be possible through Wednesday afternoon. Localized flooding of small creeks and streams is likely with the most intense rainfall.

Kentucky Weather Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

Specific and detailed farm-by-farm weather forecast information is available in your Point Ag Forecast. New County Ag Weather Page, Current Conditions:Kentucky
, U.S.

 Across the Commonwealth...
Western KY .TODAY...Showers in the morning, then showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Central KY ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .REST OF TODAY...Showers late in the morning, then showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. Eastern KY ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .REST OF TODAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms early, then showers and a chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall early. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall during the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds. Chance of rain 80 percent.
Across the Commonwealth for the next week...

WESTERN KY AREA (including Paducah):

     
Mon Sep 24 04:59:14 EDT 2018

McCracken-
Including the city of Paducah
358 AM CDT Mon Sep 24 2018

.TODAY...Showers in the morning, then showers likely and a slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening, then showers and thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely in the morning, then
a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in
the lower 80s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers in the
morning. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. 


 

--------------------------------------------------------------------

CENTRAL KY AREA (including Louisville and Lexington):

  
   
Mon Sep 24 09:15:12 EDT 2018

Fayette-
Including the city of Lexington
914 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...Showers late in the morning, then showers and 
slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Some 
thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall in the afternoon. Highs 
in the lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. Chance of 
precipitation near 100 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Some
thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Near steady temperature
in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of
precipitation 90 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Some
thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Some
thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Lows in the upper 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 70. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 


--------------------------------------------------------------------

EASTERN KY AREA (including Jackson):

  
Mon Sep 24 10:59:21 EDT 2018

Breathitt-
Including the city of Jackson
1059 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms early, then showers and a chance of thunderstorms
during the afternoon. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy
rainfall early. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall
during the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds. Chance
of rain 80 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms in the evening,
then a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
late. Lows in the mid 60s. Light winds. Chance of rain
90 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 80.
Light winds. Chance of rain 60 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely and a
slight chance of thunderstorms late. Lows in the upper 60s. Light
winds. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy. Showers likely in the morning, then showers
likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. 


Kentucky Medium & Long Range Outlook:

KENTUCKY --------------------------------------------- 6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY SEP 29-OCT 3 OCT 1-OCT 7 SEP SEP-NOV ----------- ----------- -------- --------- Temperature: Above Above Above Above Precipitation: Above Above Normal Normal .... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
Click
here for the outlook maps.

And here's the UK Ag, Lawn and Garden Forecast...




WEST - Hazardous Weather
Mon Sep 24 12:42:31 EDT 2018 Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 1141 AM CDT Mon Sep 24 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect today for portions of western Kentucky. Refer to the Watch for details. A chance of thunderstorms is forecast this afternoon. Deadly lightning and locally heavy rainfall will be the main thunderstorm hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday A slight risk of severe thunderstorms is forecast for Tuesday afternoon and evening. The primary severe storm hazard is expected to be damaging wind gusts. Otherwise, lightning and heavy rain will remain the primary storm hazards. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is possible Tuesday afternoon or evening.
CENTRAL - Hazardous Weather
Mon Sep 24 04:07:07 EDT 2018 Scott-Jefferson-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-Floyd-Clark-Hancock- Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Oldham-Trimble-Henry- Shelby-Franklin-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas- Nelson-Washington-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard- Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren- Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland- Clinton- Including the cities of Scottsburg, Madison, English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany 406 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018 /306 AM CDT Mon Sep 24 2018/ ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... This hazardous weather outlook is for all of central Kentucky and most of south-central Indiana. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Periods of showers and a few thunderstorms are expected across the outlook area today and tonight. Heavy rainfall can be expected with this activity. Some stronger storms will be possible this afternoon and evening which may produce gusty winds and lightning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Additional waves of showers and a few thunderstorms are expected Tuesday and Wednesday. These showers and storms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall and gusty winds. Rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches will be possible through Wednesday afternoon. Localized flooding of small creeks and streams is likely with the most intense rainfall. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters should report any heavy rainfall totals as well as flooding over the next several days.
EAST - Hazardous Weather
Mon Sep 24 13:00:09 EDT 2018 Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle- Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Elliott-Morgan- Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Breathitt-Owsley-Clay-Martin- Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, Jackson, Booneville, Manchester, and Inez 1259 PM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight. Periods of showers and thunderstorms could lead to heavy rainfall and flooding through tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Thunderstorms will be possible at times from Tuesday through Thursday. On Tuesday and Wednesday some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall, with a few storms also capable of producing strong winds and hail. The greatest threat remains flooding, with flooding of creeks and streams being possible through Wednesday. The greatest threat for river flooding will be along the Red River. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report any instances of flooding.