Garrard County, KY Weather And Climate Synopsis


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NWS: Calculated Soil Moisture.
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


Updated Friday, July 20, 2018

...Severe Weather Expected Today & This Evening, Heat Advisory West...

According to the latest weather forecasts, an outbreak of severe weather is likely this afternoon and evening across Kentucky. The Storm Prediction Center has a large portion of our area in a "Moderate Risk" (level 4 out of 5 severe risk). Damaging winds, very large hail (> 2+ inches in some instances), and a few tornadoes are possible.

An unseasonably strong storm system will move into the lower Great Lakes through this evening, with a surface cold front trailing from this system also approaching our region by later this evening. The strong storm system will interact with a strongly unstable airmass to develop numerous strong to severe storms. Large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes are all possible along with excessive lightning and heavy rainfall. The most widespread period of storms will be from late this afternoon through late evening. The storms should be out of the area midnight. Scattered showers and storms are then possible mainly each afternoon and evening through the weekend, although aren't expected to be as strong as today.

In addition to the potential for severe weather, western sections of the state also have a Heat Advisory in effect. The heat will be the main threat for today with southern portions of the region exceeding triple digit heat index values. Livestock Heat Stress will rise into the Emergency Category in the west and Danger Category for the remainder of the state.

Kentucky Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

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Regional Hourly Observations For GARRARD County, Kentucky
Issued at 800 PM EDT FRI JUL 20 2018
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LEXINGTON      FAIR      67  63  87 S9        29.81F                  
COVINGTON      TSTM      65  64  97 S10       29.85R                  
FRANKFORT      FAIR      68  64  87 S8        29.78F                  

KY Round-up, Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, NWS Louisville
Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London , About Meteograms


Current Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 800pm EDT, Friday July 20, 2018

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 88 degrees west, near 67 degrees central, and near 64 degrees east. Current sky conditions are fair west, fair central, and light rain east. In the west, relative humidity is near 63%, and the dew point is near 74 degrees. The heat index is near 96 degrees west. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 87%, and the dew point is near 63 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 62 degrees. Current drying conditions are fair west, poor central, and poor east. The livestock heat stress category is danger west, no stress central, and no stress east. Winds are from the southwest at 6 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 9 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm east, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 90 degrees at Bowling Green. The lowest temperature is 64 degrees at Jackson.

List of Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Observations in Kentucky


Radar:
UKAWC Radar, NWS Radar (NEW!), SPC Radar, SkyWarn, NEXRAD,
Hazardous Weather Outlook For GARRARD County, Kentucky
732 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018 /632 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018/

   TORNADO WATCH 294 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT /2 AM CDT/ SATURDAY  

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

 DAY ONE  Tonight.

Severe storms are expected through this evening. Damaging winds, 
large hail, and tornadoes are all threats along with very heavy 
rainfall and intense frequent lightning. Have a way to receive 
weather warnings and a plan of action. The storms should be out of 
the area around or shortly after midnight. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Saturday through Thursday.

Afternoon thunderstorms are expected Saturday and Sunday. A few
strong storms are possible on Saturday afternoon, mainly in south
central Kentucky. The main threats will be gusty winds and heavy 
rainfall.

Scattered afternoon and evening storms are expected each day through
the next work week. 

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation will be needed through this evening.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For GARRARD County, KY
730 PM EDT Fri Jul 20 2018


TORNADO WATCH 294 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT SATURDAY

OVERNIGHT
Mostly cloudy with numerous showers and thunderstorms early in the evening, then partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Some thunderstorms may be severe with damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

SUNDAY
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 5 mph.

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.

MONDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.

FRIDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

Day 1 Precip, Day 2, 5 Day Total, Days 1-5, ALL


Medium & Long Range Outlook For GARRARD County, Kentucky
                             KENTUCKY                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   JUL 26-30 JUL 28-AUG 3    JUL       JUL-SEP                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above     Normal     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
TWC Jet, 15-Day Jet,Trend, Max/Mins
6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook


Drought Status For GARRARD County, Kentucky
(Based on the latest Palmer Drought Severity and Crop Moisture Indices)
BLUE      KY CLIMATE DIVISION

Hydrological Drought (PDSI) Situation:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Long-term Hydrological Moisture Status: NEAR NORMAL           (PDSI=  -1.34)
Rainfall Needed:  0.00 inches ABOVE NORMAL


Crop Moisture (CMI) Situation:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Short-term Crop Moisture Status: Favorable For Normal Growth And Fieldwork    (CMI=   0.00)
Change From Previous Week: DRIER      SOILS ( -0.33)

Note: Due to rainfall variability within each climate division, check Precip Reports/GIS Estimates and the Kentucky Climate Summary for the latest moisture information for this county.

Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page


Kentucky Climate Summary
Kentucky Climate Summary
For the Period 07-13-2018 to 07-19-2018

Temperatures for the period averaged 77 degrees across the state which was 0 degrees from normal and no change to the previous period. High temperatures averaged from 89 in the West to 87 in the East. Departure from normal high temperatures ranged from 1 degrees cooler than normal in the West to 0 degrees from normal in the East. Low temperatures averaged from 69 degrees in the West to 67 degrees in the East. Departure from normal low temperature ranged from 1 degrees warmer than normal in the West to 3 degrees warmer than normal in the East. The extreme high temperature for the period was 98 degrees at PADUCAH ASOS and the extreme low was 55 degrees at PAINTSVILLE 4W.

Precipitation (liq. equ.) for the period totaled 0.59 inches statewide which was 0.41 inches below normal and 59% of normal. Precipitation totals by climate division, West 1.21 inches, Central 0.33 inches, Bluegrass 0.34 inches and East 0.50 inches, which was 0.24, -0.69, -0.63 and -0.53 inches respectively from normal. By station, precipitation totals ranged from a low of 0.00 inches at ALEXANDRIA 5NW to a high of 2.58 inches at FRANKLIN 4SW.

Kentucky Climate Summaries: Last day, Last 3 days, 7 days, 14, 21, 30, 60, 90 days
Yesterday's Weather Data, Kentucky Climate in Review


Almanac Information
Friday July 20, 2018 the 201th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 20.470000
Distance 0.999716 AU
Rise 06:32 EDT Set 20:57 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:44 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:03 EDT Ends 21:26 EDT

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Normal Max/Min Temperature for Today: 88 / 65
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Calculations made for central point in Kentucky
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)
What the Moon looks like right now (USN)

On This Day In

Weather History...



////////////////////////
JULY 20TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1930...
The temperature at Washington D.C. soared to an all-time record of 106
degrees. The next day Millsboro reached 110 degrees to set a record for the
state of Delaware. July 1930 was one of the hottest and driest summers in
the U.S., particularly in the Missouri Valley where severe drought
conditions developed. Toward the end of the month state records were set
for Kentucky with 114 degrees, and Mississippi with 115 degrees. (David
Ludlum)
...1934...
The temperature at Keokuk IA soared to 118 degrees to establish a state
record. (The Weather Channel)
...1953...
Twenty-two inches of hail reportedly fell northeast of Dickinson ND. (The
Weather Channel)
...1986...
The temperature at Charleston SC hit 104 degrees for the second day in a
row to tie their all-time record high. (The Weather Channel)
...1987...
Thunderstorms produced severe weather across Minnesota, Wisconsin and
Michigan. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 87 mph at Mosinee WI, and
strong thunderstorm winds capsized twenty-six boats on Grand Traverse Bay
drowning two women. Thunderstorms produced nine inches of rain at Shakopee
MN, with 7.83 inches reported in six hours at Chaska MN. Thunderstorms in
north central Nebraska produced hail as large as golf balls in southwestern
Cherry County, which accumulated to a depth of 12 inches. (The National
Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
The temperature at Redding CA soared to an all-time record high of 118
degrees. Showers and thunderstorms produced much needed rains from New
England to southern Texas. Salem IN was deluged with 7.2 inches of rain
resulting in flash flooding. (The National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Showers and thunderstorms in the Middle Atlantic Coast Region soaked
Wilmington DE with 2.28 inches of rain, pushing their total for the period
May through July past the previous record of 22.43 inches. Heavy rain over
that three month period virtually wiped out a 16.82 inch deficit which had
been building since drought conditions began in 1985. Thunderstorms in
central Indiana deluged Lebanon with 6.50 inches of rain in twelve hours,
and thunderstorms over Florida produced wind gusts to 84 mph at Flagler
Beach. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
UKAWC Briefing Page

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky