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Lawrence County, MS Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
All Radar images NOAA/UKAWC
Satellite images from NOAA

Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

451 AM CST Thu Nov 22 2018

Today and tonight...The disturbance over the Gulf will continue 
to move east pushing some high clouds into the CWA. Radar echoes 
across the southern zones have been light. Will keep low pops and 
leave mention of rain out of southern zones for today. Looking 
for clouds to clear out by the early afternoon, so near 60 high 
temperatures still seem good. Cooler and drier air were already
shifting east with the huge ridge dropping out of the plains.
Clouds in the west eroding. In areas where clouds were clearing 
and temperatures were dropping quickly may look at adding patchy 
fog through 8 or 9 am for the next update, mainly west of the MS 
river. Overall, no changes to the short term forecast.

Friday through Wednesday night...A couple of storms systems will 
affect the ArkLaMiss over the weekend. On Friday a short wave will 
will approach the area, with showers possible in the west during the 
afternoon hours. The GFS/ECMWF also want to develop a surface low 
over the northern gulf and move it along the coast Friday night into 
Saturday. Anticipate mainly showers and some embedded thunder as the 
system quickly sweeps across the area Friday evening through the 
overnight hours. Rainfall totals look to generally be around the 
half inch range, but some localized higher amounts are possible.

This system quickly moves east of the area by Saturday morning with 
temperatures moderating Saturday afternoon. Highs will climb into 
the mid/upper 60s to around 70 for some areas in the south. Another 
more potent short wave will rotate through the upper trough on 
Sunday, with a strong cold front associated with it. At this time 
both the GFS struggles with any return moisture with this system, 
but the ECMWF does indicate more return moisture and increased 
precipitation chances, along with chances for strong possibly severe 
storms. The winds will also become gusty on Sunday, especially 
across the Delta areas. Due to continued uncertainty will hold off 
any mention of this potential in the HWO, but this will have to be 
closely monitored. 

Strong high pressure and cooler air will build across the area on 
Monday, with highs in the low/mid 50s and overnight lows back into 
the 30s once again. High pressure will continue to prevail across 
the area through Wednesday night. Overnight lows will be on the cold 
side with lows falling to at or below freezing over the northern 
portion of the area. /15/
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For LAWRENCE County
500 AM CST THU NOV 22 2018
MCCOMB         FAIR      45  36  70 NE3       30.26F                  
NATCHEZ        FAIR      38  37  97 CALM      30.31S                  
PINE BELT      FAIR      41  38  89 N3        30.31R                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Mississippi
Based on observations at 500am CST, Thursday November 22, 2018

Across Mississippi...temperatures are near 33 degrees north, near 39 degrees central, and near 44 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, fair central, and cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 88%, and the dew point is near 30 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 92%, and the dew point is near 37 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 79%, and the dew point is near 38 degrees. Winds are from the north at 6 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The wind chill is near 28 degrees north. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the northeast at 5 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category north, no stress category central, and no stress category south. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 45 degrees at McComb and Gulfport. The lowest temperature is 33 degrees at Tupelo.

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For LAWRENCE County,MS

347 AM CST Thu Nov 22 2018

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For LAWRENCE County, MS
358 AM CST Thu Nov 22 2018

Partly cloudy. North winds around 5 mph.

Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds around 5 mph.

Slight chance of light rain in the morning, then rain and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of rain 90 percent.

Rain and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of rain after midnight. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after midnight. The chance of rain 90 percent.

Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.

Partly cloudy. Lows around 50.

Slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. The chance of rain 30 percent.

A 20 percent chance of showers in the evening. Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows around 40.

Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s.

Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s.

Sunny. Highs around 60.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Mississippi
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                NOV 27-DEC 1 NOV 29-DEC 5    DEC   DEC18-FEB19                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below     Normal     Normal                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above     Normal      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Thursday November 22, 2018 the 326th Day of Year

Declination -20.330000
Distance 0.999724 AU
Rise 07:37 EST Set 17:57 EST
Transit Meridian 12:47 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:11 EST Ends 18:23 EST

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

An observer at Boston MA recorded a "great tempest of wind and rain from
the southeast all night, as fierce as a hurricane, and thereupon followed
the highest tide which we have seen since our arrival here". (David Ludlum)
Extremely destructive Santa Ana winds blew from Oxnard to San Diego and
inland parts of southern California. The high winds produced a 28,000 acre
brush fire on a 40-mile front west of Crystal Lake. People were ordered off
streets in some areas due to flying debris. (21st-22nd) (The Weather
Over two inches of rainfall was received at the Jackson, KY Weather Office and 
the London, KY Corbin Airport in 1991. London measured 2.18 inches of 
rain...while Jackson picked up 2.99 inches of precipitation. Both amounts 
established new daily rainfall records for November 22nd.

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky