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Pickett County, TN Weather And Climate Synopsis

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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

National Weather Service Nashville TN
349 AM CDT Wed Mar 21 2018

.SHORT TERM(Today thru Fri Night)...

Will continue with Winter Wx Advisory thru 21/15Z(10 AM CDT) per
supporting sfc obs, especially showing light snowfall continuing
across the Cumberland Plateau Region, along with regional radar
mosiac imagery. As a result, will also continue with Special Wx 
Statement thru 21/12Z(7 AM CDT), but may update it an extend it to
15Z(10 AM CDT) dependent on current sfc obs and regional 
satellite imagery/radar mosiacs as 7 AM CDT approaches.
Will be continuing the freeze warning for entire mid state thru 
21/15Z(10 AM CDT). With pronounced clring tonight, light winds, 
and Canadian based sfc high pressure influences becoming more 
established across region, issued another freeze warning for 
entire midstate from 22/06Z (1 AM CDT Thu) to 22/14Z (9 AM CDT 
Thu). Also mentioned widespread frost across the mid state region 
during this time period too. Will break out an early this morning 
grouping in the zone forecast product to properly highlight wx 
conditions thru 12Z(7 AM CDT). Will then update shortly after to 
mesh with current obs conditions and the latest in consensus short
term model reasoning.

Otherwise, expect exclusively light snowfall production to end 
after 10 AM CDT, except for highest elevations of Upper 
Cumberland Region approaching the KY border. As upper level system
slowly turns eastward, a change over to a light rain/snow mix 
across locations just west of and across the remainder of the 
Cumberland Plateau Region is expected as the morning hrs progress.
A wintry mix will even persist into the afternoon hrs for the 
higher eastern elevations of the Upper Cumberland Region. With 
above mentioned Canadian based sfc high pressure influences 
becoming more entrenched across the mid state region as the day 
progresses, afternoon high temps for today will in some locations
be around 15 degrees below seasonal normal values. Afternoon 
highs today will be generally in the 45 to 50 degrees, upper 30s 
to lower 40s for locations just west of and across the Cumberland 
Plateau Region. Look for any pcpn chances to end by the start of 
this evening, with overnight lows generally in the lower 30s for 
locations west of and around I-65, with lows 25 to 30 degrees for 
locations east of I-65, with clring skies and light winds

A warm up will commence on Thu and into Fri across the mid state
region. Afternoon high temps by Fri will at least be in range of
seasonal normal values for locations west of I-24 where warm air
advection will become most pronounced. Northwesterly upper level
flow will by Thu afternoon usher in some additional cloudiness to
the mid state region. Possible weak upper level disturbances in 
nwly flow aloft across the mid state region will be possible Thu
night into Fri night as upper level ridging influences begin to 
build across the mid state region as an upper level trough begins
to develop across cntrl and srn portions of the MS River Valley
Region. A sfc frontal system will move out of the lee of the
Rockies into the mid MS River Valley also by sunrise on Sat
morning. Do not have a lot of confidence in model solutions at
this point when it comes to depicting areal coverage of any short
wave induced rainfall across the mid state region Thu night
into Fri night. Maybe some isolated light shwrs across western 
portions of the mid state region Thu night into Fri, with a more 
pronounced chance across the entire mid state Fri night as swly 
sfc flow becomes more established ushering in a more unstable air 
mass to our region. This warm air advection scenario and increased
cloud coverage on Fri night will keep overnight lows Fri night 
spanning from the lower 40s Cumberland Plateau Region to upper 40s
TN River Valley Region.


.LONG TERM(Sat thru Tue)...

The extended period will be unsettled, with several systems bringing 
chances for showers. The first will bring a good chance for 
showers Saturday, tapering off Saturday night. In Mid TN. this 
system is expected to produce from one quarter inch of rain 
southwest to as much as 1 inch northeast. Temps on Saturday will be 
mild with highs in the 60s. Lows will drop to the 40s. Sunday 
will bring the lowest rain chance in the extended period with 
the area in between rain-producing systems. Highs will be mainly 
in the lower 60s. 

Chances for showers return by Sunday night, and will continue on and 
off through midweek as southwest flow aloft brings moisture 
and several disturbances across the region. Highs will be mainly in 
the 60s with low mainly upper 40s to lower 50s. A few thunderstorms 
will be possible next week, but we do not expect severe wx.


National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For PICKETT County
Issued at 300 AM CDT WED MAR 21 2018

CLARKSVILLE    CLOUDY    35  30  82 NW13      29.88S WCI  26          
CROSSVILLE     LGT SNOW  30  27  88 W15       29.72F FOG     WCI  19  
GALLATIN       CLOUDY    34  32  93 VRB7G16   29.85F WCI  28          
NASHVILLE      CLOUDY    36  31  82 NW13G18   29.85F WCI  27          
PORTLAND       CLOUDY    32  32 100 NW9G16    29.81F FOG     WCI  24  
SMYRNA         CLOUDY    36  33  89 W13G18    29.86S WCI  27          
SPARTA         CLOUDY    32  32 100 VRB5      29.78S FOG     WCI  27  
WEST NASHVILLE CLOUDY    36  32  87 W14       29.84S WCI  27          

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee
Based on observations at 300am CDT, Wednesday March 21, 2018

Across Tennessee...temperatures are near 43 degrees west and near 36 degrees central. Current sky conditions are mostly cloudy west and cloudy central. In the west, relative humidity is near 76%, and the dew point is near 36 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 82%, and the dew point is near 31 degrees. Winds are from the north at 5 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the northwest at 13 mph with gusts at 18 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. The wind chill is near 27 degrees central. Winds are unavailable east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 43 degrees at Memphis International Airport. The lowest temperature is 32 degrees at Selmer and Bolivar.

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For PICKETT County,TN

503 AM CDT Tue Mar 20 2018

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for from the mid evening
hours tonight for eastern portions of the Highland Rim and Upper 
Cumberland Regions for accumulating snowfall. Total snowfall 
accumulations of one, up to two inches across northern higher 
elevations of the Upper Cumberland Region, are expected. Lesser 
amounts ranging from a few tenths up to one inch are possible for 
locations across western portions of the Highland Rim and 
locations west of the Cumberland Plateau Region tonight.

A freeze warning is in effect from after midnight tonight for
all of Middle Tennessee.  

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Wednesday through Monday

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through the mid morning
hours on Wednesday for eastern portions of the Highland Rim and 
Upper Cumberland Regions for accumulating snowfall. Total snowfall
accumulations of one, up to two inches across northern higher 
elevations of the Upper Cumberland Region, are expected.

A freeze warning will continue to be in effect for all of Middle
Tennessee through the mid morning hours on Wednesday.


Snowfall accumulation reports are always helpful and welcomed.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For PICKETT County, TN
844 PM CDT Tue Mar 20 2018



Light snow possibly mixed with rain early in the evening, then light snow after midnight. Snow accumulation around 1 inch. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

Cloudy. Light snow likely possibly mixed with rain in the morning, then a chance of rain possibly mixed with snow in the afternoon. Snow accumulation up to 1 inch. Total snow accumulation 1 to 2 inches. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

Mostly cloudy in the evening then clearing. Areas of frost after midnight. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Mostly sunny. Areas of frost in the morning. Highs around 50. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the lower 30s. North winds up to 5 mph in the evening becoming light.

Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the lower 50s.

Rain showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Chance of showers 60 percent.

Rain showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of showers 70 percent.

Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Chance of showers 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s.

Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.

Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Lows in the mid 40s.

Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   MAR 26-30 MAR 28-APR 3    MAR       MAR-MAY                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above       Normal     Normal      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

Almanac Information

Wednesday March 21, 2018 the 80th Day of Year

Declination 0.620000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 06:48 EDT Set 19:00 EDT
Transit Meridian 12:53 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:23 EDT Ends 19:24 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

A tornado swarm occurred in the Deep South. Between late afternoon and
early the next morning severe thunderstorms spawned 31 tornadoes in
Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia and Tennessee. The tornadoes killed 334
persons and injured 1784 others. Northern Alabama was hardest hit.
Tornadoes in Alabama killed 286 persons and caused five million dollars
damage. (David Ludlum)
Severe thunderstorms spawned thirty-one tornadoes across Arkansas,
Tennessee, Missouri, Mississippi, Alabama and Kentucky. The tornadoes
killed 343 persons and caused 15 million dollars damage. Arkansas and
Tennessee each reported thirteen tornadoes. The towns of Judsonia AR and
Henderson TN were nearly wiped off the map in what proved to be the worst
tornado outbreak of record for Arkansas. A tornado, one and a half miles
wide at times, left a church the only undamaged building at Judsonia.
(David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky