US Weekly Rainfall Departure		US Weekly Temperature Departure

659 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 412 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Today and Tonight:

Upper-level ridge axis centered over the High Plains and low-
amplitude shortwave trough crossing the Ohio River Valley today will 
keep our forecast area beneath northwesterly flow aloft. The 
shortwave will nudge a weak cold frontal boundary into the northern 
half of our area today. Another upper-70s to lower-80s day puts us 
right about normal for this time of year, and the slight uptick in 
moisture values will allow for isolated showers or storms to develop 
in the pooled moisture ahead of the front. With meager instability 
(500-1000 J/kg) for air mass thunderstorm potential in place along 
the moisture axis, long-lived convection is generally not expected, 
but there is a little flow aloft that should result in around 30 kts 
of deep-layer shear to help a few storms sustain during the 
afternoon hours. With expected isolated nature of convection, left 
the slight-chance to chance POPs areas generally as suggested by 
guidance (north of I-20). Continued moisture advection into tonight 
could yield some fog potential for early Thursday morning in the 
south. /NF/

Thursday-Tuesday:

A weak cold front will linger in northern portions of the CWA, 
before transitioning into a warm front and lifting northward on 
Thursday. As a result, isolated showers and thunderstorms will be 
possible for areas along and north of I-20 during the afternoon. On 
Friday, quiet and dry conditions are expected as an upper-level 
ridge begins to build over the southern CONUS. Increasing moisture 
and warm air advection is expected due to southerly flow and will 
continue into the weekend. 

A few shortwaves are expected to move along the edge of the ridge, 
bringing isolated showers and thunderstorm potential back to 
northwest MS, southeast AR, and extreme northeast LA Friday night 
into Saturday. Outside of those areas, conditions will remain quiet 
ahead of the next frontal boundary moving in from Texas. A low 
pressure center near the northern Plains and MN will push an 
associated cold front towards the area, resulting in showers and 
thunderstorms starting west of I-55 Sunday afternoon. With bulk 
shear around 20-30 kts, lapse rates near 7 C/kg, and SBCAPE 
between 600-1500 J/kg, severe weather can't be ruled out; however,
confidence is low. SPC has outlooked potential severe weather to 
the west of the CWA and we will continue to monitor for changes. 
By Monday and into Tuesday, showers and thunderstorm potential 
will cover the rest of CWA. At this time, no severe weather is 
outlooked for these days, but that could change as the timeframe 
gets closer. The aforementioned cold front is expected to push 
through our area by Tuesday evening. Weekend temperatures are 
expected to reach the middle to upper 80s and slightly decrease to
the upper 70s to lower 80s post frontal passage. /SW/ 

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.

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Regional Hourly Observations For CARROLL County
700 AM CDT WED APR 24 2024

GREENVILLE     CLEAR     65  57  75 SW7       30.07R                  
6HR MIN TEMP:  65; 6HR MAX TEMP:  69;                                

OLIVE BRANCH   MOCLDY    64  50  59 NW6       30.07R                  
OXFORD         CLOUDY    61  50  67 W3        30.09R                  
TUNICA         CLOUDY    63  57  79 W3        30.08R                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

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Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Mississippi
Based on observations at 700am CDT, Wednesday April 24, 2024

Across Mississippi...temperatures are near 59 degrees north, near 60 degrees central, and near 59 degrees south. Current sky conditions are cloudy north, cloudy central, and mostly cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 75%, and the dew point is near 51 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 80%, and the dew point is near 54 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 90%, and the dew point is near 56 degrees. Winds are calm north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 6 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the northeast at 5 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 65 degrees at Greenville. The lowest temperature is 51 degrees at McComb.

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Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map

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Hazardous Weather Outlook For CARROLL County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

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7-Day Forecast For CARROLL County, MS
328 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

TODAY
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph, becoming west this afternoon. Chance of rain 20 percent.

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the upper 50s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.

THURSDAY
Partly sunny in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms. Scattered showers in the morning, then numerous showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Chance of rain 40 percent.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

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Medium & Long Range Outlook For Mississippi

                          MISSISSIPPI                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                APR 29-MAY 3  MAY 1-MAY 7    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above                                            
 Precipitation:      Above       Normal                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy

5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

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Almanac Information

Wednesday April 24, 2024 the 115th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 13.370000
Distance 0.999718 AU
Rise 07:20 EDT Set 20:37 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:58 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:56 EDT Ends 21:02 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

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Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

APRIL 24TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1899...
Two women and one son lived to tell the story of being picked up by a
tornado and carried more than a fourth of a mile, flying far above the
church steeples, before being gently set down again. The young boy and one
of the ladies said they had the pleasure of flying alongside a horse. The
horse "kicked and struggled" as it flew high above, and was set down
unharmed about a mile away. (The Weather Channel)
...1908...
Severe thunderstorms spawned eighteen tornadoes over across the Central
Gulf Coast States claiming the lives of 310 persons. The state of
Mississippi was hardest hit. A tornado near Hattiesburg MS killed 143
persons and caused more than half a million dollars damage. Four violent
tornadoes accounted for 279 of the 310 deaths. The deadliest of the four
tornadoes swelled to a width of 2.5 miles as it passed near Amite LA. The
tornado also leveled most of Purvis MS. (David Ludlum) (The Weather
Channel)
...1925...
Louisville's and Bowling Green's warmest April temperature: 91 and 96 
degrees, respectively. Also, Lexington's earliest 90 degree temperature (90 
degrees). (NWS Louisville)
...1980...
Three of eight helicopters were damaged in a sandstorm during a 
failed-attempt to rescue 52 American hostages held in Iran. The hostages 
were later released on January 20, 1981.
...2005...
The latest measurable snowfall on record occurred across parts of Kentucky 
last year. The snow was the result of cold air and moisture wrapping around 
an area of low pressure located over the northeast United States. 
Accumulating snow was mainly confined to the ridgetops and higher 
elevations of extreme east Kentucky but at least a few flakes were reported 
just about everywhere. Some amounts reported from across eastern and 
central Kentucky  include...0.6 inches in Booneville...1.0 inch at 
Jeremiah...1.2 inches at the Jackson Weather Office...1.5 inches at 
Cumberland...4.0 inches at Lynch...and 5.0 inches at Closplint. (NWS Jackson)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky