US Weekly Rainfall Departure		US Weekly Temperature Departure

159 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 159 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Tonight through Sunday...

Not much change has been made for the short term period. Warm and 
dry conditions are expected tonight as we head into the weekend. The 
ridge axis will continue to slowly shift east across the forecast 
area tonight as we start to see an increase in southerly flow. This 
will allow for a few scattered showers and storms to occur over 
northwest portions of the area. Expect overnight low to dip into the 
upper 60s across our CWA as clouds build from the west. Heading into 
tomorrow, weather conditions will be quiet as the upper-ridge 
continues to dominant our forecast. Mostly cloudy sky conditions are 
expected across our forecast area with afternoon highs peaking in 
the mid to upper 80s. Global guidance continues to highlight a 
pressure gradient of around 5 to 7 mb over the area tomorrow which 
will result in sustained winds around 15 to 20 mph with gusts around 
30-35 mph. No changes have been made to the limited wind graphic for 
the weekend.

Sunday Night through Friday..

Dry conditions will occur heading into Sunday evening due to general 
ridging aloft. Primary focus for the long term period will be on 
Monday as storm chances will begin to increase around this timeframe 
due southerly flow aloft building up moisture from the Gulf ahead of 
a surface cold front. A small threat for strong to severe storms 
will be possible. Deep layer shear around 40 to 50 kts should aid in 
the development of updrafts. Damaging wind gusts with a possible 
MCS, mainly for areas along and north of the Hwy 82 corridor will be 
possible with some of these storms, however there is some 
uncertainty in regards to where the system will line up with the 
shear and cold pool.

Furthermore, several of these storms will have the capability of 
producing locally heavy rainfall at times thanks to deep layer 
moisture circulating around the retreating ridge and moving along a 
huge fetch of warm tropical/subtropical Atlantic waters. In 
addition, PWATs in excessive of 1.5 inches and deep warm cloud layer 
will result in efficient rainfall rates along with some minor river 
flooding possible, thus a flash flood threat appears possible. Some 
uncertainty remains in regards with the timing of the system and 
where the cold pool develops. We will be keeping an close eye on 
this system. If needed, we will be providing updates to any 
severe/flash flood outlooks as we closer to this event.  

By Tuesday evening, a stronger ridge will start to build over the 
Mississippi Valley Region as the aforementioned cold front shifts 
east out of the forecast area giving us a short break from the rain. 
Isolated showers and storms will make a brief return to the area on 
Wednesday and Thursday with quiet conditions expected on Friday. 
Confidence in severe at this time is low, but can't rule out 
some organized convection, especially later in the week. /CR/

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.

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Regional Hourly Observations For MONTGOMERY County
200 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2024

OLIVE BRANCH   SUNNY     82  55  39 S16G25    29.94                   
OXFORD         SUNNY     84  54  34 S14G22    29.99F                  
TUNICA         PTSUNNY   82  65  57 S17G24    29.93S                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

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Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Mississippi
Based on observations at 200pm CDT, Friday April 26, 2024

Across Mississippi...temperatures are near 85 degrees north, near 84 degrees central, and near 80 degrees south. Current sky conditions are mostly sunny north, mostly sunny central, and partly sunny south. In the north, relative humidity is near 41%, and the dew point is near 59 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 39%, and the dew point is near 57 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 61%, and the dew point is near 65 degrees. Winds are from the south at 22 mph with gusts at 32 mph north, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the south at 22 mph with gusts at 33 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the south at 15 mph with gusts at 21 mph south, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 86 degrees at Columbus AFB. The lowest temperature is 80 degrees at Gulfport and Biloxi.

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Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map

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Hazardous Weather Outlook For MONTGOMERY County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

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7-Day Forecast For MONTGOMERY County, MS
203 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

THIS AFTERNOON
Mostly sunny. Near steady temperature in the lower 80s. South winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

SUNDAY
Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
Mostly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Chance of rain 50 percent.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered thunderstorms with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.

THURSDAY
Partly sunny. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

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Medium & Long Range Outlook For Mississippi

                          MISSISSIPPI                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                 MAY 1-MAY 5  MAY 3-MAY 9    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above                                            
 Precipitation:     Normal       Normal                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy

5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

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Almanac Information

Friday April 26, 2024 the 117th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 14.010000
Distance 0.999718 AU
Rise 07:18 EDT Set 20:39 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:58 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:54 EDT Ends 21:04 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

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Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

APRIL 26TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1834...
Killer frosts were reported in the Deep South. The frost was quite severe
around Huntsville AL, and highlighted a backward spring in the South that
year. (David Ludlum)
...1978...
An unusually strong occluded front swept out of the Gulf of Alaska and
produced the first April thunderstorm of record at Fairbanks. Pea size hail
fell northeast of Fairbanks from thunderstorms whose tops were less than
8000 feet. (The Weather Channel)
...1984...
Severe thunderstorms associated with an intense cyclone spawned a total of
forty-seven tornadoes in two days from Louisiana to Upper Michigan. The
tornadoes killed 16 persons and injured 259 others. (Storm Data)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky