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Miller County, MO Weather and Climate Synopsis

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Regional Hourly Observations For MILLER County
Issued at 1200 PM CDT THU JUL 19 2018
...CENTRAL MISSOURI...  
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLUMBIA       LGT RAIN  73  70  90 SE14      29.92F                  
JEFFERSON CITY TSTM      70  69  97 SE10G18   29.91  VSB 1/2          
ROLLA          CLOUDY    78  70  76 CALM      29.96R                  
SEDALIA        CLOUDY    72  71  97 E3        29.92S                  
WHITEMAN AFB   PTSUNNY   74  72  94 SE7       29.86S                  
WARRENSBURG    SUNNY     82  72  69 E8        29.87F                  
OSAGE BEACH    CLOUDY    76  73  91 SE5       29.93R                  
               

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Missouri
Based on observations at 1200pm CDT, Thursday July 19, 2018

Across Missouri...temperatures are near 78 degrees north, near 70 degrees central, and near 83 degrees south. Current sky conditions are cloudy north, thunderstorms central, and partly sunny south. In the north, relative humidity is near 76%, and the dew point is near 70 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 97%, and the dew point is near 69 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 72%, and the dew point is near 73 degrees. The livestock heat stress category is no stress north, no stress central, and danger south. Visibility is less than one mile central. Winds are from the south at 10 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southeast at 10 mph with gusts at 18 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds and thunderstorms. Winds are from the south at 6 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 93 degrees at Joplin. The lowest temperature is 70 degrees at Jefferson City.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For MILLER County,MO

1128 AM CDT Thu Jul 19 2018

 DAY ONE  This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected  

  Elevated hail risk.
  Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Significant excessive heat risk.

DISCUSSION  

A complex of strong to severe thunderstorms will impact portions
of central and southern Missouri today. Hail up to the size of 
golf balls and damaging wind gusts up to 70 MPH will be the 
primary hazards with the most intense storms. Frequent lightning 
and locally heavy rainfall can also be expected from the storms 
today. There will be a limited threat for localized flash flooding
across central Missouri and the eastern Ozarks.

Heat index values of 100 to 110 degrees can be expected this 
afternoon and early this evening with the hottest readings 
occurring along and west of the Highway 65 corridor.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday through Wednesday.

Afternoon and early evening heat indices of 95 to 105 degrees
will occur again on Friday with the hottest readings across far 
southern Missouri and extreme southeastern Kansas. Afternoon heat
indices from this weekend into the first half of next week will 
range from 90 to 100 degrees.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will remain possible on
Friday and Friday night. Frequent lightning, small hail, and 
brief heavy downpours will be the main potential hazards from 
these storms. There is then a slight chance for thunderstorms
next
Tuesday across the eastern Ozarks.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

 Spotter activation may be needed in the next three hours.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For MILLER County, MO
1232 PM CDT Thu Jul 19 2018


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 283 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING

REST OF TODAY
Periods of showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may be severe with damaging winds, and large hail. Highs around 90. Light wind. Chance of rain 80 percent. Highest heat index readings around 105 in the afternoon.

TONIGHT
Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may be severe with damaging winds, and large hail in the evening. Lows around 70. Light wind. Chance of rain 40 percent.

FRIDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds around 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Light wind.

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Northwest winds around 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Clear. Lows in the upper 60s.

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 90.

TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Highs around 90. Lows in the upper 60s.

WEDNESDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs around 90.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Missouri
                             MISSOURI                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   JUL 24-28 JUL 26-AUG 1    JUL       JUL-SEP                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Below        Above     Normal      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Thursday July 19, 2018 the 200th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 20.660000
Distance 0.999716 AU
Rise 07:00 EDT Set 21:30 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:15 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:31 EDT Ends 21:59 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

///////////////////////////
JULY 19TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1886...
A hurricane from the Gulf of Mexico crossed Florida causing great damage
from Cedar Keys to Jacksonville. (David Ludlum)
...1901...
Beginning this date, Bowling Green, KY's temperature would rise to or 
above 100 degrees for ten consecutive days, a record.
...1960...
Cow Creek and Greenland Ranch in Death Valley CA reported morning lows of
102 degrees. The afternoon high at Greenland Ranch was 124 degrees, and the
high at Cow Creek that afternoon was 126 degrees. The coolest low for the
entire month for both locations was 82 degrees. (The Weather Channel)
...1974...
A severe thunderstorm with winds to 80 mph and up to two inches of rain
washed out four to five foot deep sections of roadway in Lake Havasu City
AZ. Three persons in a station wagon died as it was carried 3000 feet down
a wash by a ten foot wall of water. (The Weather Channel)
...1977...
Thunderstorms produced torrential rains over parts of southwestern
Pennsylvania. Some places receive more than twelve inches in a seven hour
period. The heavy rains cause flash flooding along streams resulting in
widespread severe damage. The cloudburst floods Johnstown with up to ten
feet of water resulting in 76 deaths, countless injuries, and 424 million
dollars damage. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)
...1987...
Fifteen cities in the western and the southeastern U.S. reported record low
temperatures for the date, including Winnemucca NV with a reading of 33
degrees. Flagstaff AZ reported a record low of 34 degrees. Afternoon and
evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in New York State and New
Jersey. High winds and hail two inches in diameter injured two persons and
caused considerable damage to crops in the Pine Island area of central New
York State. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced more than five inches of rain at Red
Cloud, including two inches in fifteen minutes. Torrid temperatures
continued over California, with record highs of 115 degrees at Red Bluff
and 116 degrees at Redding. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1989...
Early morning thunderstorms in the Lower Mississippi Valley produced 5.50
inches of rain south of Alexander AR in just ninety minutes, and flash
flooding which resulted claimed the life of one woman. Thunderstorms in
Indiana produced 4.95 inches of rain in twelve hours east of Muncie. Eight
cities in the southwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the
date, including Las Vegas NV with a reading of 115 degrees, and Phoenix AZ
with a high of 116 degrees. The low that night at Phoenix of 93 degrees was
the warmest of record for that location. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky