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Morgan County, TN Weather And Climate Synopsis

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US Weekly Rainfall Departure



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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

National Weather Service Nashville TN
228 PM CDT Sat Oct 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...

At mid afternoon, a cold front was located to the southeast of the 
mid state.  A second cold front will move through this evening. Caa 
will bring with it falling temps overnight. Sfc high will reach MO 
by 12z. Under clear skies, low temps are expected to fall to near 
freezing Plateau, ranging to the upper 30s southwest. Winds will 
subside, particularly aft 09z. Will go ahead and include a freeze 
warning for our northern and central Plateau, and a frost advisory 
across the remainder of the north. Look for sunny and cool weather 
for your Sunday. 

Sunday night, sfc low to reach the western Carolinas by 12z. Western 
ridge extension points our way with wind speeds notably lighter area 
wide. Temps should be a degree or so cooler but will refrain from 
any further npw products so as to avoid confusion. In all likelihood, 
additional advisories/warnings will come out again for tomorrow 
night. Decided against a freeze watch because of a lack of 
confidence in terms of a killing freeze, we don't see it. 

Moving on, southerly return flow on Monday will couple with rising 
heights and end the frost/freeze headaches, for a while anyway. 
Highs on Monday will be back in the 60s with lows Monday night upper 
30s to lower 40s. 

In the ext fcst, a shallow and dry fropa to occur on Tuesday. 
Following this, a developing upper ridge over the plains will 
deamplify with a trend toward a zonal flow into mid week. Temps will 
warm to near 70 by the end of the week. Over the weekend, upper 
level energy will dive southward through the eastern U.S. and bring 
a chance of rain showers once again. 

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For MORGAN County


Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee
Based on observations at 400pm CDT, Saturday October 20, 2018

Across Tennessee...temperatures are near 68 degrees west and near 68 degrees central. Current sky conditions are partly sunny west and fair central. In the west, relative humidity is near 50%, and the dew point is near 49 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 37%, and the dew point is near 41 degrees. Winds are from the northwest at 10 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the northwest at 9 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are unavailable east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 68 degrees at Nashville, Memphis International Airport, Huntingdon, Dyersburg, and Covington. The lowest temperature is 64 degrees at Selmer and Bolivar.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For MORGAN County,TN

256 PM EDT Sat Oct 20 2018 /156 PM CDT Sat Oct 20 2018/

 DAY ONE  This Afternoon and Tonight

Freezing temperatures are forecast tonight across the higher
elevations of east Tennessee, southwest North Carolina, southwest
Virginia and Cumberland Plateau with low temperatures ranging 
from the mid 20s to the lower 30s. The coldest temperatures will 
be in the highest elevations. 

Gusty northwesterly winds are also forecast tonight across the
higher elevations of east Tennessee, southwest North Carolina, 
and southwest Virginia with gusts to around 40 mph.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Sunday through Friday

More widespread freezing temperatures and frost will likely occur
Sunday night for areas generally north of the I-40 corridor and 
include Tri Cities, southwest Virginia, and southwest North 
Carolina.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation will not be needed.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For MORGAN County, TN
301 PM EDT Sat Oct 20 2018


FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY

TONIGHT
Mostly clear. Breezy. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the evening.

SUNDAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. North winds 10 mph or less.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Clear. Patchy frost early in the morning. Lows in the lower 30s. Light winds.

MONDAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Light winds.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light winds.

TUESDAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 60s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.

WEDNESDAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows around 40.

THURSDAY
Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.

FRIDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs around 60.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee
                            TENNESSEE                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   OCT 26-30 OCT 28-NOV 3    OCT       OCT-DEC                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below                                            
 Precipitation:     Normal        Above                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

Almanac Information

Saturday October 20, 2018 the 293th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -10.680000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 07:59 EDT Set 19:04 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:31 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:33 EDT Ends 19:29 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

////////////////////////////
OCTOBER 20TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1770...
An exceedingly great storm struck eastern New England causing extensive
coastal damage from Massachusetts to Maine, and the highest tide in 47
years. (David Ludlum)
...1983...
Remnants of Pacific Hurricane Tico caused extensive flooding in central and
south central Oklahoma. Oklahoma City set daily rainfall records with 1.45
inch on the 19th, and 6.28 inches on the 20th. (17th-21st) (The Weather
Channel)
...1987...
Cold arctic air invaded the Upper Midwest, and squalls in the Lake Superior
snowbelt produced heavy snow in eastern Ashland County and northern Iron
County of Wisconsin. Totals ranged up to 18 inches at Mellen. In the
western U.S., the record high of 69 degrees at Seattle WA was their
twenty-fifth of the year, their highest number of record highs for any
given year. Bakersfield CA reported a record 146 days in a row with daily
highs 80 degrees or above. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
Unseasonably warm weather continued in the western U.S. In California,
afternoon highs of 96 degrees at Redding and Red Bluff were records for the
date. (The National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Forty-nine cities reported record low temperatures for the date as readings
dipped into the 20s and 30s across much of the south central and
southeastern U.S. Lows of 32 degrees at Lake Charles LA and 42 degrees at
Lakeland FL were records for October, and Little Rock AR reported their
earliest freeze of record. Snow blanketed the higher elevations of Georgia
and the Carolinas. Melbourne FL dipped to 47 degrees shortly before
midnight to surpass the record low established that morning. Showers and
thunderstorms brought heavy rain to parts of the northeastern U.S. Autumn
leaves on the ground clogged drains and ditches causing flooding. Up to
4.10 inches of rain soaked southern Vermont in three days. Flood waters
washed 600 feet of railroad track, resulting in a train derailment. (The
National Weather Summary)(Storm Data)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky