A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
National Weather Service Nashville TN
646 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 101 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Water vapor imagery this morning shows a strong upper-level low over
eastern CO. As this system tracks northeast into the Great Plains
today, cloud cover will increase over our area. Despite this,
temperatures should still warm nicely with highs forecast to reach
into the mid-80's once again. At this time, there are some light
showers over west TN approaching, but this light rain should quickly
clear out by mid-morning, leaving us dry for most of the day.
However, by late this evening, a line of showers and thunderstorms
will be approaching from the west. Latest model guidance holds off
on bringing this into western Middle TN until around midnight. As
these storms cross the Tennessee River, they should rapidly
weaken with little to no CAPE across Middle TN. Thus, the threat
for strong to severe storms tonight is very low.
On Wednesday, the aforementioned low passes well to our north with
its center tracking northeast over Iowa and Minnesota. With this
track so far north, so is the better forcing for severe weather.
However, there is a conditional threat for severe weather across
Middle TN Wednesday afternoon. As Tuesday night's showers clear
the area by mid-Wednesday morning, instability should rebound
with MLCAPE values ranging from 1500-2000 J/kg. Forecast soundings
also show steep mid-level lapse rates ranging from 7-9 C/km.
But these forecast soundings also show a large capping inversion
that looks to be slow to erode. If the cap can break and storms
are able to develop, then they will do so in an environment that
should be supportive of large hail and damaging winds. But most
model guidance actually keeps Middle TN clear Wednesday
afternoon. So it's also possible we get nothing on Wednesday. Any
severe weather risk looks to diminish after sunset.
 National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map,
[2nd Source TWC]
Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For BLOUNT MTS County
Current Temperatures,
Dewpoint,
RH,
Wind,
Regional Obs,
Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Tennessee
Based on observations at 1100am CDT, Tuesday April 16, 2024
Across Tennessee...temperatures are near 75 degrees west and near 79 degrees central. Current sky conditions are partly sunny west and partly sunny central. In the west, relative humidity is near 68%, and the dew point is near 64 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 52%, and the dew point is near 60 degrees. Winds are from the south at 15 mph with gusts at 25 mph west, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the south at 16 mph with gusts at 23 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are unavailable east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 79 degrees at Nashville. The lowest temperature is 75 degrees at Memphis International Airport and Dyersburg.
Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.
US Radar,
All NWS Radars (In near-real time),
Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI),
Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For BLOUNT MTS County,TN
246 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024 /146 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024/
DAY ONE Today and Tonight
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN Wednesday through Monday
A few strong thunderstorms possible Wednesday mainly across the
Cumberland Plateau counties. Strong winds and possible severe hail
may occur.
Southwesterly winds will be gusty on Wednesday with gusts up to 30
mph possible in most locations and slightly higher in the
mountains.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not needed at this time.
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook
7-Day Forecast For BLOUNT MTS County, TN
1101 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
REST OF TODAY
Partly sunny. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers late. Breezy
with lows in the mid 50s to mid 60s. South winds 15 to 25 mph
with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning
and early afternoon, then a chance of showers with a slight
chance of thunderstorms late. Breezy with highs in the mid 60s to
upper 70s. Temperature falling into the upper 60s in the
afternoon. South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
Chance of rain 40 percent.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers with a
slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Breezy with
lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 15 to 25 mph,
becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph after midnight. Chance of rain
30 percent.
THURSDAY
Sunny. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. West winds 10 mph
or less.
THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers
in the evening, then mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
Chance of rain 40 percent.
FRIDAY
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
60s and 70s. Temperature falling into the upper 60s in the
afternoon. Chance of rain 80 percent.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers with a
slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the 50s.
Chance of rain 30 percent.
SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Temperature falling into the lower 60s in the afternoon. Chance
of rain 40 percent.
SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Chance of rain 40 percent.
SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Chance of
rain 50 percent.
SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers, mainly in the
evening. Lows in the 40s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
MONDAY
Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the 50s to mid 60s.
12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps,
TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast,
Fire Danger,
Day 1 Precip,
Day 2 Precip,
Days 1-5 Precip,
Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1,
Day 2
Medium & Long Range Outlook For Tennessee
TENNESSEE
---------------------------------------------
6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY
APR 21-25 APR 23-29 JUN JUN-AUG
----------- ----------- -------- ---------
Temperature: Below Above Normal Above
Precipitation: Normal Above Above Above
.... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast,
6 to 10 Day ,
8 to 14 Day ,
Text,
30-Day Outook,
90-Day Outook,
120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information
Tuesday April 16, 2024 the 107th Day of Year
---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 10.660000
Distance 0.999719 AU
Rise 07:11 EDT Set 20:22 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:46 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:45 EDT Ends 20:48 EDT
Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
APRIL 16TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1851...
The famous "Lighthouse Storm" raged near Boston Harbor. Whole gales and
gigantic waves destroyed Minot Light with its two keepers still inside. The
storm resulted in great shipping losses and coastal erosion. (David Ludlum)
...1880...
A tornado near Marshall MO carried the heavy timbers of an entire home a
distance of twelve miles. (The Weather Channel)
...1933...
Franklin Lake NH was buried under 35 inches of snow. (Sandra and TI Richard
Sanders - 1987)
...1960...
A wind gust of 70 mph was measured at the Stapleton International Airport
in Denver CO, their highest wind gust of record. (The Weather Channel)
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky
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