1st Responders/1st Detectors/Storm Spotters Weather Summary for McCreary County, KY

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McCreary County, KY Hazardous Weather Outlook Webcast
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UKAWC 1st Detectors/1st Responders Precision Weather Forecast For MCCREARY County, Kentucky
(based on the NWS County Digital Forecast)

ISSUED AT 22:00 UTC ON WEDNESDAY FEB 21 2018
DAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY
EDT 3HR 7P 8P 9P 10P 11P MIDN 1A 2A 3A 4A 5A 6A 7A 8A 9A 10A 11A NOON 1P 2P 3P 4P 5P 6P 7P
MAX/MIN 74° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 59° -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 67°
TEMP 63° 63° 63° 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 63° 63° 63° 63° 61° 63° 63° 65° 65° 65° 67° 67° 67° 67° 67° 65°
SKY COVER 91% 95% 95% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 93% 92% 90% 89% 89% 87% 89% 89% 89% 90% 91% 92% 92% 92% 90% 90% 88%
Clouds
DEW PT 59° 58° 58° 58° 58° 58° 58° 58° 59° 59° 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 63° 63° 63° 61°
RH 86% 83% 86% 89% 92% 93% 93% 93% 92% 90% 90% 92% 93% 96% 92% 89% 87% 83% 87% 84% 83% 87% 84% 86% 87%
POP 12HR -- 56% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 81% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) -- 0.14in -- -- -- -- -- 0.13in -- -- -- -- -- 0.21in -- -- -- -- -- 0.13in -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 5 2 2 2 2 2 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 5 5 2
WIND Gust(MPH) 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 13 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 15 15 14 13 10 9 8 7
WIND DIR N NE NE NE NE E E SE SE S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
DEW -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Mod Dew Mod Dew Mod Dew Mod Dew Mod Dew Mod Dew Mod Dew Mod Dew -- -- -- -- Mod Dew Mod Dew Hvy Dew
HeatIndex 63 63 63 61 61 61 61 61 61 63 63 63 63 61 63 63 65 65 65 67 67 67 67 67 65
Rain Showers Chance Chance Chance Chance Slight Chance Chance Chance Chance Likely Likely Definite Likely Likely Likely Likely Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Likely Likely Likely Likely
Thunder Storm -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND CHILL -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS



DAY FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY
EDT 6HR 8P 9P 10P 11P MIDN 1A 2A 3A 4A 5A 6A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
MAX/MIN -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 61° -- -- 76° -- -- -- -- 59° -- -- 74° -- -- 56° 63° -- -- 41° 59° -- -- 36° 59° -- -- 40° 56° --
TEMP 65° 65° 63° 63° 63° 63° 61° 63° 63° 63° 63° 61° 67° 74° 76° 72° 65° 63° 61° 61° 65° 70° 74° 70° 65° 59° 59° 58° 47° 41° 58° 52° 40° 36° 58° 52° 43° 40° 54° 49°
SKY COVER 81% 78% 72% 68% 67% 64% 63% 64% 65% 66% 68% 75% 78% 73% 77% 71% 74% 88% 87% 91% 91% 94% 88% 96% 97% 72% 44% 52% 60% 57% 36% 21% 21% 19% 20% 34% 46% 66% 82% 88%
Clouds
DEW PT 61° 61° 61° 61° 61° 59° 59° 59° 59° 59° 59° 59° 61° 61° 59° 58° 58° 56° 58° 58° 59° 59° 59° 58° 59° 54° 43° 40° 38° 36° 36° 34° 32° 32° 36° 36° 36° 38° 45° 43°
RH 89% 89% 90% 89% 93% 89% 92% 89% 89% 89% 89% 92% 77% 64% 57% 63% 78% 80% 93% 90% 80% 68% 61% 65% 83% 83% 53% 53% 70% 78% 44% 51% 75% 88% 44% 53% 75% 92% 71% 79%
POP 12HR 63% -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 63% -- -- -- 19% -- -- -- 50% -- -- -- 68% -- 99% -- 50% -- 2% -- 2% -- 2% -- 2% -- 3% -- 29%
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) 0.12in -- -- -- -- -- 0.01in -- -- -- -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.00in -- 0.03in -- 0.15in -- 0.13in -- 0.06in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
SNOWFALL 0in -- -- -- -- -- 0in -- -- -- -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- 0in -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND SPEED(MPH) 2 2 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 9 9 7 6 2 5 5 6 7 9 9 8 9 13 7 7 2 2 2 5 1 2 5 5 5 5 7 6
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S SW W W N NE N N NE E SE E SE S S S
HeatIndex 65 65 63 63 63 63 61 63 63 63 63 61 67 74 76 72 65 63 61 61 65 70 74 70 65 59 59 58 47 40 58 52 40 33 58 52 40 36 54 49
Rain Showers Likely Chance Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- Slight Chance Slight Chance Chance Chance Chance Chance Likely Likely Likely Likely Definite Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Chance
Thunder Storm -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance Slight Chance -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
WIND CHILL -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 40° 37° -- --
SPRAY COND
DRY COND
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS

Click on individual weather variable above in left-hand column (ie., TEMP, RH, QPF 12HR) to view state forecast maps






NWS 48 Hr. Forecast Maps,

Regional Hourly Observations For MCCREARY County, Kentucky
Issued at 600 PM EST WED FEB 21 2018
SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
JACKSON        MOCLDY    60  58  92 NE3       30.34S                  
LONDON         CLOUDY    61  58  90 NE8       30.33R                  
SOMERSET       NOT AVBL                                               
MIDDLESBORO    FAIR      73  61  65 CALM      30.29S                  
MONTICELLO     NOT AVBL                                               


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.


Fire Weather Forecast For MCCREARY County, KY
Provided by the National Weather Service:

Issued at: Wed Feb 21 18:05:02 EST 2018

Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, 
and South Williamson
422 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers. 
Min Temperature.....Around 57. 
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. 
Max Humidity........94-100 percent. 
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter. 
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
ADI.................8. 
LVORI...............7. 
Prob of precip......70 percent. 
QPF (inches)........0.07 - 0.46 inches. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers. 
Max Temperature.....Around 67. 
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. 
Min Humidity........72-82 percent. 
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. 
Dispersion Index....46. 
Vent Rate...........Fair (45800 knot-ft). 
ADI.................47 decreasing to 34 in the afternoon. 
LVORI...............5. 
Prob of precip......60 percent. 
QPF (inches)........0.09 - 0.61 inches. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the 
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers. 
Min Temperature.....Around 60. 
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. 
Max Humidity........90-100 percent. 
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
ADI.................6. 
LVORI...............7. 
Prob of precip......60 percent. 
QPF (inches)........0.02 - 0.15 inches. 

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers. 
Max Temperature.....Around 77. 
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer. 
Min Humidity........48-58 percent. 
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier. 
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. 
LAL.................1. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl. 
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. 
Dispersion Index....87. 
Vent Rate...........Good (87100 knot-ft). 
ADI.................36 increasing to 62 in the afternoon. 
LVORI...............4. 
Prob of precip......20 percent. 
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches. 


SPC's Fire Weather Web Tool (Excellent!), SPC's Fire Weather Outlooks, NWS Fire Weather WEB, Fire Danger Class Map,
Keetch-Byram Drought Index, ROMAN Web, Haines Index ,
WFAS's 10-hr Dead Fuel Moist., WFAS's 100-hr Dead Fuel Moist., Probablity of Ignition, Visual blackness Map, Palmer Drought Index, HPC's Rainfall Forecast Maps


Hazardous Weather Outlook For MCCREARY County, Kentucky
507 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

 DAY ONE  Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Thursday through Tuesday.

Rain is expected at times Thursday into Sunday, and could be heavy
at times. Thunderstorms will also be possible Saturday and
Saturday night. If confidence for heavy rainfall increases enough,
a Flood Watch may need to be issued at a later time.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

Latest MCCREARY County, Kentucky Watches, Warnings and Advisories.
Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page, Kentucky Drought Watch


7-Day Forecast For MCCREARY County, KY

TONIGHT
A chance of showers in the evening, then showers late. Lows around 60. Light winds. Chance of rain 80 percent.

THURSDAY
Warm, cloudy. Showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s. Light winds. Chance of rain 60 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening. A slight chance of showers late. Lows in the lower 60s. Light winds. Chance of rain 60 percent.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows around 60. Light winds.

SATURDAY
Cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Lows 37 to 42.

MONDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows 30 to 35.

TUESDAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows around 40.

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 50s.

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky