1st Responders/1st Detectors/Storm Spotters Weather Summary for Garrard County, KY

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Garrard County, KY Hazardous Weather Outlook Webcast
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UKAWC 1st Detectors/1st Responders Precision Weather Forecast For GARRARD County, Kentucky
(based on the NWS County Digital Forecast)

ISSUED AT 23:00 UTC ON MONDAY AUG 19 2019
DAY MONDAY TUESDAY
EDT 3HR 8P 9P 10P 11P MIDN 1A 2A 3A 4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10A 11A NOON 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P
MAX/MIN 92° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 70° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 92°
TEMP 86° 83° 81° 79° 76° 76° 74° 74° 72° 72° 70° 70° 72° 76° 81° 85° 88° 90° 92° 92° 92° 92° 90° 88°
SKY COVER 15% 15% 15% 14% 20% 25% 30% 32% 34% 35% 34% 33% 32% 30% 28% 26% 36% 46% 56% 56% 57% 57% 54% 51%
Clouds
DEW PT 68° 68° 68° 68° 68° 68° 68° 68° 67° 67° 67° 67° 68° 70° 70° 72° 72° 70° 70° 70° 70° 70° 70° 70°
RH 55% 60% 66% 71% 76% 79% 84% 84% 84% 86% 90% 90% 89% 81% 71% 63% 57% 52% 50% 49% 48% 50% 51% 57%
POP 12HR 15% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 12% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6
WIND Gust(MPH) 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 6 7 7 9 10 13 10 9 8 7 7
WIND DIR SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
DEW -- -- -- -- Lgt Dew Lgt Dew Lgt Dew Lgt Dew Mod Dew Mod Dew Mod Dew Mod Dew Mod Dew Lgt Dew -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
HeatIndex 91 87 84 79 76 76 74 74 72 72 70 70 72 76 85 92 96 97 98 100 100 98 97 94
Rain Showers -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance
Thunder Storm -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance
WIND CHILL -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK HEATSTRESS 79.27 77.68 76.85 75.78 73.73 74.01 72.66 72.66 70.84 70.98 69.38 69.38 71.20 74.20 77.46 79.67 81.09 81.76 82.87 82.69 82.50 82.87 81.59 81.09



DAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY MONDAY
EDT 6HR 8P 9P 10P 11P MIDN 1A 2A 3A 4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
MAX/MIN -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 70° -- -- 90° -- -- -- -- 68° -- -- 85° -- -- 65° 79° -- -- 59° 81° -- -- 61° 83° -- -- 65° 85° --
TEMP 85° 81° 77° 74° 74° 72° 72° 72° 72° 70° 70° 70° 72° 81° 86° 86° 81° 74° 72° 70° 70° 77° 81° 81° 76° 68° 67° 76° 72° 65° 63° 77° 74° 65° 65° 79° 76° 68° 67° 81° 76°
SKY COVER 47% 56% 65% 75% 63% 51% 40% 47% 55% 63% 59% 56% 52% 34% 45% 44% 55% 76% 73% 77% 78% 83% 77% 69% 73% 68% 75% 65% 56% 54% 49% 50% 32% 31% 41% 44% 42% 54% 65% 59% 43%
Clouds
DEW PT 70° 70° 70° 70° 70° 70° 70° 68° 68° 68° 68° 68° 68° 70° 70° 70° 72° 70° 70° 70° 70° 72° 70° 70° 70° 67° 65° 65° 65° 61° 59° 61° 63° 61° 63° 65° 67° 67° 65° 67° 68°
RH 62% 72% 79% 84% 87% 90% 90% 89% 90% 93% 93% 93% 90% 69% 58% 58% 74% 87% 93% 96% 97% 81% 66% 71% 79% 96% 93% 71% 75% 89% 90% 58% 68% 90% 93% 62% 75% 93% 93% 64% 76%
POP 12HR 24% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 27% -- -- -- 36% -- -- -- 47% -- -- -- 67% -- 57% -- 41% -- 20% -- 21% -- 17% -- 33% -- 21% -- 33%
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) 0.01in -- -- -- -- -- 0.01in -- -- -- -- -- 0.05in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.06in -- 0.04in -- 0.06in -- 0.15in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 2 2 2 2 1 5 5 2 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 5 1 2 5 7 2
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW W W W W E E NE NE NE E E E E E S S S S S S
HeatIndex 90 85 77 74 74 72 72 72 72 70 70 70 72 86 92 92 85 74 72 70 70 77 85 85 76 68 67 76 72 65 63 77 74 65 65 82 76 68 67 83 76
Rain Showers Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance -- -- Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Likely Likely Likely Chance Chance Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Chance Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Chance Chance
Thunder Storm Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance -- -- Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Likely Likely Likely Chance Chance Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance -- Slight Chance -- -- Slight Chance Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Chance Chance
WIND CHILL -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK HEATSTRESS 79.52 77.58 74.90 72.66 72.91 71.27 71.27 71.20 71.27 69.57 69.57 69.57 71.27 77.21 79.72 79.72 77.83 72.91 71.49 69.75 69.82 75.10 76.85 77.46 74.01 67.80 66.68 73.26 70.19 64.62 62.77 72.80 71.32 64.66 64.76 74.78 73.64 67.65 66.68 76.60 73.73

Click on individual weather variable above in left-hand column (ie., TEMP, RH, QPF 12HR) to view state forecast maps






NWS 48 Hr. Forecast Maps,

Regional Hourly Observations For GARRARD County, Kentucky
Issued at 700 PM EDT MON AUG 19 2019
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LEXINGTON      FAIR      94  65  38 W3        30.00F HX  96           
COVINGTON      FAIR      93  67  42 SW6       29.99F HX  96           
FRANKFORT      FAIR      94  65  38 W5        29.98S HX  96           


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.


Fire Weather Forecast For GARRARD County, KY
Provided by the National Weather Service:

Issued at: Mon Aug 19 19:05:01 EDT 2019


                      Today        Tonight      Tue          

CLOUD COVER           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           
TEMP (24H TREND)      93 (-1)      69 (-1)      92           
RH % (24H TREND)      42 (+3)      98 (+3)      47           
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var      
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)8278                      7704         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     W 10         
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     39642                     65791        
DISPERSION            Fair                      Good         
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  
LAL                   2            2            3            
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            
ADI EARLY             22 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  30 FAIR      
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      2 VERY POOR  43 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            5            7            
MAX LVORI LATE        2            7            2            

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.        
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Northeast winds up to 5 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South
winds up to 5 mph. 

SPC's Fire Weather Web Tool (Excellent!), SPC's Fire Weather Outlooks, NWS Fire Weather WEB, Fire Danger Class Map,
Keetch-Byram Drought Index, ROMAN Web, Haines Index ,
WFAS's 10-hr Dead Fuel Moist., WFAS's 100-hr Dead Fuel Moist., Probablity of Ignition, Visual blackness Map, Palmer Drought Index, HPC's Rainfall Forecast Maps


Hazardous Weather Outlook For GARRARD County, Kentucky
443 PM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019 /343 PM CDT Mon Aug 19 2019/

 DAY ONE  Tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon and evening.
Brief heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, and gusty winds will be 
the primary hazards. 

Outside of cooling rains, it will be hot. Peak heat index values
through early evening will be around 100 degrees along and west of 
I-65. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Tuesday through Sunday.

A line of strong to possibly severe storms may move into southern
Indiana during the late afternoon tomorrow, and subsequently affect
central Kentucky during the evening hours. The storms are expected to
weaken as they push into Kentucky. The main threats with storms will
be damaging wind gusts and large hail in more discrete storms. 

Better coverage of thunderstorms is expected Wednesday night into
Thursday. Slow moving storms could produce heavy rainfall, which
could result in localized flooding.

Outside of these cooling rains, it will be hot during peak heating
Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons. Look for peak heat indices 
generally around 100 degrees, possibly approaching 105 in the 
Louisville and Bowling Green metro areas.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not expected.

Latest GARRARD County, Kentucky Watches, Warnings and Advisories.
Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page, Kentucky Drought Watch


7-Day Forecast For GARRARD County, KY

TONIGHT
Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds up to 5 mph.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Southwest winds up to 5 mph.

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds up to 5 mph.

THURSDAY
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

FRIDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 80.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60.

SATURDAY
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s.

SUNDAY
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.

MONDAY
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky