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Madison County, MS Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
All Radar images NOAA/UKAWC
Satellite images from NOAA

Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
Also see:

A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

428 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018

Today and Tonight: High pressure at the surface will continue to 
settle over the region today, as we remain on the far western 
periphery of high pressure aloft centered north of the Bahamas. 
Northeast surface winds continue to advect drier air into the 
forecast area. However, west to southwest flow aloft will maintain
a steady flow of moisture over the region, resulting in partly to
mostly cloudy skies through the period. That said, with more 
breaks in said cloud cover today, conditions will be a bit warmer 
as highs range from the middle 60s to middle 70s. Lows tonight 
will remain seasonable, as they range from the upper 40s to upper 
50s. /19/ 

Friday through Thursday: Friday morning the 1030mb high will be 
centered over the mid Atlantic seaboard while the 592dam ridge 
continues across the Florida peninsula and the northern Gulf. The 
surface high will shift east into the western Atlantic as the day 
progresses while the mid level ridge shifts south in response to a 
northern stream shortwave trough deepening over the north central 
CONUS. This deepening trough will help send a cold front toward our 
CWA. Models are a little slower in developing rain over the western 
portions of our area Friday afternoon ahead of the approaching cold 
front but, rain chances pick up after midnight as the cold front 
moves into our northwest most zones. Friday afternoon will be the 
warmest day of the forecast period for the southeast half of our 
area as sites top out in the low to mid 80s. The cold front is 
expected to push south of our CWA before noon Saturday and another 
shortwave dropping across the Great Lakes region Saturday afternoon 
will further deepen the long wave trough as it moves over the 
eastern CONUS. This will help drop a 1030mb out of the northern 
Plains to the mid Mississippi valley by Sunday morning. The result 
will be a cooler and much drier airmass across our CWA ending the 
rain chances by Saturday evening and starting a period of dry 
weather that will last until Tuesday. The upper level trough will 
shift off the east coast Sunday while the surface high shifts east 
across the Ohio Valley. Monday morning still looks to be the coldest 
of the forecast period where most sites will bottom out in the 40s. 
A few normally colder locations in the north may dip into the upper 
30s. Near zonal flow is expected over our region Monday while the 
surface high shifts off the east coast. Tuesday into Thursday wl see 
a gradual warming trend as mid level shortwave ridging develops over 
our region. Another surface high centered north of our CWA looks to 
keep the Gulf closed Tuesday into Wednesday before shifting east. 
Models differ on strength of the next low pressure system to affect 
our region but agree that rain chances will increase Wednesday night 
into Thursday ahead of it. /22/ 

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Regional Hourly Observations For MADISON County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Mississippi
Based on observations at 400am CDT, Thursday October 18, 2018

Across Mississippi...temperatures are near 55 degrees north, near 59 degrees central, and near 63 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, cloudy central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 68%, and the dew point is near 45 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 72%, and the dew point is near 50 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 80%, and the dew point is near 57 degrees. Winds are from the north at 10 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the northeast at 8 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the northeast at 12 mph with gusts at 18 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 64 degrees at Pascagoula and Gulfport. The lowest temperature is 55 degrees at Tupelo, Greenwood, Greenville, and Columbus AFB.

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For MADISON County,MS

405 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight  

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday through Wednesday  

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For MADISON County, MS
412 AM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018

Partly cloudy. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph becoming west in the afternoon.

Slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds around 5 mph. The chance of rain 40 percent.

Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Cloudy, cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s.

Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.

Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

Partly cloudy. Lows around 50.

Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s.

Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.

Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs around 70.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Mississippi
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   OCT 23-27 OCT 25-OCT 31    OCT       OCT-DEC                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:     Normal        Below                                            
 Precipitation:      Above        Above                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Thursday October 18, 2018 the 291th Day of Year

Declination -9.960000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 08:07 EDT Set 19:24 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:45 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:43 EDT Ends 19:48 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

A hurricane struck South Florida drowning 124 persons stranded in the
Florida Keys. (David Ludlum)
Northeasterly winds as high as 70 mph (from a hurricane moving northward up
the Florida peninsula) carried water out of Tampa Bay and the Hillsboro
River. The water level lowered to nine feet below mean low water. Forty
ships were grounded.
(The Weather Channel)
A big early season lake effect snowburst on the lee shores of Lake Erie and
Lake Ontario produced 47 inches at Governeur NY and 48 inches just south of
Buffalo. (David Ludlum)
Thunderstorms in northeastern Texas produced golf ball size hail at
Atlanta, along with wind gusts to 86 mph, and four inches of rain. Damage
from the storm was estimated at more than a million dollars. Sunny and mild
weather continued across much of the rest of the nation. (The National
Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
Eight cities in the southwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for
the date, including Red Bluff CA with a reading of 96 degrees. (The
National Weather Summary)
Unseasonably cold air began to invade the central and eastern U.S. Light
snow fell across northern Maine, and snow was also reported in the Great
Lakes Region, including the Chicago area. Bismarck ND was the cold spot in
the nation with a low of 9 degrees above zero. Five cities in Florida
reported record high readings for the date, as temperatures warmed above 80
degrees. Miami FL reported a record high of 90 degrees. (The National
Weather Summary)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky