US Weekly Rainfall Departure		US Weekly Temperature Departure

216 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 206 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

For the tonight period to Wednesday May 1st...the overall take on
the forecast is mostly above normal and warm for temperatures 
with a focus on a couple interesting periods. The first being 
Saturday for increased winds/gusts of 30-40 mph then a opportunity
for rain/storms early next week.

The near term is generally quiet with a weak front making it way 
into the N sections of the forecast now and will stall later 
tonight. Some low end precip chances will exist on Thursday across 
the N due to the proximity of the front and a weakening wave moving 
out of AR. As we wrap up the week and get into the weekend, the 
pattern will favor stronger ridging to develop just to our E while a 
more potent trough and stronger system moves into the Plains.

With the system impacting the Plains more on Fri-Sun, our area will 
still be under the influence of mid/upper ridging. However, we will 
see a tightening pressure gradient by Friday. Look for some breezy 
conditions on Friday, but strong winds by Saturday with decent 
potential to see wind gusts of 30-40 mph by Saturday afternoon. I 
will add a graphic to highlight that threat.

Most precip/storm activity will remain to our W/NW into the weekend. 
However, by later Sunday afternoon/night...we should see a weakening 
ridge thus increased potential to get precip/storms into our W/NW by 
this time. NBM Guidance captures the probability well and fits the 
potential progression. 

For Monday-Tuesday...Uncertainty is quite high to start the week as 
our area will see a mid/upper trough move into and across the area. 
While a signal is consistent for the trough and resulting rain/storm 
chances, the specifics and details will matter and we're very far 
from getting that that. This is the time of year where convective 
activity across the S Plains wreaks havoc on predictability for us. 
MCS's often develop to our W/NW and translating boundaries and 
remnant MCVs set the stage for activity the following day. Global 
guidance is offering such solutions, but timing, shear/cold pool 
orientation are varying, thus instability and potential for any 
strong/svr storms is quite variable. Best course at this time is to 
follow the consensus guidance and note there's potential for 
rain/storms with some possibility for svr/heavy rains, but overall 
confidence is low.

For mid-week, the signal is much better as the governing pattern 
shifts to one of building heights as a ridge axis gets established. 
This will bring quiet conditions, but warmer and above normal to 
start May. /CME/

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.

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Regional Hourly Observations For CALHOUN County
600 PM CDT WED APR 24 2024

GOLDN TRIANGLE MOSUNNY   79  60  52 NW5       30.09S                  
IUKA             N/A     75  42  30 VRB3      30.10R                  
LOUISVILLE     PTSUNNY   77  63  61 CALM      30.12S                  
STARKVILLE     MOSUNNY   79  61  53 VRB5      30.07S                  
TUPELO         SUNNY     80  43  26 N9        30.08R                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

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Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Mississippi
Based on observations at 600pm CDT, Wednesday April 24, 2024

Across Mississippi...temperatures are near 80 degrees north, near 79 degrees central, and near 74 degrees south. Current sky conditions are sunny north, cloudy central, and cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 26%, and the dew point is near 43 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 60%, and the dew point is near 64 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 66%, and the dew point is near 62 degrees. Winds are from the north at 9 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southwest at 5 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 9 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 85 degrees at Greenville. The lowest temperature is 74 degrees at Biloxi.

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Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map

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Hazardous Weather Outlook For CALHOUN County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

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7-Day Forecast For CALHOUN County, MS
307 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

TONIGHT
Partly cloudy this evening, then becoming mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

THURSDAY
Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 10 mph.

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 20 percent.

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Lows around 60. Chance of rain 50 percent.

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.

WEDNESDAY
Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

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Medium & Long Range Outlook For Mississippi

                          MISSISSIPPI                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                APR 30-MAY 4  MAY 2-MAY 8    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above                                            
 Precipitation:      Below        Below                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy

5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

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Almanac Information

Wednesday April 24, 2024 the 115th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 13.370000
Distance 0.999718 AU
Rise 07:20 EDT Set 20:37 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:58 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:56 EDT Ends 21:02 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

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Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

APRIL 24TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1899...
Two women and one son lived to tell the story of being picked up by a
tornado and carried more than a fourth of a mile, flying far above the
church steeples, before being gently set down again. The young boy and one
of the ladies said they had the pleasure of flying alongside a horse. The
horse "kicked and struggled" as it flew high above, and was set down
unharmed about a mile away. (The Weather Channel)
...1908...
Severe thunderstorms spawned eighteen tornadoes over across the Central
Gulf Coast States claiming the lives of 310 persons. The state of
Mississippi was hardest hit. A tornado near Hattiesburg MS killed 143
persons and caused more than half a million dollars damage. Four violent
tornadoes accounted for 279 of the 310 deaths. The deadliest of the four
tornadoes swelled to a width of 2.5 miles as it passed near Amite LA. The
tornado also leveled most of Purvis MS. (David Ludlum) (The Weather
Channel)
...1925...
Louisville's and Bowling Green's warmest April temperature: 91 and 96 
degrees, respectively. Also, Lexington's earliest 90 degree temperature (90 
degrees). (NWS Louisville)
...1980...
Three of eight helicopters were damaged in a sandstorm during a 
failed-attempt to rescue 52 American hostages held in Iran. The hostages 
were later released on January 20, 1981.
...2005...
The latest measurable snowfall on record occurred across parts of Kentucky 
last year. The snow was the result of cold air and moisture wrapping around 
an area of low pressure located over the northeast United States. 
Accumulating snow was mainly confined to the ridgetops and higher 
elevations of extreme east Kentucky but at least a few flakes were reported 
just about everywhere. Some amounts reported from across eastern and 
central Kentucky  include...0.6 inches in Booneville...1.0 inch at 
Jeremiah...1.2 inches at the Jackson Weather Office...1.5 inches at 
Cumberland...4.0 inches at Lynch...and 5.0 inches at Closplint. (NWS Jackson)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky