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Warren County, MS Weather and Climate Synopsis

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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

324 AM CDT Wed Mar 21 2018

Today and Tonight: Low cloud cover has been slow to depart northeast 
sections this morning, but temperatures there have still managed to 
fall into the upper 30s and will likely make it into the mid 30s by 
sunrise. Patchy frost may still be possible by that time there if 
the wind can calm a bit more. 

Another cool day is in store today as cold air advection continues, 
but the lack of cloud cover will allow mamximums to reach the upper 
50s and 60s. The surface high pressure ridge will settle over the 
lower MS valley this evening allowing winds to finally diminish. 
This combined with the dry air in place and clear skies should allow 
for good radiational cooling to occur. A good frost is expected over 
eastern portions as minimums fall into the low to mid 30s. Portions 
of northeast MS will fall to near 32, but this should not occur 
until right before sunrise and should last no more than an hour. 
Thus, will not issue a freeze warning for such a short duration,
but will discuss the situation in the HWO./26/

Thursday through Tuesday: The primary concerns for the period will 
be will be rain chances returning for this weekend into early next 

By Thursday morning a 1029 mb surface high will be centered over 
the ArkLaMiss area with amplified mid level ridging over the
Rockies which will provide northwest flow over the region. The 
surface high will track to the east late Thursday as we start to 
get some low level return flow Friday. A shortwave will move out 
of the southwest US which will deepen a surface low over the 
Central Plains as mid level ridging builds over the Mississippi 
Valley region on Friday. This will help to increase low level 
return flow over the region as clouds increase on Friday night. 
The return flow will increase low level moisture and bring warmer 
than normal temperatures for Friday through Tuesday. Convective 
rain chances will develop across the north on Saturday and will be
confined to mainly our northern counties through the weekend. The
cold front will stall north of the region at this time. As we get
into early next week it looks like a weak back door front will 
come into the region from the northeast. We will get some 50s 
dewpoints per GFS advancing across the region from the northeast. 
This should push off any heavy rain potential west of the forecast
area for early next week. It looks like low level return flow 
will be able to push the boundary out of the region as we move 
into Wednesday. Meanwhile, rain chances will spread across the 
region for early next week. The Euro model had a stronger back 
door front than the GFS with 40s and 50s dewpoints and it stayed 
until Wednesday. Will take a blend of both model solutions./17/

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Regional Hourly Observations For WARREN County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Mississippi
Based on observations at 300am CDT, Wednesday March 21, 2018

Across Mississippi...temperatures are near 41 degrees north, near 47 degrees central, and near 50 degrees south. Current sky conditions are mostly cloudy north, fair central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 82%, and the dew point is near 36 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 68%, and the dew point is near 37 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 77%, and the dew point is near 43 degrees. Winds are from the northwest at 3 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the west at 5 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the northwest at 6 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 50 degrees at Biloxi. The lowest temperature is 41 degrees at Tupelo and Natchez.

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For WARREN County,MS

343 PM CDT Tue Mar 20 2018

 DAY ONE  Tonight and Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Wednesday night through Monday

Widespread frost is expected late tomorrow night and into Thursday
morning over northeastern portions of central Mississippi. In
these areas some damage to unprotected sensitive vegetation is
expected. Elsewhere across central Mississippi a more patchy and
lighter frost is expected early Thursday morning where damage to
unprotected sensitive vegetation is still possible.


The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For WARREN County, MS
312 AM CDT Wed Mar 21 2018

Clear. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Clear. Lows around 40. North winds around 5 mph becoming light and variable.

Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 50s.

Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s.

Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.

Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s.

Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.

Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 80.

Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. The chance of rain 30 percent.

Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Mississippi
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   MAR 26-30 MAR 28-APR 3    MAR       MAR-MAY                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above       Normal     Normal      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Wednesday March 21, 2018 the 80th Day of Year

Declination 0.630000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 07:02 EDT Set 19:13 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:07 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:39 EDT Ends 19:37 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

A tornado swarm occurred in the Deep South. Between late afternoon and
early the next morning severe thunderstorms spawned 31 tornadoes in
Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia and Tennessee. The tornadoes killed 334
persons and injured 1784 others. Northern Alabama was hardest hit.
Tornadoes in Alabama killed 286 persons and caused five million dollars
damage. (David Ludlum)
Severe thunderstorms spawned thirty-one tornadoes across Arkansas,
Tennessee, Missouri, Mississippi, Alabama and Kentucky. The tornadoes
killed 343 persons and caused 15 million dollars damage. Arkansas and
Tennessee each reported thirteen tornadoes. The towns of Judsonia AR and
Henderson TN were nearly wiped off the map in what proved to be the worst
tornado outbreak of record for Arkansas. A tornado, one and a half miles
wide at times, left a church the only undamaged building at Judsonia.
(David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky