US Weekly Rainfall Departure		US Weekly Temperature Departure

222 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 220 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Tonight and Tomorrow: The severe weather and flooding threat in 
the northern portions of the CWA will be the main focus for the 
short term forecast as a slight and marginal risk areas for severe
will continue through midnight tonight. Damaging wind gusts up to
60mph, hail up to golf ball sized, severe storms possible will be
the main threats for this event as well as a tornado not being 
able to be be ruled out. Flash flooding will also be possible near
the ArkLaMs borders due to the repetitive nature of the 
forecasted storms heavy rainfall over the same area. While we 
still expect this to be scattered thunderstorm event, if storms do
form there is the possibility for supercell development which 
could produce hail up to golf ball sized, damaging wind gusts and 
a tornado cant be ruled out. The timing of the main brunt of this 
weather will last until around midnight tonight. As storms wrap up
expect isolated shower and storm chances to remain through the 
overnight but will remain mostly above I-20 with best chances 
above Hwy-82. Going into the morning dense patchy fog will be 
possible again in the southeastern portions of the CWA as excess 
moisture and light winds will make development easy and more 
likely due to persistence. Going into the early morning a cold 
front will be in the process of dropping into the CWA allowing 
rain chances in the north to persist through the afternoon as the 
boundary moves off to our east. Rain chances will continue in the 
northeastern portions of the CWA through the forecast period./KP/

Saturday through Thursday: The pattern change will continue 
through the weekend and into early next week as an upper-level 
ridge over the Gulf of Mexico refocuses over the southwestern U.S.
and upper-level troughing becomes more prevalent over the eastern
U.S. Building surface high pressure will make its way southeast 
out of the High Plains and toward the Mid- South behind a cold 
front Sunday into Monday. It should bring drier air and initially 
cooler weather to the Gulf Coast region. Flow aloft over our area 
will be mostly zonal in the early to midweek time frame, and it's 
possible a shortwave moving north of our area and its attendant 
cold front could trigger a few showers or thunderstorms as the 
system glances by our region. For now, POPs are an uncertain 20 
percent for next Wednesday. Temps will warm to above normal again 
as the high pressure shifts eastward. /NF/

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.

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Regional Hourly Observations For WEBSTER County
500 PM CDT THU APR 18 2024

GOLDN TRIANGLE LGT RAIN  71  67  87 S8        30.01S                  
IUKA             N/A     77  70  80 S8        29.99F                  
LOUISVILLE     TSTM      70  70 100 CALM      30.08R FOG              
STARKVILLE     RAIN      68  66  94 VRB5      30.00F FOG              
TUPELO         FAIR      76  67  73 S13       29.97F                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

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Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Mississippi
Based on observations at 500pm CDT, Thursday April 18, 2024

Across Mississippi...temperatures are near 76 degrees north, near 76 degrees central, and near 74 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, cloudy central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 73%, and the dew point is near 67 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 79%, and the dew point is near 69 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 91%, and the dew point is near 71 degrees. Winds are from the south at 13 mph north, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the southeast at 7 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southeast at 8 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 81 degrees at Vicksburg and Hattiesburg. The lowest temperature is 70 degrees at Greenville.

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Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map

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Hazardous Weather Outlook For WEBSTER County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

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7-Day Forecast For WEBSTER County, MS
458 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely this evening, then partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the morning. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds around 5 mph, becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Cooler with lows in the mid 50s. North winds around 5 mph.

SATURDAY
Cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler with highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then clearing. Lows around 40.

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 60s. Lows in the mid 40s.

TUESDAY
Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

THURSDAY
Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

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Medium & Long Range Outlook For Mississippi

                          MISSISSIPPI                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   APR 24-28 APR 26-MAY 2    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:                                                                    
 Precipitation:                                                                    

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy

5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

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Almanac Information

Thursday April 18, 2024 the 109th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 11.360000
Distance 0.999719 AU
Rise 07:27 EDT Set 20:33 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:59 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:03 EDT Ends 20:57 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

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Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

APRIL 18TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1880...
More than two dozen tornadoes were reported from Kansas and Arkansas to
Wisconsin and Michigan. More than 100 persons were killed, including 65
persons at Marshfield MO. (David Ludlum)
...1906...
A severe earthquake shook San Francisco, and unusual easterly winds spread
fires destroying the city. (David Ludlum)
...1944...
California experienced its worst hailstorm of record. Damage mounted to two
million dollars as two consecutive storms devastated the Sacramento Valley
destroying the fruit crop. (The Weather Channel)
...1957...
A dust devil near Dracut MA lifted a small child three feet into the air,
and rolled two other children on the ground. Fortunately none of the three
were hurt. The dust devil was accompanied by a loud whistling sound as it
moved westward. (The Weather Channel)
...1970...
Rapid City SD received a record 22 inches of snow in 24 hours. (17th-18th)
(The Weather Channel)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky