A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
National Weather Service Nashville TN
323 AM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018
A Freeze Warning remains in effect until 8 am this morning.
At 2 am, it was mostly clear and cold across the Mid-State, with
temperatures in the 30s. A number of locations already had
readings at or near the freezing mark, while the Nashville heat
island still clung to readings in the mid to upper 30s. Since dew
points are running mainly in the lower 30s, you can expect areas
of fog or freezing fog to develop near rivers and lakes as the
temperatures cool before sunrise, some of which could become
locally dense. Patchy fog is expected elsewhere early this
morning. In addition to the widespread occurrence of freezing
temperatures and fog, you can also expect quite a bit of frost to
hang around until about 8 am.
After a cold start to the day, you can expect widespread sunshine
to send afternoon temperatures into the lower and middle 60s.
A dry cold front sweeps through tonight, but doesn't bring any
real cooling behind it. The main effect will simply be to turn our
winds back to the north. Lows tonight will be mainly around 40
degrees, with highs on Tuesday actually a little warmer than
today's readings, topping out in the middle to upper 60s.
Some high clouds will start to work their way into our area on
Wednesday, along the northeastern periphery of a developing low
pressure system along the Texas coast. Low level thicknesses over
the Mid-State come down about 20 meters, resulting in high
temperatures about 5 or 6 degrees cooler than Tuesday's readings.
The low pressure area off the Texas coast merges with the remnants
of a tropical low (currently known as Hurricane Willa, approaching
western Mexico) and then tracks across the southeastern U.S.
during the middle to latter part of the week, bringing rain
chances to our area as early as Thursday afternoon. The GFS is
further south with the placement of a surface low than the EURO in
the latest 00z runs, with the Canadian even further south than
the GFS. Given that a shortwave will also be traversing the CWA
Thursday morning, a deepening trough and northwest flow will be
taking shape over the Midwest, and a decent amount of rising
motion will move out ahead of these features, confidence increases
for higher PoPs Thursday evening into Friday morning. Expect a
brief break from the rain Friday evening before another system
rapidly drops in from the northwest, bringing more chances for
rain during late morning and afternoon hours on Saturday. Light
rain may even hang on thru the weekend until Monday midday, before
Daytime temperatures will remain in the 50s to near 60F late week
into the weekend, with overnight lows generally in the low to mid
40s. Overall, not expecting a late week washout, but keep the
umbrella around just in case.
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map,
[2nd Source TWC]
Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For HAYWOOD County
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee
Based on observations at 400am CDT, Monday October 22, 2018
Across Tennessee...temperatures are near 42 degrees west and near 36 degrees central. Current sky conditions are fair west and fair central. In the west, relative humidity is near 85%, and the dew point is near 38 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 89%, and the dew point is near 33 degrees. Winds are from the east at 3 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are unavailable east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 42 degrees at Memphis International Airport. The lowest temperature is 32 degrees at Union City, Paris, Lexington, and Bolivar.
Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.
All NWS Radars (In near-real time),
Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI),
Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For HAYWOOD County,TN
327 AM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018
DAY ONE Today and Tonight
A Freeze Warning has been issued for portions of West Tennessee
near the Tennessee River through 9 AM CDT. A Frost Advisory
remains in effect across a larger area of the Mid-South including
Northeast Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel, much of West Tennessee
and North Mississippi through 9 AM CDT.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN Tuesday through Sunday
The probability of widespread hazardous weather is low.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook
7-Day Forecast For HAYWOOD County, TN
315 AM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018
FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING
TODAY Areas of frost early in the morning. Sunny. Highs in the
mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
TONIGHT Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Light and
TUESDAY Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds around
TUESDAY NIGHT Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
WEDNESDAY Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
THURSDAY Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 50s.
THURSDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
FRIDAY A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy in the
then becoming partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
FRIDAY NIGHT Mostly cloudy in the evening
partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
SATURDAY Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 60s.
SATURDAY NIGHT A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy
in the evening
then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid
SUNDAY Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps,
TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast,
Day 1 Precip,
Day 2 Precip,
Days 1-5 Precip,
Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1,
Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee
6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY
OCT 27-OCT 31 OCT 29-NOV 4 OCT OCT-DEC
----------- ----------- -------- ---------
Temperature: Below Below
Precipitation: Above Above
.... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast,
6 to 10 Day ,
8 to 14 Day ,
Monday October 22, 2018 the 295th Day of Year
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 08:00 EDT Set 19:01 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:31 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:35 EDT Ends 19:26 EDT
Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
The temperature soared to 104 degrees at San Diego CA. Southern California
was in the midst of a late October heat wave that year. Los Angeles had ten
consecutive days with afternoon highs reaching 100 degrees. (David Ludlum)
(The Weather Channel)
A guest on the top floor of a hotel in Seattle WA was seriously injured
while talking on the phone when lightning struck. Several persons are
killed each year when the electrical charge from a lightning bolt travels
via telephone wiring. (The Weather Channel)
Yakutat AK surpassed their previous all-time yearly precipitation total of
190 inches. Monthly records were set in June with 17 inches, in September
with 70 inches, and in October with more than 40 inches. (Sandra and TI
Richard Sanders - 1987)
Twenty-two cities in the eastern U.S., most of them in the southeast
states, reported record low temperatures for the date. Morning lows of 30
degrees at Athens GA, 28 degrees at Birmingham AL, and 23 degrees at Pinson
AL, were the coldest of record for so early in the season. (The National
Showers produced heavy rain in southern California, with amounts ranging up
to five inches at Blue Jay. Flash flooding resulted in two deaths, ten
injuries, and more than a million dollars damage. (The National Weather
Summary) (Storm Data)
A "nor'easter" swept across the coast of New England. Winds gusted to 75
mph, and large waves and high tides caused extensive shoreline flooding. A
heavy wet snow blanketed much of eastern New York State, with a foot of
snow reported in Lewis County. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
A storm system moving out of the Gulf of Alaska brought rain to the
Northern and Central Pacific Coast Region, with snow in some of the
mountains of Oregon, and wind gusts to 60 mph along the Oregon coast. Six
cities in Florida reported record low temp-eratures for the date, including
Tallahassee with a reading of 34 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky