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Forrest County, MS Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts





US Weekly Rainfall Departure



US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

331 PM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight and tomorrow...

A much warmer day has unfolded across the region with readings 
reaching the mid to upper 60s and lower 70s. Sunny skies were 
occurring but some mid and high level clouds have moved into the 
region thanks to return flow across portions of the region. Expect 
cloud cover to continue to increase across the region as we remain 
under zonal flow aloft through tomorrow. Moisture will continue to 
stream from the west in association with Hurricane Willa in the 
proximity of western Mexico. This may bring some light rain chances 
to the southern portions of the forecast area late tonight through 
the day Tuesday. We aren't expecting a lot of QPF with this but it 
won't be out of the question for there to be some light rain. With 
the increase in cloud cover and moisture, temperatures tonight won't 
be nearly as chilly as they were this morning. Overnight lows are 
expected to drop into the upper 40s across the north to the upper 
50s in the south. Highs tomorrow will be in the 60s and 70s once 
again. /28/

Tuesday night into early next week...

Moisture will begin to increase across the area Tuesday night 
into Wednesday as the upper ridge shifts to the east. An upper 
trough will pick up the remnants of Hurricane Willa and the 
associated moisture will move east across Texas and into the 
western portions of our CWA Wednesday night. Both the GFS and the 
ECMWF develop a surface low and move it across the northern gulf 
coast on Thursday and Thursday night. Thursday will be a wet day 
as the associated rainfall moves across the area. The upper trough
will move through the region Thursday night, with the bulk of the
rain ending from west to east through this period.

Surface high pressure ridging and dry conditions will return by 
Friday afternoon and continue through much of Saturday. The global 
models are in decent agreement on the timing of a cold front moving 
across the area Saturday evening into the overnight hours. This may 
bring another round of showers to the region, with high pressure 
building back in Sunday into Sunday night. Long range model
guidance hints at another cold, winter-like, air mass moving into
the region early next week in the wake of the weekend 
disturbance. /15/JPM



National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For FORREST County
500 PM CDT MON OCT 22 2018
MCCOMB         FAIR      71  49  45 NE3       30.13S                  
NATCHEZ        FAIR      65  50  58 N6        30.15S                  
PINE BELT      FAIR      71  51  49 SE5       30.15S                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Mississippi
Based on observations at 500pm CDT, Monday October 22, 2018

Across Mississippi...temperatures are near 66 degrees north, near 67 degrees central, and near 74 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, partly sunny central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 34%, and the dew point is near 37 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 47%, and the dew point is near 46 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 69%, and the dew point is near 64 degrees. Winds are variable at 3 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the north at 5 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southeast at 7 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 74 degrees at Pascagoula, Gulfport, and Biloxi. The lowest temperature is 64 degrees at Vicksburg.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For FORREST County,MS

254 PM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018

 DAY ONE  Tonight and Tuesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Tuesday night through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

 SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT  
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Sunday.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For FORREST County, MS
259 PM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018

THROUGH EARLY EVENING
Mostly cloudy. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

TONIGHT
A 20 percent chance of light rain after midnight. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

TUESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of light rain. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of rain 70 percent.

THURSDAY
Showers likely. Cloudy, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. The chance of rain 70 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.

SATURDAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.

SUNDAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows around 50.

MONDAY
Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Mississippi
                          MISSISSIPPI                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                OCT 28-NOV 1 OCT 30-NOV 5    OCT       OCT-DEC                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Above                                            
 Precipitation:     Normal        Above                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Monday October 22, 2018 the 295th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -11.390000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 08:10 EDT Set 19:20 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:45 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:46 EDT Ends 19:44 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

/////////////////////////
OCTOBER 22ND
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1965...
The temperature soared to 104 degrees at San Diego CA. Southern California
was in the midst of a late October heat wave that year. Los Angeles had ten
consecutive days with afternoon highs reaching 100 degrees. (David Ludlum)
(The Weather Channel)
...1985...
A guest on the top floor of a hotel in Seattle WA was seriously injured
while talking on the phone when lightning struck. Several persons are
killed each year when the electrical charge from a lightning bolt travels
via telephone wiring. (The Weather Channel)
...1987...
Yakutat AK surpassed their previous all-time yearly precipitation total of
190 inches. Monthly records were set in June with 17 inches, in September
with 70 inches, and in October with more than 40 inches. (Sandra and TI
Richard Sanders - 1987)
Twenty-two cities in the eastern U.S., most of them in the southeast
states, reported record low temperatures for the date. Morning lows of 30
degrees at Athens GA, 28 degrees at Birmingham AL, and 23 degrees at Pinson
AL, were the coldest of record for so early in the season. (The National
Weather Summary)
Showers produced heavy rain in southern California, with amounts ranging up
to five inches at Blue Jay. Flash flooding resulted in two deaths, ten
injuries, and more than a million dollars damage. (The National Weather
Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
A "nor'easter" swept across the coast of New England. Winds gusted to 75
mph, and large waves and high tides caused extensive shoreline flooding. A
heavy wet snow blanketed much of eastern New York State, with a foot of
snow reported in Lewis County. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1989...
A storm system moving out of the Gulf of Alaska brought rain to the
Northern and Central Pacific Coast Region, with snow in some of the
mountains of Oregon, and wind gusts to 60 mph along the Oregon coast. Six
cities in Florida reported record low temp-eratures for the date, including
Tallahassee with a reading of 34 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky