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Lincoln County, TN Weather And Climate Synopsis

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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts





US Weekly Rainfall Departure



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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

National Weather Service Nashville TN
208 AM CST Sat Dec 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Surface ridge has shifted east of Middle Tennessee, with much
welcome return flow now establishing itself, although we'll have
to endure one more cold morning. The southerly flow will start to
bear fruit a few hours from now as temperatures warm into the 
50's most areas across the mid state. In spite of copious and 
well- deserved sunshine today, things will change quickly. A 
shortwave currently brewing over northern Mexico will gain steam 
over the next 24 hours and move rapidly toward the northeast and 
bring rain to the mid state on Sunday. A few echoes may slip 
across the Tennessee River prior to 12Z Sunday, but the primary 
focus appears to be 12-18Z Sunday. The deepest moisture will pull 
east of Middle Tennessee after 18Z, with lesser POP's lingering 
into the afternoon and evening. The forecast surface pattern 
really doesn't portend any sort of frontal passage until late 
Tuesday or Tuesday evening, so look for temperatures to continue 
escalating until the middle of next week, when we'll see a slight,
brief cooling trend. Both the ECMWF and GFS continue to bring a 
much stronger cold front through Middle Tennessee on Friday. That 
they are in such good agreement this far out is unusual. 

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Regional Hourly Observations For LINCOLN County
Issued at 200 AM CST SAT DEC 16 2017

SOUTH MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
FAYETTEVILLE   CLEAR     25  23  93 CALM      30.23R                  
TULLAHOMA      CLEAR     21  19  93 CALM      30.22R                  
WINCHESTER     CLEAR     21  19  93 CALM      30.24S                  
MCMINNVILLE    CLEAR     21  21 100 CALM      30.22S                  
COLUMBIA       MOCLDY    28  25  86 CALM      30.21R                  
SHELBYVILLE    CLEAR     23  21  93 E3        30.23S                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee
Based on observations at 200am CST, Saturday December 16, 2017

Across Tennessee...temperatures are near 34 degrees west, near 30 degrees central, and near 27 degrees east. Current sky conditions are cloudy west, clear central, and cloudy east. In the west, relative humidity is near 72%, and the dew point is near 26 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 75%, and the dew point is near 23 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 85%, and the dew point is near 23 degrees. Winds are from the south at 6 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The wind chill is near 29 degrees west. Winds are from the south at 3 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category west, no stress category central, and no stress category east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 37 degrees at Dyersburg. The lowest temperature is 23 degrees at Crossville.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For LINCOLN County,TN

236 PM CST Fri Dec 15 2017

 DAY ONE  Tonight  

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Saturday through Thursday  

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

Isolated ordinary thunderstorms will be possible on Monday and 
Monday night as a cold front passes over the region.

 SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT  

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management personnel is 
not anticipated at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For LINCOLN County, TN
212 AM CST Sat Dec 16 2017

EARLY THIS MORNING
Clear. South winds around 5 mph.

TODAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. South winds around 5 mph.

SUNDAY
Rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Near steady temperature in the upper 40s. South winds around 5 mph.

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 30s.

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.

FRIDAY
Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee
                            TENNESSEE                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   DEC 21-25    DEC 23-29    DEC       DEC-FEB                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:     Normal       Normal     Normal      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above     Normal      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

Almanac Information

Saturday December 16, 2017 the 350th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -23.350000
Distance 0.999725 AU
Rise 07:52 EST Set 17:34 EST
Transit Meridian 12:42 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:24 EST Ends 18:02 EST

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

DECEMBER 16TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1835...
New England experienced one of their coldest days of record. At noon on
that bitterly cold Wednesday the mercury stood at four degrees below at
Boston, 15 degrees below at Norfolk CT, and 17 degrees below at Hanover NH.
The temperature at Boston was 12 degrees below zero by sunset. Gale force
winds accompanied the severe cold, and that night a great New York City
fire destroyed much of the financial district. (David Ludlum)
...1869...
A bill was introduced in the House of Representatives, 41st Congress, 
calling for the taking [of] meteorological observations at the military 
stations in the interior of the continent, and for giving notice on the 
northern lakes and Atlantic seaboard of the approach and force of storms. 
This would be signed in to law February 9, 1870, by President Grant, 
establishing what would come to be called the National Weather Service. You 
can see the actual bill on-line at: 
 here.
...1917...
An ice jam closed the Ohio River between Warsaw KY and Rising Sun IN. The
thirty foot high ice jam held for 58 days, and backed up the river a
distance of 100 miles. (David Ludlum)
...1987...
A Pacific storm battered the coast of California with rain and high winds,
and dumped heavy snow on the mountains of California. Winds along the coast
gusted to 70 mph at Point Arguello, and winds in the Tehachapi Mountains of
southern California gusted to 100 mph at Wheeler Ridge. Snowfall totals
ranged up to 24 inches at Mammoth Mountain. Snow fell for two minutes at
Malibu Beach, and Disneyland was closed due to the weather for only the
second time in twenty-four years. A winter storm which began in the
Southern Rockies four days earlier finished its course producing snow and
high winds in New England. Snowfall totals ranged up to 19 inches at
Blanchard ME. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
Fairbanks AK reported freezing rain and record warm temperatures. The
afternoon high of 41 degrees was 43 degrees above normal. Snow and high
winds continued to plague the mountains of southern California. Mount
Wilson CA reported two inches of rain in six hours during the early
morning, and a storm total of more than 3.50 inches of rain. (The National
Weather Summary)
...1989...
Fifty-seven cities from the Southern and Central Plains to the Appalachians
reported record low temperatures for the date, including North Platte NE
with a reading of 17 degrees below zero. Squalls in the Great Lakes Region
produced 18 inches of snow at Syracuse NY, and 30 inches at Carlisle IND.
Low pressure brought heavy snow to northern New England, with 18 inches
reported at Derby VT and Saint Johnsbury VT. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky