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Van buren County, TN Weather And Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
All Radar images NOAA/UKAWC
Satellite images from NOAA

Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

National Weather Service Nashville TN
212 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019


Wet pattern we have seen the last few weeks keeps rolling on
this forecast period. The next seven days could prove to see 
3-4 inches of rain northwest to around 8-9 across the southeast.

After a brief dry segment today, rain returns rapidly tonight 
ahead of an approaching warm front and advancing surface low. 
This SFC low will move over the mid-state on Sunday. Very little
instability anticipated but shear does ramp up a bit of Sunday 
afternoon. Could see a few storms southeast. A few showers likely
to linger on the plateau but a SFC/low-level high moving in will
bring another dry period Monday/Monday night.

Tuesday through Thursday look excessively wet...with several inches
of rain likely for most locations...and especially the south. 
Mid-atlantic high holds strong as a SFC low/frontal boundary moves
up the lower MS valley and struggles to move east as mid/level 
flow remains nearly parallel. By late Thursday, SFC low weakening 
but just gets into north GA. Vertical motion becomes enhanced 
during this period as bits of energy pass aloft. Moisture very 
deep at this point and moisture advection strong...with axis near 
the TN/AL border vicinity. Tuesday night through Thursday, 
rainfall amounts looking like ~3 inches north to ~5 south 
alone...with heaviest band across north AL. Models have been 
trending north so these amounts could increase. 

After what looks like at least a break from heavier rain Thursday 
night (scattered showers continue), blend of EURO/GFS looks like 
Friday into the early part of the weekend yet another warm front, 
with another moderate/heavy rain setup.

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For VAN BUREN County
Issued at 500 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2019

CLARKSVILLE      N/A     38  31  76 E3        29.90F                  
CROSSVILLE     CLOUDY    35  33  92 NE6       29.87R WCI  30          
DICKSON        CLOUDY    37  32  81 E6        29.86F WCI  33          
GALLATIN       CLOUDY    43  34  70 NE8       29.92F                  
LEBANON        CLOUDY    43  36  75 SE7       29.88F                  
LIVINGSTON     CLOUDY    37  34  87 CALM      29.88S                  
NASHVILLE      CLOUDY    43  32  65 NE8       29.89F                  
ROCKWOOD       CLOUDY    39  36  87 VRB5      29.85R                  
SMYRNA           N/A     41  35  79 E6        29.90F                  
SPARTA         CLOUDY    39  34  81 N7        29.88S WCI  34          
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     39  32  75 NE6       29.88F WCI  35          
WEST NASHVILLE CLOUDY    41  34  75 NE3       29.87F                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For VAN BUREN County,TN

408 AM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Sunday through Friday

A wet pattern with multiple rounds of rainfall will begin Tuesday
and continue through Friday. Several inches of rain will bring 
the potential for flooding.


Spotter activation will not be needed.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For VAN BUREN County, TN
241 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers after midnight. Showers likely late in the night. Lows around 40. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of showers 70 percent.

Showers. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of showers 90 percent.

Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening, then a slight chance of rain showers after midnight. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of showers 70 percent.

Partly sunny in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Cloudy with rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of showers 90 percent.

Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Chance of showers near 100 percent.

Showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of showers 90 percent.

Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of showers 80 percent.

Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of showers 70 percent.

Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Chance of showers 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Lows in the upper 40s.

Showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of showers 70 percent.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   FEB 22-26 FEB 24-MAR 2    FEB       FEB-APR                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above      Above      Below                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

Almanac Information

Saturday February 16, 2019 the 47th Day of Year

Declination -12.060000
Distance 0.999723 AU
Rise 07:33 EST Set 18:29 EST
Transit Meridian 13:00 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:07 EST Ends 18:55 EST

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

Washington D.C. received 1.26 inches of rain in six hours atop a snow cover
more than 30 inches deep making it the soggiest day of record. (Sandra and
TI Richard Sanders - 1987)
The temperature at Pokegama Dam MN plunged to 59 degrees below zero to
establish a state record. (David Ludlum)
Record cold prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The mercury plunged to 43
degrees below zero at Concord NH, and to -39 degrees at Portland ME. The
morning low of -32 degrees at Falls Village CT established a state record,
yet the afternoon high that day was 20 degrees above zero. (David Ludlum)
(The Weather Channel)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky