1st Responders/1st Detectors/Storm Spotters Weather Summary for McCreary County, KY

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McCreary County, KY Hazardous Weather Outlook Webcast
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UKAWC 1st Detectors/1st Responders Precision Weather Forecast For MCCREARY County, Kentucky
(based on the NWS County Digital Forecast)

ISSUED AT 01:00 UTC ON FRIDAY JAN 18 2019
DAY THURSDAY FRIDAY
EDT 3HR 10P 11P MIDN 1A 2A 3A 4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10A 11A NOON 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P
MAX/MIN -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 38° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 45°
TEMP 45° 45° 45° 45° 45° 45° 43° 43° 43° 40° 38° 38° 38° 38° 40° 40° 43° 43° 45° 45° 43° 43°
SKY COVER 99% 99% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 99% 98% 97% 96% 96% 96% 96% 94% 92% 91% 90% 90%
Clouds
DEW PT 40° 41° 41° 43° 43° 43° 43° 43° 41° 40° 38° 38° 38° 38° 40° 40° 40° 40° 40° 40° 40° 40°
RH 85% 89% 89% 92% 92% 95% 96% 95% 96% 100% 99% 100% 95% 100% 99% 100% 92% 88% 85% 85% 88% 89%
POP 12HR -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 85% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) -- -- -- -- 0.06in -- -- -- -- -- 0.02in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 6 5 5 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
WIND Gust(MPH) 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 6 7 6 5 6 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW W W NW NW NW NW NW N N NE E E E E E E
DEW -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Hvy Dew Hvy Dew
HeatIndex 41 42 42 43 43 43 42 43 41 38 36 38 38 38 40 40 43 43 45 45 43 43
Snow -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Snow Showers -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Rain Likely Chance Chance Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Rain Showers -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND CHILL 42° 43° 43° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS



DAY SATURDAY SUNDAY MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY
EDT 6HR 8P 9P 10P 11P MIDN 1A 2A 3A 4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
MAX/MIN -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 40° -- -- -- 56° -- -- -- -- 22° -- -- 29° -- -- 11° 32° -- -- 27° 47° -- -- 34° 40° -- -- 23° 40° --
TEMP 41° 41° 40° 40° 40° 40° 40° 41° 41° 43° 45° 47° 47° 49° 50° 56° 56° 50° 45° 38° 29° 29° 27° 27° 27° 22° 16° 13° 31° 27° 27° 29° 47° 43° 38° 34° 40° 36° 31° 27° 40° 34°
SKY COVER 89% 88% 88% 87% 87% 87% 87% 88% 90% 91% 92% 94% 98% 98% 99% 99% 97% 95% 97% 100% 100% 100% 79% 57% 49% 41% 18% 19% 28% 26% 23% 39% 68% 89% 93% 94% 94% 87% 71% 65% 54% 61%
Clouds
DEW PT 40° 40° 40° 40° 40° 40° 40° 40° 40° 41° 41° 41° 43° 45° 47° 50° 52° 47° 43° 36° 27° 22° 18° 14° 13° 16° 20° 29° 32° 38° 34° 36° 31° 29° 27° 27° 25°
RH 92% 92% 95% 96% 96% 95% 95% 96% 95% 95% 88% 83% 86% 86% 89% 83% 83% 89% 92% 96% 92% 78% 68% 60% 55% 57% 61% 69% 31% 46% 62% 69% 49% 67% 100% 99% 82% 81% 92% 99% 56% 66%
POP 12HR 4% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 23% -- -- -- -- 96% -- -- -- 88% -- -- -- 45% -- 5% -- 2% -- 7% -- 32% -- 60% -- 62% -- 37% -- 29%
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- 0.01in -- -- 0.51in -- 0.51in -- 0.20in -- 0.09in -- 0.02in -- 0.00in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 1 2 2 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 10 13 10 7 8 9 10 13 9 9 10 9 6 5 5 5 5 7 10 10 9 7 7 7 7 5 7 6
WIND DIR E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SW W NW NW N N NW NW N N NE E E S S S S S W W NW W NW W NW
HeatIndex 41 40 38 38 38 38 38 39 38 39 41 47 47 49 50 56 56 50 40 31 20 18 17 17 18 11 7 6 27 21 21 22 47 36 32 27 36 29 25 21 35 29
Snow -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Likely -- Chance Chance Chance -- --
Snow Showers -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Likely Chance Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Rain -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Chance Chance Likely Likely Chance -- -- Slight Chance --
Rain Showers -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Chance Chance Definite Definite Definite Definite Definite Definite -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND CHILL -- -- -- 37° 37° 37° 37° 38° 37° 39° 41° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 41° 32° 20° 19° 18° 18° 18° 12° 26° 22° 22° 22° -- 37° 32° 28° 35° 30° 25° 22° 35° 29°
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS

Click on individual weather variable above in left-hand column (ie., TEMP, RH, QPF 12HR) to view state forecast maps






NWS 48 Hr. Forecast Maps,

Regional Hourly Observations For MCCREARY County, Kentucky
Issued at 800 PM EST THU JAN 17 2019
SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
JACKSON        LGT RAIN  39  39 100 VRB5      30.03R VSB 1/2          
LONDON         CLOUDY    40  40 100 SW3       30.05R                  
SOMERSET       DRIZZLE   41  41 100 CALM      30.06S                  
MIDDLESBORO    LGT RAIN  38  38 100 SE3       30.09S                  
MONTICELLO     LGT RAIN  45  44  97 W15       30.07R FOG              


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.


Fire Weather Forecast For MCCREARY County, KY
Provided by the National Weather Service:

Issued at: Thu Jan 17 20:05:01 EST 2019


Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       
Chance precip (%)     100          100          0            
Precip type           rain         rain         None         
Temp (24H TREND)      41-44 (+5)   36-40 (+5)   42-45        
Rh % (24H TREND)      83-90 (+9)   100 (+5)     79-84        
20ftwnd-AM(mph)       S 3-7                     Lgt/Var      
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       S 5-9 G15    SW 4-8 G13   Lgt/Var      
Precip duration       5            3                         
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing                
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing                
Precip amount         0.24         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
Haines Index (MID)    2                         3            
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    600                       1500         
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 22                     NW  3        
Vent rate (kt-ft)     11461                     4009         
ADI Early             23 Fair      16 Gen Poor  14 Gen Poor  
ADI Late              25 Fair      14 Gen Poor  5 Very Poor  
Max LVORI Early       5            7            8            
Max LVORI Late        5            7            6            

REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH        
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS        
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS        
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.


SPC's Fire Weather Web Tool (Excellent!), SPC's Fire Weather Outlooks, NWS Fire Weather WEB, Fire Danger Class Map,
Keetch-Byram Drought Index, ROMAN Web, Haines Index ,
WFAS's 10-hr Dead Fuel Moist., WFAS's 100-hr Dead Fuel Moist., Probablity of Ignition, Visual blackness Map, Palmer Drought Index, HPC's Rainfall Forecast Maps


Hazardous Weather Outlook For MCCREARY County, Kentucky
355 PM EST Thu Jan 17 2019

 DAY ONE  Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday through Wednesday.

Times of moderate to heavy showers could lead to excessive rains 
and localized flooding on Saturday and Saturday night. A sharp 
cold front then brings some light snow accumulations to the area 
Saturday night into Sunday. This will be followed by a quick burst
of very cold air with wind chills down into the single digits to 
near zero Sunday night and Monday morning.

Some light accumulations of snow will also be possible on 
Wednesday.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation may be needed this weekend for a period of
active weather.

Latest MCCREARY County, Kentucky Watches, Warnings and Advisories.
Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page, Kentucky Drought Watch


7-Day Forecast For MCCREARY County, KY

REST OF TONIGHT
Cloudy. Patchy fog through the night. Rain likely until early morning. A slight chance of rain late. Lows around 40. Light winds. Chance of rain 70 percent.

FRIDAY
Cloudy. Patchy fog early. Highs in the mid 40s. Light winds.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain near dawn. Lows in the lower 40s. Light winds.

SATURDAY
Showers. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Rain showers in the evening, then snow or rain showers likely late. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.

SUNDAY
Much cooler. Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the upper 20s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Cold. Mostly clear. Lows around 10 above.

MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s.

MONDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.

TUESDAY
Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Cloudy with rain or snow likely. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

WEDNESDAY
Cloudy with rain or snow likely. Highs in the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow or rain. Lows in the mid 20s.

THURSDAY
Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain or snow. Highs in the lower 40s.

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky