US Weekly Rainfall Departure		US Weekly Temperature Departure

National Weather Service Nashville TN
225 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

.DISCUSSION...

The streak is over! We only reached 93 yesterday, breaking 3 days in 
a row of record tying high temperatures. Fortunately, it looks like 
the next few day's records are also safe as we should remain a 
couple of degrees below them. It'll still be hot with low 90s each 
of the next 3 days. This persistence also pertains to the rain. The 
upper ridge responsible for these hot temperatures will start to 
weaken a little each day and by Wednesday, we should be into a 
southwesterly flow aloft. This could open the door for a diurnal 
thunderstorm, but I'm going to maintain the dry forecast as the 
subsidence should win out one final day.

Thursday is the day when I think the subsidence will finally be 
overcome and we'll get a slight airmass change. A low pressure 
system is expected to develop near Oklahoma and push northeastward 
into the Ohio River valley Wednesday night. By Thursday 
afternoon, a weak, diffuse frontal system should reach Middle TN 
and we should see some scattered thunderstorms. Helicities are 
still very low, but with a (meager) forcing mechanism, plenty of 
instability and 40 kts of deep layer shear, we should be able to 
squeeze out a few spots of convection. I'm less impressed with 
Thursday's forecast soundings than I was last night, so we're just
talking about general thunderstorms for now.

This "front" should washout as it makes it over to the Cumberland 
Plateau Thursday evening and going into Friday, we completely lose 
the influence of the upper level ridge. A very zonal pattern sets up 
and should be with us into the weekend. I'm of the belief that this 
will create the opportunity for diurnal convection each 
afternoon/early evening starting Friday, but the models are 
showing an extremely muddled mix of QPF both day and night. I'll 
mold the extended PoP forecast around the thoughts of the diurnal 
activity and we'll adjust throughout the week. Hopefully we can 
get a better signal by mid-week. Either way, this new upper level 
pattern should allow us to only top out in the upper 80s next 
weekend and into the start of next week.

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.

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Regional Hourly Observations For RHEA County
Issued at 400 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2019

SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
CHATTANOOGA    FAIR      69  66  90 CALM      30.05F                  
DAYTON         PTSUNNY   66  64  94 CALM      30.04S                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

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Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee
Based on observations at 400am CDT, Monday May 27, 2019

Across Tennessee...temperatures are near 74 degrees west, near 70 degrees central, and near 68 degrees east. Current sky conditions are fair west, fair central, and cloudy east. In the west, relative humidity is near 78%, and the dew point is near 67 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 76%, and the dew point is near 62 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 84%, and the dew point is near 63 degrees. The livestock heat stress category is no stress west, no stress central, and no stress east. Winds are from the south at 6 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 5 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 74 degrees at Memphis International Airport. The lowest temperature is 61 degrees at Crossville.

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Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map

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Hazardous Weather Outlook For RHEA County,TN

325 AM EDT Mon May 27 2019 /225 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019/

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation will not be needed.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

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7-Day Forecast For RHEA County, TN
336 AM EDT Mon May 27 2019

TODAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. West winds 10 mph or less.

TONIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Light winds.

TUESDAY
Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Southwest winds 10 mph or less.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Light winds.

WEDNESDAY
Sunny. Highs around 90. Southwest winds 10 mph or less.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s.

THURSDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

FRIDAY
Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.

SATURDAY
Sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.

SUNDAY
Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

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Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee

                            TENNESSEE                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                 JUN 1-JUN 5  JUN 3-JUN 9    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above     Normal      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above     Normal      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy

5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

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Almanac Information

Monday May 27, 2019 the 147th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 21.420000
Distance 0.999716 AU
Rise 06:33 EDT Set 20:55 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:43 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:05 EDT Ends 21:24 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

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Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

////////////////////////////
MAY 27TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1896...
A massive tornado struck Saint Louis MO killing 306 persons and causing
thirteen million dollars damage. The tornado path was short, but cut across
a densely populated area. It touched down six miles west of Eads Bridge in
Saint Louis and widened to a mile as it crossed into East Saint Louis. The
tornado was the most destructive of record in the U.S. up until that time.
It pierced a five-eighths inch thick iron sheet with a two by four inch
pine plank. A brilliant display of lightning accompanied the storm. (David
Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

...1873...
A tornado struck Louisville, with terrific lightning. (NWS Louisville)

...1987...
Severe thunderstorms in West Texas produced baseball size hail at Crane,
hail up to three and a half inches in diameter at Post, and grapefruit size
hail south of Midland. Five days of flooding commenced in Oklahoma.
Thunderstorms produced 7 to 9 inches of rain in central Oklahoma. Oklahoma
City reported 4.33 inches of rain in six hours. Up to six inches of rain
caused flooding in north central Texas. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)

...1995...
An F0 tornado struck a farm near Campbellsburg (Washington 
County Indiana). (NWS Louisville)

...1996...
Lightning struck and injured a person in Lexington. (NWS Louisville)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky