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West Carroll Parish, LA Weather and Climate Synopsis

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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

National Weather Service Shreveport LA
354 AM CST Thu Nov 22 2018

.SHORT TERM.../Today through Friday/

The morning water vapor satellite indicates that the shortwave trough 
which resulted in extensive areas of -RA that moved across SE TX 
(including the Srn portions of Deep E TX) as well as Cntrl LA Wednesday
evening, has moved E into the Lower MS Valley this morning, with drier air 
quickly entraining E into SE TX/Wrn LA. In fact, the elevated cigs over 
portions of Ncntrl LA should clear by dawn this morning, resulting in 
a beautiful Thanksgiving holiday as sfc ridging will remain in place 
across the region. Given that 09Z temps have trended several degrees 
warmer than 24 hrs ago, ample insolation should allow for max temps 
this afternoon to run a few degrees warmer than what was observed 

The cirrus shield currently over Ern NM will quickly advance E across 
OK/TX today, spreading into SE OK/E TX later this afternoon. This 
cirrus shield will quickly affect the remainder of the region this 
evening and thicken, ahead of the next progressive trough (now just off 
the CA coast) that will translate E across the Srn Rockies this evening
and into the Srn Plains Friday. With the sfc ridge weakening this evening
as it begins to shift E of the TN Valley, low level moisture advection 
will increase in earnest late this evening/overnight, ahead of low level 
cyclogenesis that will develop over Ern CO/Wrn KS. The return of the low
level moisture will not be sufficient enough to result in warm advection 
SHRA late tonight ahead of the trough over NE TX/SE OK, but this will 
quickly change after daybreak Friday as the SWrly LLJ intensifies to 
40-50kts and the moisture profile deepens sufficiently ahead of the 
approaching trough. QPF's should remain light Friday morning before 
large scale forcing quickly increases by afternoon, thus have tapered 
pops down to mid and high chance Friday morning before ramping pops up 
to likely/categorical for the afternoon, mainly over SW AR/Ncntrl LA. Dry 
slotting aloft will quickly follow the trough passage from W to E from late 
morning to mid afternoon Friday, thus quickly tapering the convection from 
W to E during the day. Some of the stronger winds aloft along the SWrly 
LLJ may begin to mix down across portions of E TX/SE OK by mid to late 
afternoon Friday, which would result in warmer temps once the cu cigs begin 
to scatter out. Wrly winds out ahead of the associated Pacific front that 
will traverse Cntrl OK/TX Friday afternoon should also result in a 
spread in max temps from W to E across the area as well, as the warmer 
air begins to mix E into the Wrn sections of E TX late in the day. This
weak front will continue to mix E across E TX/Wrn AR during the evening, 
before washing out late Friday night somewhere over SW AR/N LA. 


.LONG TERM.../Friday Night through Wednesday/

Will be issued shortly. 

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Hourly Observations For WEST CARROLL Parish
400 AM CST THU NOV 22 2018

BASTROP        FAIR      36  36  98 CALM      30.33F                  
TALLULAH/VBURG FAIR      41  38  89 CALM      30.32S                  
VIDALIA        FAIR      43  39  87 NE3       30.30F                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Louisiana
Based on observations at 400am CST, Thursday November 22, 2018

Across Louisiana...temperatures are near 39 degrees north, near 43 degrees central, and near 53 degrees south. Current sky conditions are partly cloudy north, fair central, and cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 92%, and the dew point is near 37 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 85%, and the dew point is near 39 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 71%, and the dew point is near 44 degrees. Winds are calm in the north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are coming from the northeast at 5 mph in the central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are coming from the northeast at 7 mph in the south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category north, no stress category central, and no stress category south. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 53 degrees at N.O. INTL ARPT. The lowest temperature is 39 degrees at Shreveport and Manroe.

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this Parish will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For WEST CARROLL County, LA

347 AM CST Thu Nov 22 2018

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For WEST CARROLL Parish, LA
358 AM CST Thu Nov 22 2018

Partly cloudy. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. East winds around 5 mph.

Mostly clear in the evening then becoming cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds around 5 mph.

Chance of light rain in the morning, then rain and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of rain 80 percent.

Rain in the evening. Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of rain 80 percent.

Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.

Partly cloudy in the morning, then mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s.

Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s.

Sunny, cooler. Highs around 50.

Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.

Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.

Clear. Lows in the lower 30s.

Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

WEST CARROLL County, Louisiana Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory

Current Weather Advisory is NOT available

Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps:Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Louisiana

                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                NOV 27-DEC 1 NOV 29-DEC 5    DEC   DEC18-FEB19                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below      Above     Normal                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Below      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Thursday November 22, 2018 the 326th Day of Year

Declination -20.330000
Distance 0.999724 AU
Rise 07:43 EST Set 18:05 EST
Transit Meridian 12:54 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:18 EST Ends 18:31 EST

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

An observer at Boston MA recorded a "great tempest of wind and rain from
the southeast all night, as fierce as a hurricane, and thereupon followed
the highest tide which we have seen since our arrival here". (David Ludlum)
Extremely destructive Santa Ana winds blew from Oxnard to San Diego and
inland parts of southern California. The high winds produced a 28,000 acre
brush fire on a 40-mile front west of Crystal Lake. People were ordered off
streets in some areas due to flying debris. (21st-22nd) (The Weather
Over two inches of rainfall was received at the Jackson, KY Weather Office and 
the London, KY Corbin Airport in 1991. London measured 2.18 inches of 
rain...while Jackson picked up 2.99 inches of precipitation. Both amounts 
established new daily rainfall records for November 22nd.

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky