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SPC Convective Day 1 Outlook | Day 2 Outlook |
DAY | FRIDAY | |||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EDT 3HR | 2A | 3A | 4A | 5A | 6A | 7A | 8A | 9A | 10A | 11A | NOON | 1P | 2P | 3P | 4P | 5P | 6P | 7P | ||||
MAX/MIN | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 58° | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 65° | ||||
TEMP | 61° | 61° | 59° | 59° | 59° | 58° | 58° | 59° | 59° | 61° | 59° | 58° | 58° | 59° | 61° | 63° | 59° | 58° | ||||
SKY COVER | 82% | 85% | 88% | 91% | 93% | 93% | 92% | 90% | 89% | 87% | 83% | 78% | 74% | 59% | 44% | 29% | 25% | 21% | ||||
Clouds | ||||||||||||||||||||||
DEW PT | 49° | 52° | 52° | 54° | 56° | 58° | 58° | 59° | 58° | 58° | 56° | 54° | 50° | 49° | 49° | 47° | 45° | 43° | ||||
RH | 62% | 72% | 77% | 83% | 90% | 96% | 99% | 100% | 96% | 92% | 86% | 83% | 74% | 69% | 62% | 57% | 59% | 59% | ||||
POP 12HR | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 82% | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | ||||
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) | 0.00in | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.12in | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.02in | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | ||||
SNOWFALL | 0in | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0in | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0in | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | ||||
WIND SPEED(MPH) | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | ||||
WIND Gust(MPH) | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | ||||
WIND DIR | S | S | SW | SW | SW | SW | SW | W | W | NW | NW | NW | N | N | NW | NW | NW | N | ||||
DEW | -- | Lgt Dew | Lgt Dew | -- | -- | -- | -- | Mod Dew | Mod Dew | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | ||||
HeatIndex | 61 | 61 | 59 | 59 | 59 | 58 | 58 | 59 | 59 | 61 | 59 | 58 | 58 | 59 | 61 | 63 | 59 | 58 | ||||
Rain Showers | Chance | Likely | Definite | Likely | Likely | Likely | Likely | Chance | Chance | Chance | Slight Chance | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | ||||
Thunder Storm | Slight Chance | Chance | Chance | Chance | Chance | Chance | Chance | Chance | Slight Chance | Slight Chance | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | ||||
WIND CHILL | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | ||||
SPRAY COND | ||||||||||||||||||||||
DRY COND | ||||||||||||||||||||||
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS | ||||||||||||||||||||||
LIVESTOCK HEATSTRESS | 60.54 | 60.66 | 58.97 | 58.98 | 58.99 | 58.02 | 58.00 | 59.00 | 59.00 | 60.90 | 58.98 | 58.07 | 58.11 | 58.97 | 60.54 | 62.01 | 58.95 | 58.18 |
DAY | SATURDAY | SUNDAY | MONDAY | TUESDAY | WEDNESDAY | THURSDAY | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EDT 6HR | 8P | 9P | 10P | 11P | MIDN | 1A | 2A | 3A | 4A | 5A | 6A | 7A | 8A | 9A | 10A | 11A | NOON | 2P | 5P | 8P | 11P | 2A | 5A | 8A | 11A | 2P | 5P | 8P | 2A | 8A | 2P | 8P | 2A | 8A | 2P | 8P | 2A | 8A | 2P | 8P | 2A | 8A | 2P | 8P |
MAX/MIN | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 43° | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 61° | -- | -- | -- | -- | 38° | -- | -- | 56° | -- | -- | 36° | 61° | -- | -- | 41° | 67° | -- | -- | 47° | 61° | -- | -- | 40° | 63° | -- |
TEMP | 54° | 54° | 52° | 50° | 49° | 49° | 47° | 45° | 45° | 43° | 43° | 43° | 43° | 47° | 52° | 56° | 58° | 59° | 58° | 52° | 45° | 43° | 40° | 40° | 49° | 52° | 54° | 52° | 40° | 38° | 58° | 54° | 43° | 45° | 63° | 59° | 54° | 49° | 58° | 56° | 45° | 43° | 59° | 58° |
SKY COVER | 16% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 35% | 43% | 51% | 49% | 47% | 45% | 43% | 41% | 39% | 28% | 18% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 31% | 60% | 51% | 48% | 60% | 78% | 76% | 68% | 55% | 22% | 24% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 29% | 46% | 72% | 68% | 65% | 53% | 37% | 24% | 14% | 15% | 22% | 28% |
Clouds | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DEW PT | 41° | 40° | 38° | 38° | 36° | 36° | 34° | 34° | 34° | 34° | 34° | 36° | 36° | 36° | 34° | 34° | 34° | 34° | 34° | 32° | 31° | 31° | 29° | 29° | 29° | 31° | 31° | 31° | 31° | 31° | 34° | 38° | 34° | 36° | 45° | 47° | 47° | 45° | 43° | 38° | 34° | 34° | 38° | 40° |
RH | 61% | 61% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 65% | 67% | 70% | 73% | 75% | 73% | 62% | 51% | 45% | 41% | 37% | 38% | 46% | 55% | 62% | 67% | 64% | 47% | 44% | 41% | 45% | 73% | 75% | 39% | 52% | 73% | 72% | 50% | 61% | 77% | 86% | 54% | 52% | 67% | 70% | 43% | 49% |
POP 12HR | 57% | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 1% | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 2% | -- | -- | -- | 2% | -- | -- | -- | 1% | -- | 0% | -- | 0% | -- | 2% | -- | 36% | -- | 49% | -- | 20% | -- | 11% | -- | 15% |
RAIN/SNOW (liq.equ) | 0.00in | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.00in | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.00in | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0.00in | -- | 0.00in | -- | 0.00in | -- | 0.00in | -- | 0.00in | -- | 0.00in | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
SNOWFALL | 0in | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0in | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0in | -- | -- | -- | -- | 0in | -- | 0in | -- | 0in | -- | 0in | -- | 0in | -- | 0in | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
WIND SPEED(MPH) | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
WIND DIR | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | NW | NW | NW | NW | NW | NW | NW | NW | NW | W | NW | NW | N | N | N | N | N | NW | NW | NW | N | N | NW | SW | S | S | SW | SW | SW | NW | NW | N | NE | NE | NE | NE |
HeatIndex | 54 | 54 | 52 | 50 | 47 | 45 | 44 | 42 | 41 | 40 | 39 | 39 | 40 | 44 | 52 | 56 | 58 | 59 | 58 | 52 | 42 | 39 | 35 | 37 | 45 | 52 | 54 | 52 | 35 | 35 | 58 | 54 | 39 | 39 | 63 | 59 | 54 | 45 | 58 | 56 | 39 | 36 | 59 | 58 |
Rain Showers | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | Chance | Chance | Slight Chance | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | Slight Chance |
Thunder Storm | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | Slight Chance | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
WIND CHILL | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 41° | 42° | 39° | 39° | 39° | 39° | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 41° | 39° | 36° | 36° | -- | -- | -- | -- | 36° | 35° | -- | -- | 39° | 40° | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | 40° | 37° | -- | -- |
SPRAY COND | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
DRY COND | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LIVESTOCK COLDSTRESS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
LIVESTOCK HEATSTRESS | 55.03 | 55.03 | 53.50 | 51.94 | 51.16 | 51.16 | 49.60 | 47.66 | 47.50 | 45.61 | 45.35 | 45.17 | 45.35 | 49.47 | 53.83 | 56.85 | 58.26 | 58.93 | 58.27 | 54.02 | 48.42 | 46.30 | 43.41 | 43.72 | 51.86 | 54.09 | 55.56 | 54.06 | 42.79 | 40.86 | 58.27 | 55.27 | 45.35 | 47.13 | 61.84 | 58.96 | 54.61 | 49.75 | 58.20 | 56.74 | 47.50 | 45.61 | 58.94 | 58.22 |
...CENTRAL KENTUCKY... CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS MT STERLING* CLOUDY 68 50 52 S9 29.94F FLEMING/MASON* CLOUDY 62 47 58 W5 29.93R DANVILLE* CLOUDY 72 57 60 W12G18 29.96S RICHMOND* CLOUDY 70 54 56 S10 29.96R LEXINGTON CLOUDY 73 55 53 SW14G26 29.95R FRANKFORT CLOUDY 73 60 63 SW20G32 29.94R LOUISVILLE RAIN 64 58 80 W12 29.99R LEBANON* CLOUDY 64 64 100 W12 29.98R GLASGOW* CLOUDY 70 67 92 W3 29.96R BOWLING GREEN MOCLDY 71 67 87 N3 29.96R
506 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Chance precip (%) 70 70 0 0
Precip type tstms tstms None None
Temp (24H TREND) 54-63 (+6) 64-67 (-16) 37-46 61-64
Rh % (24H TREND) 78-100 (+7) 51-73 (+47) 65-100 27-37
20ftwnd-AM(mph) W 5-9 G17 NW 4-8 G16
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SE 2-6 NW 5-9 G17 N 3-7 NW 7-11 G18
Precip duration 2 1
Precip begin 1 AM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 5 PM
Precip amount 0.10 0.07 0.00 0.00
LAL 3 3 1 1
Haines Index (MID) 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 3000 6000
Transport wnd (mph) N 15 W 18
Vent rate (kt-ft) 39000 96000
ADI Early 7 41 7 108
ADI Late 10 53 6 119
Max LVORI Early 3 5 3 4
Max LVORI Late 6 3 4 2
Remarks...Ranges of MIN T over 8 degrees & ranges of MAX
RH over 10% indicate the likelihood of thermal belts. ADI IS
Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas. LVORI is Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index.
SPC's Fire Weather Web Tool (Excellent!), SPC's Fire Weather Outlooks, NWS Fire Weather WEB, Fire Danger Class Map,
Keetch-Byram Drought Index, ROMAN Web, Haines Index ,
WFAS's 10-hr Dead Fuel Moist., WFAS's 100-hr Dead Fuel Moist., Probablity of Ignition, Visual blackness Map, Palmer Drought Index, HPC's Rainfall Forecast Maps
Hazardous Weather Outlook For FLEMING County, Kentucky
408 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
DAY ONE Tonight.
Thunderstorms are possible late tonight, a few of which could produce
strong winds gusts and hail.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN Friday through Wednesday.
There is a chance of thunderstorms on Friday, and possibly lingering
into Friday evening near the Virginia border. Storms near the
Virginia border could produce strong wind gusts and hail on Friday.
There is also a slight chance of thunderstorms in some locations
Tuesday afternoon and evening.
Frost is possible in many locations early Monday morning.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not anticipated.
Latest FLEMING County, Kentucky Watches, Warnings and Advisories.
Additional Drought Info.:
UKAWC Drought Page,
Kentucky Drought Watch
OVERNIGHT
FRIDAY
FRIDAY NIGHT
SATURDAY
SATURDAY NIGHT
SUNDAY
SUNDAY NIGHT
MONDAY
MONDAY NIGHT
TUESDAY
TUESDAY NIGHT
WEDNESDAY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THURSDAY