US Weekly Rainfall Departure		US Weekly Temperature Departure

105 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 259 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Tonight through early next week (Monday)...

Tonight-late week (Friday): A quiet night is expected across the 
region. Broad upper low centered across the Great Lakes to north 
near the Hudson Bay region is progged to sink southeast into the 
Mid Atlantic region by midweek. Some uptick in low-level moisture,
with still efficient radiational cooling overnight, will lead to
some river valley fog & psbl areas to dense fog. Added some river
valley fog potential but confidence in addition to HWO graphics is
too low to add at this time. This pattern will keep northwesterly
flow situated around the area, but as low-level/sfc high pressure
ridge build east, some uptick in moist ascent will occur. PWs 
will climb to near climatological norms, with a weak frontal zone 
diving down into Wednesday, bringing a few showers or isolated 
storm psbl. Confidence in storm coverage isn't that high. Expect
warm advection & moisture advection to pick up through the end of
the workweek, with best ascent from shortwave expected around
Thursday, where more scattered showers & some storms are psbl.
Expect moderation of temperatures, with highs near seasonable in
the upper 70s north of I-20 to low 80s to the south to seasonably
warm in the low-mid 80s by late week. Lows will be seasonably cool
tonight southeast of the Natchez Trace corridor in the low-mid 50s
while seasonable to the northwest in the upper 50s. As warm
advection picks up, highs will seasonable in the upper 50s east of
I-55 to low-mid 60s to west, especially by late week. With a
developing low pressure system in the Plains by late week,
gradient winds will be on the uptick.

This weekend-early next week (Saturday-next Monday): As H5 ridge
builds to nearly 590DM over the Gulf of Mexico, this will help
amplify the longwave pattern, with deep mean troughing for areas 
west of the MS River Valley. A strong cold core low/jet energy is
expected to eject late week into early weekend out of the High 
Plains into the Great Lakes & another strong spoke of energy/cold
core trough axis digging across the southwestern CONUS. Each are
expected to help strong lee side sfc low/deepening cyclogenesis 
to occur across the Plains, with strong tight gradient across the
Gulf Coast states. The most likely time of breakdown of the
ridging & skirting of these frontal disturbances look to be late
weekend into early next week, when the best rain & storm chances 
pick up across the area. There could be enough juxtaposition of
right entrance region/jet dynamics, mean bulk shear around
25-30kts & steep mid-level lapse rates around 7-7.5 deg C/km &
vertical totals near 27-29 deg C could support some severe 
weather potential. Can't rule out something trying to sink into 
the area late Sunday night but highest probs of some severe 
potential, per CSU machine learning probs, look to be early next
week. Right now confidence is too low to put anything in the
HWO graphics. Expect seasonably warm conditions, some +5 deg F 
above normal, in the mid 80s, while cooler by early next week, 
with lows well above climatology, some +10-15 deg F above normal, 
in the low 60s east of I-55 to mid-upper 60s along & west of the 
I-55 corridor. /DC/

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.

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Regional Hourly Observations For PIKE County
300 AM CDT WED APR 24 2024

PASCAGOULA     PTCLDY    52  50  93 CALM      30.11S                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

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Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Mississippi
Based on observations at 300am CDT, Wednesday April 24, 2024

Across Mississippi...temperatures are near 59 degrees north, near 61 degrees central, and near 59 degrees south. Current sky conditions are mostly cloudy north, cloudy central, and partly cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 69%, and the dew point is near 49 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 70%, and the dew point is near 51 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 87%, and the dew point is near 55 degrees. Winds are calm north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 8 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 69 degrees at Greenville. The lowest temperature is 52 degrees at Pascagoula.

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Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map

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Hazardous Weather Outlook For PIKE County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

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7-Day Forecast For PIKE County, MS
331 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

TODAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph, becoming northwest around 5 mph this afternoon.

TONIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds around 5 mph, becoming south after midnight.

THURSDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.

SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Lows in the mid 60s.

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Lows in the upper 60s.

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 20 percent.

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

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Medium & Long Range Outlook For Mississippi

                          MISSISSIPPI                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                APR 29-MAY 3  MAY 1-MAY 7    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above                                            
 Precipitation:      Above       Normal                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy

5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

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Almanac Information

Wednesday April 24, 2024 the 115th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 13.370000
Distance 0.999718 AU
Rise 07:20 EDT Set 20:37 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:58 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:56 EDT Ends 21:02 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

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Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

APRIL 24TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1899...
Two women and one son lived to tell the story of being picked up by a
tornado and carried more than a fourth of a mile, flying far above the
church steeples, before being gently set down again. The young boy and one
of the ladies said they had the pleasure of flying alongside a horse. The
horse "kicked and struggled" as it flew high above, and was set down
unharmed about a mile away. (The Weather Channel)
...1908...
Severe thunderstorms spawned eighteen tornadoes over across the Central
Gulf Coast States claiming the lives of 310 persons. The state of
Mississippi was hardest hit. A tornado near Hattiesburg MS killed 143
persons and caused more than half a million dollars damage. Four violent
tornadoes accounted for 279 of the 310 deaths. The deadliest of the four
tornadoes swelled to a width of 2.5 miles as it passed near Amite LA. The
tornado also leveled most of Purvis MS. (David Ludlum) (The Weather
Channel)
...1925...
Louisville's and Bowling Green's warmest April temperature: 91 and 96 
degrees, respectively. Also, Lexington's earliest 90 degree temperature (90 
degrees). (NWS Louisville)
...1980...
Three of eight helicopters were damaged in a sandstorm during a 
failed-attempt to rescue 52 American hostages held in Iran. The hostages 
were later released on January 20, 1981.
...2005...
The latest measurable snowfall on record occurred across parts of Kentucky 
last year. The snow was the result of cold air and moisture wrapping around 
an area of low pressure located over the northeast United States. 
Accumulating snow was mainly confined to the ridgetops and higher 
elevations of extreme east Kentucky but at least a few flakes were reported 
just about everywhere. Some amounts reported from across eastern and 
central Kentucky  include...0.6 inches in Booneville...1.0 inch at 
Jeremiah...1.2 inches at the Jackson Weather Office...1.5 inches at 
Cumberland...4.0 inches at Lynch...and 5.0 inches at Closplint. (NWS Jackson)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky