A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
National Weather Service Nashville TN
212 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019
Wet pattern we have seen the last few weeks keeps rolling on
this forecast period. The next seven days could prove to see
3-4 inches of rain northwest to around 8-9 across the southeast.
After a brief dry segment today, rain returns rapidly tonight
ahead of an approaching warm front and advancing surface low.
This SFC low will move over the mid-state on Sunday. Very little
instability anticipated but shear does ramp up a bit of Sunday
afternoon. Could see a few storms southeast. A few showers likely
to linger on the plateau but a SFC/low-level high moving in will
bring another dry period Monday/Monday night.
Tuesday through Thursday look excessively wet...with several inches
of rain likely for most locations...and especially the south.
Mid-atlantic high holds strong as a SFC low/frontal boundary moves
up the lower MS valley and struggles to move east as mid/level
flow remains nearly parallel. By late Thursday, SFC low weakening
but just gets into north GA. Vertical motion becomes enhanced
during this period as bits of energy pass aloft. Moisture very
deep at this point and moisture advection strong...with axis near
the TN/AL border vicinity. Tuesday night through Thursday,
rainfall amounts looking like ~3 inches north to ~5 south
alone...with heaviest band across north AL. Models have been
trending north so these amounts could increase.
After what looks like at least a break from heavier rain Thursday
night (scattered showers continue), blend of EURO/GFS looks like
Friday into the early part of the weekend yet another warm front,
with another moderate/heavy rain setup.
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map,
[2nd Source TWC]
Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For VAN BUREN County
Issued at 500 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2019
...NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
CLARKSVILLE N/A 38 31 76 E3 29.90F
CROSSVILLE CLOUDY 35 33 92 NE6 29.87R WCI 30
DICKSON CLOUDY 37 32 81 E6 29.86F WCI 33
GALLATIN CLOUDY 43 34 70 NE8 29.92F
LEBANON CLOUDY 43 36 75 SE7 29.88F
LIVINGSTON CLOUDY 37 34 87 CALM 29.88S
NASHVILLE CLOUDY 43 32 65 NE8 29.89F
ROCKWOOD CLOUDY 39 36 87 VRB5 29.85R
SMYRNA N/A 41 35 79 E6 29.90F
SPARTA CLOUDY 39 34 81 N7 29.88S WCI 34
SPRINGFIELD CLEAR 39 32 75 NE6 29.88F WCI 35
WEST NASHVILLE CLOUDY 41 34 75 NE3 29.87F
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee
Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.
All NWS Radars (In near-real time),
Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI),
Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For VAN BUREN County,TN
408 AM CST Sat Feb 16 2019
DAY ONE Today and Tonight
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN Sunday through Friday
A wet pattern with multiple rounds of rainfall will begin Tuesday
and continue through Friday. Several inches of rain will bring
the potential for flooding.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation will not be needed.
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook
7-Day Forecast For VAN BUREN County, TN
241 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers after midnight.
Showers likely late in the night. Lows around 40. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph. Chance of showers 70 percent.
SUNDAY Showers. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph. Chance of showers 90 percent.
SUNDAY NIGHT Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening, then
a slight chance of rain showers after midnight. Lows in the upper
30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of showers 70 percent.
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY Partly sunny in the morning then becoming
partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to
MONDAY NIGHT Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY Cloudy with rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s.
Chance of showers 90 percent.
TUESDAY NIGHT Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Chance of
showers near 100 percent.
WEDNESDAY Showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of showers
WEDNESDAY NIGHT Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of
showers 80 percent.
THURSDAY Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of
showers 70 percent.
THURSDAY NIGHT Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
40s. Chance of showers 60 percent.
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance
of showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Lows in the upper 40s.
SATURDAY Showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of
showers 70 percent.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps,
TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast,
Day 1 Precip,
Day 2 Precip,
Days 1-5 Precip,
Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1,
Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee
6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY
FEB 22-26 FEB 24-MAR 2 FEB FEB-APR
----------- ----------- -------- ---------
Temperature: Above Above Above Below
Precipitation: Above Above Above Below
.... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast,
6 to 10 Day ,
8 to 14 Day ,
Saturday February 16, 2019 the 47th Day of Year
Distance 0.999723 AU
Rise 07:33 EST Set 18:29 EST
Transit Meridian 13:00 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:07 EST Ends 18:55 EST
Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
Washington D.C. received 1.26 inches of rain in six hours atop a snow cover
more than 30 inches deep making it the soggiest day of record. (Sandra and
TI Richard Sanders - 1987)
The temperature at Pokegama Dam MN plunged to 59 degrees below zero to
establish a state record. (David Ludlum)
Record cold prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The mercury plunged to 43
degrees below zero at Concord NH, and to -39 degrees at Portland ME. The
morning low of -32 degrees at Falls Village CT established a state record,
yet the afternoon high that day was 20 degrees above zero. (David Ludlum)
(The Weather Channel)
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky