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Morgan County, MO Weather and Climate Synopsis

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Regional Hourly Observations For MORGAN County
Issued at 900 PM CST MON FEB 19 2018
...CENTRAL MISSOURI...  
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLUMBIA       LGT RAIN  63  61  93 S17       29.80F                  
JEFFERSON CITY LGT RAIN  64  59  83 S16G28    29.80F                  
ROLLA          LGT RAIN  64  57  78 S10G22    29.88R                  
SEDALIA        LGT RAIN  41  41 100 NW6       29.83S                  
WHITEMAN AFB   DRIZZLE   38  36  94 N7        29.78S                  
WARRENSBURG    LGT RAIN  36  34  93 NW6       29.83S                  
OSAGE BEACH    RAIN      62  60  93 S10       29.83F                  
               

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Missouri
Based on observations at 900pm CST, Monday February 19, 2018

Across Missouri...temperatures are near 40 degrees north, near 64 degrees central, and near 65 degrees south. Current sky conditions are cloudy north, light rain central, and cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 100%, and the dew point is near 40 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 83%, and the dew point is near 59 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 75%, and the dew point is near 57 degrees. There is patchy fog north. Winds are from the west at 8 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The wind chill is near 34 degrees north. Winds are from the south at 16 mph with gusts at 28 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds and light rain. Winds are from the south at 14 mph with gusts at 21 mph south, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category north, no stress category central, and no stress category south. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 68 degrees at Spirit of St. Louis. The lowest temperature is 33 degrees at Lee's Summit.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For MORGAN County,MO

254 PM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

 DAY ONE  This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected  

  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION  

  Gusty south winds will be possible this afternoon and tonight
  with some gusts over 30 mph possible.

  Showers and thunderstorms will become more numerous tonight 
  with some heavy rain possible. No severe weather is expected at 
  this time.


 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Tuesday through Sunday.

  Periods of showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain will
  continue on Tuesday into Tuesday night and may lead to some 
  flooding, especially in low lying areas.

  A cold front will begin pushing into the area on Tuesday with
  sub freezing temperatures pushing in late Tuesday into Tuesday
  night. This will cause rain to change over to some freezing
  rain. Periods of freezing rain will be possible from Tuesday
  night into Thursday morning, although there may be times where
  it warms up above freezing and then drop below freezing again as
  the freezing line is expected to meander back and forth. Ice
  amounts of a tenth to quarter of an inch will be possible.


  An additional round of rain will then be possible late in the
  week into next weekend. Total rainfall amounts from today
  through next weekend of 2 to 6.5 inches may be possible, but 
  there remains uncertainty with amounts and timing with the late 
  week/next weekend system.


 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For MORGAN County, MO
929 PM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

REST OF TONIGHT
Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to upper 50s. Temperature rising into the 60s after midnight. Southwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.

TUESDAY
Rain showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Temperature falling into the 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Much colder. Cloudy. Rain showers
possibly mixed with freezing rain in the evening, then chance of freezing rain
possibly mixed with snow and sleet after midnight. No snow or sleet accumulation. Ice accumulation up to one tenth of an inch. Lows in the mid 20s. North winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.

WEDNESDAY
Much colder. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 30s. North winds around 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Cloudy. Slight chance of freezing rain
possibly mixed with rain and sleet in the evening, then chance of freezing rain after midnight. Lows in the upper 20s. Northeast winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.

THURSDAY
Mostly cloudy. Chance of freezing rain
possibly mixed with rain in the morning, then chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Cloudy. Rain likely in the evening, then rain showers likely after midnight. Lows in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the lower 50s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows around 40.

SATURDAY
Rain showers likely. Highs in the lower 50s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Rain showers likely
possibly mixed with snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY
Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 50s. Lows in the mid 30s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Missouri
                             MISSOURI                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                FEB 25-MAR 1 FEB 27-MAR 5    MAR       MAR-MAY                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above      Below      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above     Normal      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Monday February 19, 2018 the 50th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -10.910000
Distance 0.999723 AU
Rise 07:54 EST Set 18:52 EST
Transit Meridian 13:22 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:28 EST Ends 19:18 EST

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

FEBRUARY 19TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1871...
A. Lapham, in Cincinnati, wrote the first public weather forecast.
...1884...
Severe thunderstorms spawned sixty tornadoes in the southeastern U.S.,
killing more than 420 persons and causing three million dollars damage.
Georgia and the Carolinas hardest were hit in the tornado outbreak. (David
Ludlum)
...1888...
A tornado struck Mount Vernon IL. The tornado killed sixteen persons along
its 62 mile path. (David Ludlum)
...1954...
High winds across the southern half of the Great Plains, gusting to 85 mph,
caused the worst duststorms since the 1930s. Graders were needed in places
to clear fence high dirt drifts. (The Weather Channel)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky