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Van buren County, TN Weather And Climate Synopsis

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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

National Weather Service Nashville TN
222 AM CST Thu Nov 22 2018


Another quiet night across the mid state, with the threat of fog
again in the forecast this morning. Satellite trends showing some
fog development, but not as much as last night at this time. Have
fog mention in the forecast and will continue to monitor for any
additional development overnight.

With upper ridging building in today, temps will warm a bit to
yield highs in the upper 50s for most of the area. Dry conditions
will continue for most of the day Friday, but an approaching
Plains trough will have cloud cover move in from west to east
during the day, and increase wind speeds at the surface. Still
looking like southerly winds will be around 10 to 15 mph with 
gusts around 25 mph by the early afternoon Friday, and may pick up
to be 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the late afternoon and
evening especially at higher elevations. Chances for rain will
move in from the west by mid afternoon and spread across the area
overnight, with the best chances during the evening Friday through
early morning hours Saturday.

The upper trough should move through quickly, and skies will begin
to clear from west to east Saturday. Still may be some lingering
showers on the Plateau late morning Saturday but the sun should be
out for most of the mid state by mid afternoon. With shortwave
ridging moving in between troughs, temps will be quite warm with
most of the area seeing the low 60s. Dry weather will be short
lived as a stronger trough will move in Sunday. Models are still
not lining up all that well yet, but at least they all agree on a
more northerly track which has the upper closed low around central
IL by 00Z Monday. This has the best chances for the next round of
showers Sunday afternoon through the overnight hours Monday
morning. Still looks like by the time its cold enough for snow or
mixed precip, the moisture is off to the east, so still holding on
to all rain in the forecast for now.

With another trough/closed low over the Great Lakes region next
week, northwest flow will settle in aloft for most of the week.
Models are having a hard time lining up with shortwaves moving
through the area and timing on any cloud cover/brief shower
chances, so kept next week mostly dry in the forecast. With
northwest flow aloft, there wont be much rebounding of temps, so
highs in the 40s and lows in the upper 20s/low 30s can be
expected. Models diverge even more by late next week, with just
about a completely opposite solution for Thursday and Friday
between the GFS and ECMWF. The Canadian has a somewhat similar yet
more aggressive solution compared to the GFS, so went ahead and
added in slight chance/chance pops for Thursday afternoon through
Friday morning.

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For VAN BUREN County
Issued at 400 AM CST THU NOV 22 2018

CLARKSVILLE      N/A     30  27  88 CALM      30.35S                  
CROSSVILLE       N/A     28  27  96 CALM      30.32F                  
DICKSON        PTCLDY    36  32  87 CALM      30.33F                  
GALLATIN       SUNNY     28  27  93 CALM      30.38S                  
LEBANON        CLEAR     28  27  93 CALM      30.34S                  
LIVINGSTON     CLEAR     36  30  80 CALM      30.32S                  
NASHVILLE        N/A     32  28  85 CALM      30.36S                  
PORTLAND       CLEAR     30  30 100 CALM      30.34S                  
ROCKWOOD       CLEAR     36  32  87 N6        30.31S WCI  31          
SMYRNA         FOG       27  25  93 CALM      30.37S VSB 3/4          
SPARTA         CLEAR     25  25 100 CALM      30.32S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     30  30 100 CALM      30.33S                  
WEST NASHVILLE FOG       32  30  93 CALM      30.34S VSB 1/2          

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee
Based on observations at 400am CST, Thursday November 22, 2018

Across Tennessee...temperatures are near 35 degrees west, near 32 degrees central, and near 30 degrees east. Current sky conditions are fair west, fair central, and fair east. In the west, relative humidity is near 92%, and the dew point is near 33 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 85%, and the dew point is near 28 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 96%, and the dew point is near 29 degrees. Winds are calm west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the northeast at 3 mph east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category west, no stress category central, and no stress category east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 35 degrees at Memphis International Airport. The lowest temperature is 27 degrees at Tri Cities and Smyrna.

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For VAN BUREN County,TN

422 AM CST Thu Nov 22 2018

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight

Patchy, locally dense, freezing fog possible through the
mid morning hours today. Exercise caution on area roadways
thru the mid morning hours today. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday through Wednesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.


Spotter activation will not be needed.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For VAN BUREN County, TN
447 AM CST Thu Nov 22 2018

Sunny. Patchy freezing fog early in the morning. Highs in the mid 50s. East winds up to 5 mph.

Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. Highs around 50. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.

Showers. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of showers 90 percent.

Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers in the morning, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.

Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s.

Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the mid 30s.

Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s.

Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                NOV 27-DEC 1 NOV 29-DEC 5    DEC   DEC18-FEB19                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below     Normal     Normal                      
 Precipitation:     Normal        Above     Normal     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

Almanac Information

Thursday November 22, 2018 the 326th Day of Year

Declination -20.330000
Distance 0.999724 AU
Rise 07:31 EST Set 17:35 EST
Transit Meridian 12:33 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:04 EST Ends 18:02 EST

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

An observer at Boston MA recorded a "great tempest of wind and rain from
the southeast all night, as fierce as a hurricane, and thereupon followed
the highest tide which we have seen since our arrival here". (David Ludlum)
Extremely destructive Santa Ana winds blew from Oxnard to San Diego and
inland parts of southern California. The high winds produced a 28,000 acre
brush fire on a 40-mile front west of Crystal Lake. People were ordered off
streets in some areas due to flying debris. (21st-22nd) (The Weather
Over two inches of rainfall was received at the Jackson, KY Weather Office and 
the London, KY Corbin Airport in 1991. London measured 2.18 inches of 
rain...while Jackson picked up 2.99 inches of precipitation. Both amounts 
established new daily rainfall records for November 22nd.

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky