A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.
National Weather Service Shreveport LA 354 AM CST Thu Nov 22 2018 .SHORT TERM.../Today through Friday/ The morning water vapor satellite indicates that the shortwave trough which resulted in extensive areas of -RA that moved across SE TX (including the Srn portions of Deep E TX) as well as Cntrl LA Wednesday evening, has moved E into the Lower MS Valley this morning, with drier air quickly entraining E into SE TX/Wrn LA. In fact, the elevated cigs over portions of Ncntrl LA should clear by dawn this morning, resulting in a beautiful Thanksgiving holiday as sfc ridging will remain in place across the region. Given that 09Z temps have trended several degrees warmer than 24 hrs ago, ample insolation should allow for max temps this afternoon to run a few degrees warmer than what was observed Wednesday. The cirrus shield currently over Ern NM will quickly advance E across OK/TX today, spreading into SE OK/E TX later this afternoon. This cirrus shield will quickly affect the remainder of the region this evening and thicken, ahead of the next progressive trough (now just off the CA coast) that will translate E across the Srn Rockies this evening and into the Srn Plains Friday. With the sfc ridge weakening this evening as it begins to shift E of the TN Valley, low level moisture advection will increase in earnest late this evening/overnight, ahead of low level cyclogenesis that will develop over Ern CO/Wrn KS. The return of the low level moisture will not be sufficient enough to result in warm advection SHRA late tonight ahead of the trough over NE TX/SE OK, but this will quickly change after daybreak Friday as the SWrly LLJ intensifies to 40-50kts and the moisture profile deepens sufficiently ahead of the approaching trough. QPF's should remain light Friday morning before large scale forcing quickly increases by afternoon, thus have tapered pops down to mid and high chance Friday morning before ramping pops up to likely/categorical for the afternoon, mainly over SW AR/Ncntrl LA. Dry slotting aloft will quickly follow the trough passage from W to E from late morning to mid afternoon Friday, thus quickly tapering the convection from W to E during the day. Some of the stronger winds aloft along the SWrly LLJ may begin to mix down across portions of E TX/SE OK by mid to late afternoon Friday, which would result in warmer temps once the cu cigs begin to scatter out. Wrly winds out ahead of the associated Pacific front that will traverse Cntrl OK/TX Friday afternoon should also result in a spread in max temps from W to E across the area as well, as the warmer air begins to mix E into the Wrn sections of E TX late in the day. This weak front will continue to mix E across E TX/Wrn AR during the evening, before washing out late Friday night somewhere over SW AR/N LA. 15 .LONG TERM.../Friday Night through Wednesday/ Will be issued shortly.National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]
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Hourly Observations For WEST CARROLL Parish
400 AM CST THU NOV 22 2018
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BASTROP FAIR 36 36 98 CALM 30.33F TALLULAH/VBURG FAIR 41 38 89 CALM 30.32S VIDALIA FAIR 43 39 87 NE3 30.30F
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Louisiana
Based on observations at 400am CST, Thursday November 22, 2018
Across Louisiana...temperatures are near 39 degrees north, near 43 degrees central, and near 53 degrees south. Current sky conditions are partly cloudy north, fair central, and cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 92%, and the dew point is near 37 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 85%, and the dew point is near 39 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 71%, and the dew point is near 44 degrees. Winds are calm in the north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are coming from the northeast at 5 mph in the central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are coming from the northeast at 7 mph in the south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category north, no stress category central, and no stress category south. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 53 degrees at N.O. INTL ARPT. The lowest temperature is 39 degrees at Shreveport and Manroe.
Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this Parish will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.
All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For WEST CARROLL County, LA
347 AM CST Thu Nov 22 2018 DAY ONE Today and Tonight The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations is not expected through next Wednesday.
7-Day Forecast For WEST CARROLL Parish, LA
358 AM CST Thu Nov 22 2018
EARLY IN THE MORNING TODAY TONIGHT FRIDAY FRIDAY NIGHT SATURDAY SATURDAY NIGHT SUNDAY SUNDAY NIGHT MONDAY MONDAY NIGHT TUESDAY TUESDAY NIGHT WEDNESDAY
WEST CARROLL County, Louisiana Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory
Current Weather Advisory is NOT available
Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps:Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress
Medium & Long Range Outlook For Louisiana
LOUISIANA --------------------------------------------- 6 TO 10 DAY 8 TO 14 DAY 30 DAY 90 DAY NOV 27-DEC 1 NOV 29-DEC 5 DEC DEC18-FEB19 ----------- ----------- -------- --------- Temperature: Below Below Above Normal Precipitation: Above Above Below Above .... Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Thursday November 22, 2018 the 326th Day of Year --------------------------------------------------- SUN Declination -20.330000 Distance 0.999724 AU Rise 07:43 EST Set 18:05 EST Transit Meridian 12:54 EST Civil Twilight Begins 07:18 EST Ends 18:31 EST Calculations made for central point in the state. Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and elevation -- Priddy
Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today
NOVEMBER 22ND HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS ...1641... An observer at Boston MA recorded a "great tempest of wind and rain from the southeast all night, as fierce as a hurricane, and thereupon followed the highest tide which we have seen since our arrival here". (David Ludlum) ...1957... Extremely destructive Santa Ana winds blew from Oxnard to San Diego and inland parts of southern California. The high winds produced a 28,000 acre brush fire on a 40-mile front west of Crystal Lake. People were ordered off streets in some areas due to flying debris. (21st-22nd) (The Weather Channel) ...1991... Over two inches of rainfall was received at the Jackson, KY Weather Office and the London, KY Corbin Airport in 1991. London measured 2.18 inches of rain...while Jackson picked up 2.99 inches of precipitation. Both amounts established new daily rainfall records for November 22nd.
Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky