A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
National Weather Service Nashville TN
308 PM CDT Fri Mar 23 2018
Frontal boundary positioned over the deep south this afternoon. This
feature will begin lifting north as a warm front overnight and will
stall across northern Middle TN. Rainfall will redevelop tonight and
Saturday, with the best coverage occurring across northern areas.
A surface low will then drop southeastward along the boundary and
bring some additional light showers and areas of drizzle into
Saturday night. Sunday and Sunday night look to be relatively quiet
before another warm front lifts northward once again. Qpf amounts
through Sunday night look as though they will range from 1 1/2
inches northeast, to a half inch southwest.
For the near term temps, look for low diurnal swings given the
moisture and clouds. Daily averages will run very close to normal.
In the ext fcst, the pattern will become active by mid week. Prior
to that time, just some light shower activity will exist with a warm
front located well north of the area. The catalyst for the increase
in activity by mid week will involve the combination of an upper
trough over the desert southwest and a strengthening cold frontal
boundary just to our west. The slow moving boundary will reach our
area on Wednesday with an increasing magnitude of low level forcing.
Rainfall will be widespread and heavy at times.
The latest GFS has indicated a slight decrease in regard to the
development of the upper low over the southwestern U.S. Thus, we are
seeing a little bit more in the way of progressiveness with the
frontal boundary. Gfs based qpf amounts have dropped some over our
southern areas compared to the previous runs. However, the European
run has shown an increase with totals with the maximum amounts now
further north across our area. So, the overall model continuity and
consistency is a bit weak right now, but current total expected qpf
averages over the next 7 days look to be around 4 to 6 inches. WPC
matches up with this as well.
No flood outlook (esf) issuance for now, but will be monitoring and
may issue the product sometime this weekend. Otw, ext temps to
change little. Look for low diurnal swings and above avg daily
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map,
[2nd Source TWC]
Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For JACKSON County
Issued at 500 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018
...NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
CLARKSVILLE CLOUDY 54 37 52 E9 30.16F
CROSSVILLE CLOUDY 49 29 46 NE5 30.20S
GALLATIN CLOUDY 55 34 44 VRB6 30.22S
NASHVILLE CLOUDY 58 36 43 E7 30.18S
PORTLAND CLOUDY 54 36 50 SE3 30.19S
SMYRNA LGT RAIN 58 36 43 E6 30.19S
SPARTA CLOUDY 54 30 40 N3 30.20S
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 55 37 50 SE5 30.17S
WEST NASHVILLE CLOUDY 57 37 47 E7 30.16S
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee
Based on observations at 500pm CDT, Friday March 23, 2018
Across Tennessee...temperatures are near 68 degrees west and near 58 degrees central. Current sky conditions are cloudy west and cloudy central. In the west, relative humidity is near 40%, and the dew point is near 43 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 43%, and the dew point is near 36 degrees. Winds are from the south at 10 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the east at 7 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are unavailable east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 69 degrees at Memphis NWS. The lowest temperature is 54 degrees at Clarksville.
Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.
All NWS Radars (In near-real time),
Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI),
Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For JACKSON County,TN
1017 AM CDT Fri Mar 23 2018
DAY ONE Today and Tonight
No hazardous weather is expected.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN Saturday through Thursday
Heavy rainfall will be possible Tuesday night through Thursday.
Exact rainfall amounts and locations are uncertain at this time,
but several inches of rain could cause flooding.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook
7-Day Forecast For JACKSON County, TN
329 PM CDT Fri Mar 23 2018
Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds up to
10 mph. Chance of showers 90 percent.
SATURDAY Showers in the morning, then showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 50s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
SATURDAY NIGHT Cloudy. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers after
midnight. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph
shifting to the northeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation
SUNDAY Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds around 5 mph shifting
to the southeast after midnight.
MONDAY Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 50s.
MONDAY NIGHT Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 40s.
TUESDAY Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 60s.
TUESDAY NIGHT Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 50s.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY Showers likely. Highs in the mid
60s. Lows in the mid 50s. Chance of showers 70 percent.
THURSDAY NIGHT Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of
showers 70 percent.
FRIDAY Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. A
20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps,
TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast,
Day 1 Precip,
Day 2 Precip,
Days 1-5 Precip,
Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1,
Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee
6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY
MAR 29-APR 2 MAR 31-APR 6 MAR MAR-MAY
----------- ----------- -------- ---------
Temperature: Below Below Normal Above
Precipitation: Above Above Above Above
.... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast,
6 to 10 Day ,
8 to 14 Day ,
Friday March 23, 2018 the 82th Day of Year
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 06:45 EDT Set 19:02 EDT
Transit Meridian 12:53 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:21 EDT Ends 19:26 EDT
Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
A vicious tornado hit the city of Omaha NE. The tornado struck during the
late afternoon on Easter Sunday, and in just twelve minutes cut a swath of
total destruction five miles long and two blocks wide across the city
killing 94 persons and causing 3.5 million dollars property damage. (David
Pocatello ID received a record 14.6 inches of snow in 24 hours. (The
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky