Fri Apr 28 15:52:05 EDT 2017 ... =-=-=-=-=-=->-=-=-=-=-=- What is UTC time? Click here to find out.... Mouseover to pause!......Kentucky Short-term forecast... Western KY ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH .THIS AFTERNOON...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around 10 mph. Central KY .THIS AFTERNOON...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds, large hail, tornadoes, and heavy rainfall. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Eastern KY .REST OF TODAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Detailed forecast information is available in your Precision Ag Weather forecast here... -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- Long-range outlooks here.
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Current Ag Weather Conditions

Based on observations at 300pm EDT, Friday April 28, 2017

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 75 degrees west, near 77 degrees central, and near 81 degrees east. Current sky conditions are cloudy west, mostly sunny central, and cloudy east. In the west, relative humidity is near 70%, and the dew point is near 65 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 46%, and the dew point is near 55 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 39%, and the dew point is near 54 degrees. Current drying conditions are fair west, good central, and good east. Winds are from the south at 7 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are variable at 3 mph east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 81 degrees at Somerset, Jackson, and Bowling Green. The lowest temperature is 70 degrees at Covington.
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182 
ASUS43 KLMK 281910
RWRKY 
KENTUCKY REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
300 PM EDT FRI APR 28 2017

NOTE "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

KYZ001>023-026-027-061>063-070>075-282000-
WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
PADUCAH        CLOUDY    75  65  70 S7        29.77F                  
HENDERSON      PTSUNNY   72  59  63 SE9       29.83F                  
OWENSBORO      CLOUDY    75  61  61 SE14      29.85F                  
HOPKINSVILLE   CLOUDY    72  68  88 S7        29.85F                  
BOWLING GREEN  PTSUNNY   81  66  60 S14       29.89F                  
GLASGOW        PTSUNNY   79  62  55 S10G16    29.92F                  
$$

KYZ024-025-028>034-038-045-046-053-282000-
NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LOUISVILLE/SDF CLOUDY    75  58  55 SE8       29.90F                  
LOUISVILLE/LOU CLOUDY    75  59  57 S8        29.91F                  
FORT KNOX      CLOUDY    75  60  58 SE10      29.89F                  
$$

KYZ035>037-039>044-047>052-055>060-089>105-282000-
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LEXINGTON      MOSUNNY   77  55  46 CALM      29.95F                  
COVINGTON      CLOUDY    70  55  59 SE9       29.96F                  
FRANKFORT      CLOUDY    77  54  44 S3        29.93F                  
$$

KYZ054-064>069-076>088-106>120-282000-
SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
JACKSON        CLOUDY    81  54  39 VRB3      29.97F                  
LONDON         SUNNY     80  56  43 S12G20    29.96F                  
SOMERSET       MOSUNNY   81  57  44 S13       29.94F                  
MIDDLESBORO    MOSUNNY   80  61  51 S7G18     29.99F                  
MONTICELLO     PTCLDY    81  61  50 SE10G18   29.95S                  
$$

  





Mouseover to pause!...... -=-=-=-=-=-=-Severe Weather Safety Tips Click Here-=-=-=-=-=- Detailed forecast information is available in your Precision Ag Weather forecast here... -=-=-=-=-=-=-Severe Weather Safety Tips Here-=-=-=-=-=- Long-range outlooks here. =-=-=-=-

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For the forecasted weather conditions in Kentucky this coming week, click here.
Kentucky Short-Term Summary



Error Openning File: [ /ldmdata/discussions/AWUS83.KLMK ]

 


Error Openning File: [ /ldmdata/discussions/AWUS83.KJKL ]

 


Error Openning File: [ /ldmdata/discussions/AWUS83.KPAH ]

 

LMK

	

180 
FXUS63 KLMK 281817
AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
217 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.Short Term...(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 215 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...Severe Storms Forecast for Late this Afternoon through Tonight...

Have a nice clear slot over southern KY early this afternoon, 
allowing for a nice pocket of instability for the warm front that's 
lifting quickly northward now to take advantage of. Expect storms to 
start developing in the next hour or two with an increase in 
coverage especially along the front this evening. Forecast soundings 
continue to increase confidence in supercells developing in this 
environment, with large hail and damaging winds and a tornado 
threat, especially along the warm front. This evening, NCAR ensemble 
0-3 km storm relative helicity was over 300 m2/s2 with 0-1 km shear 
vectors around 40 knots, indicative of good low-level rotation 
potential. These values would satisfy a local study on potential for 
tornadoes developing within supercells. 

Tonight, we could see a brief break in precip before they redevelop 
again as a low-level jet focuses convergence somewhere over or just 
north of the Ohio River. This new development and its potential 
persistence was the main reason a Flash Flood Watch was issued 
earlier today. Precipitable waters in the 1.7-2 inch range will make 
for very heavy rains coming out of these storms, so rainfall totals 
around 3 inches are possible, if not a little more, over the watch 
area by this time tomorrow.

By late morning Saturday, we should see those rains taper off, 
especially as the warm frontal boundary looks to lift a little 
farther north. By afternoon, we should get another pool of surface-
based CAPE. Near record temperatures are forecast for highs, and 
even warm lows (see Climate section below). A cap should be in place 
tomorrow though, that will keep most from taking advantage of it. 
The GFS and WRF-ARW are the only models showing any QPF in our area. 
Some of the better performing models for rain chances the last few 
months would argue for a narrow stripe of isolated to scattered 
storms across our northern counties in Indiana (i.e., Dubois to 
Jefferson) and a secondary isolated area over Lake Cumberland.

&&

.Long Term...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 215 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...Another Round of Heavy Rain and Some Severe Potential Late 
Sunday...

After another warmer morning Sunday, again potential breaking warm 
min records, we should be dry for most of the day. Models are in 
pretty good agreement on this scenario, bringing in storms ahead of 
a north/south-oriented cold front Sunday night. Given another near 
record warm day, these storms should have plenty of available 
instability to allow for strong to severe potential at least in the 
evening hours, perhaps late into the overnight as well. Precipitable 
water levels once again will surge into the 1.7-2 inch range, so 
another round of flash flooding is possible. 

Monday looks like a chillier day, as a large upper low moves into 
the Great Lakes. We'll have southwest winds, but much lower low-
level thicknesses, to bring temperatures to below normal for highs. 
The cooler weather likely will persist most of the week, as that 
upper low slowly heads northeast and then gets replaced by another 
meridional trough for late week. We may see some cool precip with 
this transition from mid to late week. Did not make any changes to 
the blended forecast for now.

&&

.Aviation...(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 115 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

Widespread mid and high-level clouds persist at this time over 
southern IN and at SDF, while increasing low-level moisture over 
south-central KY is leading to low-level cumulus cloud development 
including at BWG. As low-level moisture surges northward this 
afternoon, cumulus clouds will develop at all 3 TAF sites. Winds 
from the SE to S will slowly increase this afternoon and evening to 
10-20 kts.

Latest high-resolution models suggest scattered to numerous 
thunderstorms developing by mid or late afternoon over parts of 
central and western KY, then moving quickly to the northeast through 
early evening. Given that no storms have currently developed, it is 
hard to determine areal coverage and exact timing. Thus, have kept 
only VCTS in all TAFs until better delineation can be made later 
this afternoon. Any storm could produce strong wind gusts, different 
from the prevailing wind in the TAF, hail, and brief heavy rain.

For tonight, storms should move off to the northeast, and there 
should be a pause in activity. Later tonight after 05 or 06z, 
nocturnal convection is expected close to and north of a warm front 
which should lie out near the Ohio River or in southern IN. Storms 
could affect SDF again, but are expected to stay mainly north of BWG 
and LEX, except for a possible stray storm. Southerly winds may gust 
over 20 kts for a time this evening/tonight.

On Saturday, convection will lift north of SDF, with all 3 TAF sites 
remaining dry along with a southerly wind of 10-15 kts. Cant rule 
out an isolated storm or two in the afternoon, but not included in 
the TAFs at this time do their isolated nature, if at all.

&&

.Hydrology...
Issued at 1100 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

Heavy rain is expected over the weekend over much of the middle 
Ohio Valley. Between two to five inches of rain are expected along 
the Ohio River over the next 72 hours, with the heavier amounts in 
the west. This will lead to quick rises on all stream and rivers in 
the area with minor flooding possibily in the Green, Rough, and 
Muscatatuck basins. In addition, heavy rain tonight could lead 
to flash flooding in parts of southern Indiana and northern 
Kentucky. If you live in a flood prone area, watch water levels 
closely this weekend.

&&

.Climate...
Issued at 830 AM EST Fri Apr 28 2017

Temperature and rainfall records for the weekend:

            4/29 Warm L   4/29 Record H   4/30 Warm L  4/30 Record H
Louisville   67 (1951)      89 (1899)      70 (1899)    91 (1894) 
Lexington    67 (1899)      86 (1899)      70 (1899)    91 (1942) 
Bowling G.   67 (1899)      91 (1894)      68 (1899)    92 (1942*) 
Frankfort    63 (1899)      89 (1914)      66 (1910)    91 (1942)

            4/29 Rainfall 4/30 Rainfall
Louisville   2.02" (1927)   2.37" (1983)
Lexington    1.31" (2014)   3.21" (1909)
Bowling G.   2.40" (1912)   3.00" (1911)
Frankfort    2.20" (2002)   2.62" (1909)

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Flash Flood Watch from 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ this evening through 
     Saturday morning for INZ076>079-083-084-089>092.

KY...Flash Flood Watch from 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ this evening through 
     Saturday morning for KYZ023>025-029>038.

&&

$$

Short Term...RJS
Long Term...RJS
Aviation...TWF
Hydrology...CMC
Climate...RJS


JKL

	

396 
FXUS63 KJKL 281604
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1204 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1204 PM EDT FRI APR 28 2017

The forecast has been updated to reflect the latest run of the
HRRR model and the most recent severe outlook issued by the SPC
for eastern Kentucky. The overall threat for severe weather has
been extended further eastward and now includes almost all of
eastern Kentucky in a slight risk for severe weather and a small
portion of our western counties in an enhanced risk for severe
weather. The general time frame for severe weather from roughly 
6 pm this evening through 1 am tonight. Threats will include large
hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes. The hourly
precipitation, sky cover, and weather type grids were updated to
reflect the new model data and severe weather tags corresponding
to the threats outlined in the SPC's latest outlooks. Updated
information regarding severe potential has also been placed on the
JKL website for viewing.

UPDATE Issued at 805 AM EDT FRI APR 28 2017

Continue to see significant differences in short term, high
resolution model solutions this morning with a fairly consistent 
and stubborn HRRR being a general outlier when compared to the 
NAM/RAP/ARW/NMM. The ARW does lend a little support to the HRRR, 
but the NMM much less so. Interestingly the ECMWF lends some
support to the HRRR as well. However, there continues to be what 
can best be described as a general disconnect between synoptic 
scale changes expected over the next 12 to 24 hours and the HRRR. 
The HRRR has waffled a bit but still wants to bring the main 
thrust of thunderstorm activity straight into the heart of the CWA
late this afternoon and evening. Depending on the evolution of 
events over the next several hours, there could be some major 
alterations to PoPs and sensible weather. For now can only monitor
and adjust the forecast as trends become more clearly defined. 
Did make some minor tweaks to the grids for the latest hourly 
trends. No update to the zone package at this time. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 508 AM EDT FRI APR 28 2017

Models are in good agreement with general mid and upper level
pattern through the period. Jet max will be digging into the
Intermountain West resulting in the development of a cutoff low 
over the deep southwest by Saturday morning. This deepening
western system will induce rising heights across the southeastern
U.S. beginning as early as today with substantial height rises
occurring across the region. At the surface, ridging aloft will
drive a stalled out frontal boundary to our south quickly 
northward today. We expect this frontal zone will push north of 
the Ohio River Valley by this evening and become the focus of much
more active weather for the next 24 hours. The Storm Prediction 
Center has focused on this baroclinic zone for the potential of 
widespread severe weather later today and tonight. 

Main forecast challenge for our area will be timing and location 
of the potential for severe weather this evening. Ridging aloft
will help cap much of any activity across our area. Main questions
causing the greatest amount of uncertainty is exact location of 
the surface boundary to our north and whether the cap over the
area will be strong enough to limit convection across the region.
At present thinking is that ridging will keep most of the activity
across our area limited to the far north, generally along and
north of I-64 and west of I-75. With the exception of the HRRR
CAMs seem to support this line of thought. However, trends in the
HRRR suggest the severe threat may extend further south than 
originally expected.

Should the cap be weak enough, forecast soundings indicate more
than enough instability and ample shear for the potential of
severe thunderstorms with hail and damaging winds being the main
threat. Strong shear in the lowest 1-3 km of the column allow for
the potential of a few tornadoes as well. PWATs do not look
impressively high. However, CAMs also suggest the potential of
some training storms, would could increase the risk of some
flooding. 

At this point, confidence in the described scenarios is quite 
low. In general there seems to be a disconnect in the strength of 
ridging developing across the region and the amount of convection 
being offered up by the CAMs. There is also considerable 
uncertainty in the location of the frontal boundary riding north 
today and where it eventually sets up. These factors will 
ultimately determine the location of greatest concern with respect
to any severe weather this evening. Bottom line is to remain 
vigilant and aware of future updates in what may be a rapidly 
changing situation.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 400 AM EDT FRI APR 28 2017

Eastern Kentucky will remain in the warm sector through Sunday
with the unseasonable warmth continuing. Record highs on Sunday
are a bit higher (88 for Jackson, and 89 for London) and will
likely be approached, but may be hard to exceed those numbers.
Regardless, another warm day with highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Meanwhile, a low pressure system will become cut off over the
western great lakes with an occluded front surging east across the
Ohio river valley. Model guidance continues to slow down this
front and now looks like it should pass through the area late
Sunday night into Monday morning. Ahead of the front, winds could
turn quite gusty Sunday night. As the band of showers pushes on
through Monday morning we could see some gusty winds out of any
showers as well. The weather should dry out Monday afternoon with
much cooler conditions returning to the area to start the new
month. Dry weather will last through Tuesday. Weather looks like
it may turn more unsettled by the middle of next week as a
shortwave trough ejects out into the region. While some
uncertainty remains on the pattern, it does look like shower and
thunderstorms chances are warranted from Wednesday through
Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
ISSUED AT 805 AM EDT FRI APR 28 2017

Valley fog was prevalent this morning but had only temporary 
effects on area terminals. Expecting generally VFR conditions
across the area through the period. However, there is 
considerable uncertainty in the forecast. A warm frontal boundary
should lift to the north today and showers and thunderstorms are 
expected to develop along this feature. The main forecast
challenge has been to determine the position of the boundary by
the end of the day. Models have not been much help, even with
trends. For now only have storms affecting SYM by late this
afternoon. Winds will be light but pick up from the southwest 
through the day at about 10 kts, and could become gusty for a few 
hours during the late afternoon. 

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...AR
SHORT TERM...RAY
LONG TERM...KAS
AVIATION...RAY

      
PAH

	
570 
FXUS63 KPAH 281931
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
231 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 126 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

A warm front is lifting north across the region. This front will
be both the immediate and short term focus for convection.
Currently, surface based CAPES were starting to appear in southern
Ky and the SEMO Bootheel, or, along/just south of the boundary,
where surface dew points have risen into the mid 60s. North of the
boundary, parcel lift is elevasted, with dew points from the mid
50s to low 60s. Helicity values along the boundary are high, but
with scarce surface based instability, and still some capping to
erode, activity on radar has been more isolated to scattered, and
more to our west, where first couple of warnings have been issued.
Will continue to monitor closely as warm front lifts north, and we
warm sector. Latest SWOMCD outlooks 50 percent probs for watch box
this pm, so they are literally 'watching' as well.

Tonight, better organization/better upper dynamics come into play,
so should see better storm coverage, even in the warm sector. Alot
then depends on where boundary sets up, and there is still some
model difference between across our northern counties, or, to our
north entirely. Either way, activity should be most vibrant along
and in vicinity of boundary, with heaviest rains focused in that
vicinity. Highest qpf thus expected across our north and west,
with least qpf across our south/east, where convective activity 
will be most isolated/marginalized.

Saturday, as advertised, looks like a pause, with reignition late
Saturday into Saturday night. Sunday still looks active and as we
transition to cold front and it's passage, into Sunday night, pcpn
ending west to east. Continued SLGT risk Sat pm-night and Sun pm-
night as well. 

Per collab with LMK, expanded FFA to the south and east to mesh
with southern In and northcentral Ky. Ran for entire event.
Amounts will be highest further south and west, but this will line
up best with IND/LMK.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 231 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

Models show low pressure moving from Iowa into the Great Lakes 
region on Monday into Monday evening, taking any lingering moisture 
northward.  Weak high pressure will briefly give us dry conditions 
Monday into Tuesday.  

Models indicate a warm front lifting north toward our region late 
Tuesday into Tuesday night.  The ECMWF and GFS take the warm front 
into our far southeast counties midday Wednesday.  Based on the 
these solutions, showers will quickly spread across the area Tuesday 
night, with chances continuing into Thursday.  Model show a little 
instability making it into our extreme southern counties during the 
day Wednesday, and included some slight chances for thunderstorms in 
these location.   The low associated with the front will push east 
of our area on Thursday, so we should see precipitation tapering off 
from west to east Thursday night.

A weak upper level disturbance may produce a few showers on Friday, 
so included just some slight chances.  Temperatures through the work 
week will be below seasonal normals, with the warmest day being 
Tuesday when highs will reach the upper 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 126 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

Warm front passing this pm, will result in MVFR CIGS, which are
already showing up at KCGI and KPAH. This should expand further
northward and eastward with time, as warm front lifts. Convective
chances are ramping up with peak heating, but have to overcome cap
and slow to rise surface based instablity (mostly elevated).
Better activity will organize tonight, with deeper layered shear
and instability. Anticipate lowering CIGS and altogether
deteriorating conditions overnight. May see IFR CIGS/VSBYS in
thunder late/during the planning period, and even after 
convective chances wane toward expiration time, may see lingering
low MVFR are marginal IFR cigs persisting.


&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through late Sunday 
     night for ILZ075>078-080>094.

MO...Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through late Sunday 
     night for MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114.

IN...Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through late Sunday 
     night for INZ081-082-085>088.

KY...Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through late Sunday 
     night for KYZ001>005-014-018-019.

&&

$$

     
 

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 300pm EDT, Friday April 28, 2017

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 75 degrees west, near 77 degrees central, and near 81 degrees east. Current sky conditions are cloudy west, mostly sunny central, and cloudy east. In the west, relative humidity is near 70%, and the dew point is near 65 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 46%, and the dew point is near 55 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 39%, and the dew point is near 54 degrees. Current drying conditions are fair west, good central, and good east. Winds are from the south at 7 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are variable at 3 mph east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 81 degrees at Somerset, Jackson, and Bowling Green. The lowest temperature is 70 degrees at Covington. Click here for the entire list of ag. weather observations across Kentucky.

  
Updated Friday, April 28, 2017

...Strong to Severe Storms & Periods of Heavy Rain Late this Weekend...

Scattered to numerous showers and storms will develop this afternoon into the overnight hours. Some heavy rainfall will be possible. There will be more chances for storms through the weekend with the most widespread on Sunday night. Winds will generally be out of the south to southwest through the weekend and will be gusty at times.

The 7-day rainfall totals look pretty impressive for the state as a whole. The western half of the Commonwealth should expect higher totals than eastern Kentucky. However, everyone will get in on the action by the first of next week. Overall, 2 to 4 inches with locally higher amounts of rainfall are expect in the western half of the state and 1 to 2 inches is expected in the eastern half. We will have to keep an eye on rainfall this weekend, as the ground is already saturated from recent rainfall, and flooding could potentially become a threat going into the weekend and early next week. The repetitive heavy rain events expected have the potential for widespread significant flooding, particularly in the western third of the service area.

Kentucky State Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

Specific and detailed farm-by-farm weather forecast information is available in your Point Ag Forecast. Current Conditions Kentucky, U.S.

 Across the Commonwealth...
Western KY ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH .THIS AFTERNOON...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around 10 mph. Central KY .THIS AFTERNOON...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds, large hail, tornadoes, and heavy rainfall. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Eastern KY .REST OF TODAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon.
Across the Commonwealth for the next week...

WESTERN KY AREA (including Paducah):

     
Fri Apr 28 15:33:34 EDT 2017

McCracken-
Including the city of Paducah
233 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Locally heavy
rainfall possible. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts to around 30 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming
mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 70. South winds around 10 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
morning, then showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Locally
heavy rainfall possible in the afternoon. Highs around 80. South
winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then a
chance of showers after midnight. Locally heavy rainfall possible
in the evening. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to
20 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 70. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely in the evening, then a chance
of showers after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. A 20 percent chance of showers in the
afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. 


 

--------------------------------------------------------------------

CENTRAL KY AREA (including Louisville and Lexington):

  
   
Fri Apr 28 11:27:11 EDT 2017

Fayette-
Including the city of Lexington
1127 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.THIS AFTERNOON...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds,
large hail, tornadoes, and heavy rainfall. Highs in the lower
80s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds,
large hail, tornadoes, and heavy rainfall. Lows in the mid 60s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds,
large hail, tornadoes, and heavy rainfall. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 10 to 20 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. 
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 50. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance
of showers 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. 


--------------------------------------------------------------------

EASTERN KY AREA (including Jackson):

  
Fri Apr 28 11:50:20 EDT 2017

Breathitt-
Including the city of Jackson
1150 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.REST OF TODAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast
winds up to 5 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...Warmer. Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of
thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may be severe with damaging
winds, large hail, and tornadoes. Lows in the mid 60s. South 
winds 5 to 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
up to 10 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 to
10 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then mostly cloudy
with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in
the lower 60s. 
.MONDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid
70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then mostly cloudy
with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Lows
around 50. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with chance of rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Rain showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. 


Kentucky Medium & Long Range Outlook:

KENTUCKY --------------------------------------------- 6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY MAY 3-MAY 7 MAY 5-MAY 11 MAY MAY-JUL ----------- ----------- -------- --------- Temperature: Below Below Above Above Precipitation: Above Below Normal Normal .... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
Click
here for the outlook maps.

And here's the UK Ag, Lawn and Garden Forecast...




WEST - Hazardous Weather
Fri Apr 28 15:14:11 EDT 2017 Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 213 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening, into the night time hours. Large hail, damaging winds, and tornados may occur with any storms that become severe. The Flash Flood Watch has been expanded to include southwest Indiana and adjacent northwest Kentucky counties along its immediate border. An additional 2 to 4 inches is possible across the entire region, with perhaps 3 to as much as 5 inches additional rainfall across the Watch area. Refer to the Watch for more details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday A Flash Flood Watch will remain in effect through Sunday evening for multiple rounds of thunderstorms containing very heavy rain. Please refer to the Watch product for additional details. Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue to be possible periodically through much of the weekend as well. Large hail and damaging wind gusts are expected to be the main severe weather hazards. Isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out. There is a chance of thunderstorms again Wednesday. Any storms that develop are not expected to be severe at this time, but additional heavy rains could cause flooding issues, or impede recovery from any antecedent flooding, from prior rains. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters should be ready for activation and stay alert for updates and requests through the weekend.
CENTRAL - Hazardous Weather
Fri Apr 28 11:29:59 EDT 2017 Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas- Nelson-Washington-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark-Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard- Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren- Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland- Clinton- Including the cities of Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle, Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester, Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown, Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence, Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany 1129 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017 /1029 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017/ This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central Kentucky. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop by late afternoon and become numerous by this evening along a warm front. Any storm that develops will have the potential to produce damaging winds, large hail, an isolated tornado, and very heavy rainfall. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Additional thunderstorms are forecast through the weekend. The environment again could support strong to severe thunderstorms. Right now the best time frames for thunderstorm activity looks to be early Saturday morning and again Sunday late afternoon through Sunday night. The main threats with any severe storms this weekend with be damaging winds and hail. Also repeated rounds of storms with high rainfall rates may create some flooding issues. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are asked to report wind damage, hail of any size, and instances of flooding today through the weekend. && More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.
EAST - Hazardous Weather
Fri Apr 28 10:40:33 EDT 2017 Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle- Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan- Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott- Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike- Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson 1040 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon through this evening. Some storms could produce damaging winds and large hail. Isolated tornadoes can not be ruled out. At this time the greatest threat appears to be generally west of Interstate 75 and along and north of the Hal Roger's Parkway and Highway 80. Heavy rains will also be a threat as the storms will likely track over their same paths. The time frame for any severe storms would be during the late afternoon and through the evening hours. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Thunderstorms are possible on Saturday, then again Sunday night into early Monday afternoon. Gusty winds are likely to occur late Sunday night into Monday morning. Thunderstorms are possible at times Tuesday night through Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are asked to be on the lookout for severe weather through the evening hours and to report any incidents of high winds, hail, or excessive rains.