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Tensas Parish, LA Weather and Climate Synopsis

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National Weather Service Shreveport LA
303 PM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Wv imagery this aftn shows entrenched upper ridge over the wrn
CONUS and trof axis extending from Baja all the way ne into the
Great Lakes region. Swwd extension of the trof tapping into 
Pacific moisture, transporting it newd into much of TX/LA. Nrn
extent of the trof will progress ewd Friday and Saturday, leaving
behind a large, cut-off low over wrn Mexico. Meanwhile, another
disturbance will emerge and dive swd along the ern periphery of
the upper ridge. This Will force the cut-off low to begin lifting
newd Saturday towards our region. Top-down moistening of the
column along with some rapid ll moisture return will result in
shwrs/isold tstms developing and spreading newd into the ArkLaTex
by Saturday evening. Good widespread averages near an inch to two
inches look to be possible with this disturbance before it moves
on Sunday morning.

Upper flow will remain swly as the second disturbance becomes cut
off over AZ. Developing low pressure along the TX Gulf Coast will
provide some additional moisture as the disturbance moves ewd 
into the Srn Plains early next week. Some question as to the
coverage of any associated convection, but have retained some 
conservative PoPs into the fcst for that timeframe. Mild and 
drier airmass will filter in in the wake of this disturbance as we
move into the middle part of next work week under zonal flow 
aloft to take us to the end of the pd. /12/

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Hourly Observations For TENSAS Parish
400 PM CST THU DEC 14 2017

NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BASTROP        FAIR      56  32  39 NE3       29.99R                  
TALLULAH/VBURG CLOUDY    56  37  49 CALM      29.99R                  
VIDALIA          N/A    N/A N/A N/A MISG      29.97S                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Louisiana
Based on observations at 400pm CST, Thursday December 14, 2017

Across Louisiana...temperatures are near 58 degrees north, near 56 degrees central, and near 61 degrees south. Current sky conditions are cloudy north, mostly sunny central, and cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 42%, and the dew point is near 35 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 62%, and the dew point is near 43 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 62%, and the dew point is near 48 degrees. Winds are coming from the northeast at 5 mph in the north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm in the central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are coming from the south at 5 mph in the south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category north, no stress category central, and no stress category south. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 63 degrees at Lake Charles, Lafayette, and Baton Rouge. The lowest temperature is 55 degrees at Alexandria.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this Parish will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For TENSAS County, LA

119 PM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

 DAY ONE  Tonight and Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday night through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

 SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT  
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For TENSAS Parish, LA
228 PM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

THROUGH EARLY EVENING
Partly cloudy. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast winds around 5 mph becoming south after midnight.

SATURDAY
Sunny in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Slight chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of rain 60 percent.

SUNDAY
Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. The chance of rain 90 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. The chance of rain 40 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50. The chance of rain 40 percent.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. The chance of rain 30 percent.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.

WEDNESDAY
A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


TENSAS County, Louisiana Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory

Current Weather Advisory is NOT available

Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps:Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Louisiana

                            LOUISIANA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   DEC 20-24    DEC 22-28    DEC       DEC-FEB                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above       Normal      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Below      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Thursday December 14, 2017 the 348th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -23.270000
Distance 0.999725 AU
Rise 08:00 EST Set 18:06 EST
Transit Meridian 13:03 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:34 EST Ends 18:32 EST

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

DECEMBER 14TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1901...
Wet and cold: Louisville, KY set both a record low (2 degrees) and a daily 
precipitation record (2.21 inches). (The high temperature that day was 42.)
(NWS Louisville)
...1924...
The temperature at Helena MT plunged 79 degrees in 24 hours, and 88 degrees
in 34 hours. The mercury plummeted from 63 above to 25 below zero. At
Fairfield MT the temperature plunged 84 degrees in just 12 hours, from 63
at Noon to 21 below zero at midnight. (David Ludlum)
...1987...
A powerful storm spread heavy snow from the Southern High Plains to the
Middle Mississippi Valley, and produced severe thunderstorms in the Lower
Mississippi Valley. During the evening a tornado hit West Memphis TN
killing six persons and injuring two hundred others. The tornado left 1500
persons homeless, and left all of the residents of Crittendon County
without electricity. Kansas City MO was blanketed with 10.8 inches of snow,
a 24 hour record for December, and snowfall totals in the Oklahoma
panhandle ranged up to 14 inches. Strong winds, gusting to 63 mph at Austin
TX, ushered arctic cold into the Great Plains, and caused considerable
blowing and drifting of snow. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
...1988...
Blowing snow was reported in western Kansas, as snow and gusty winds
plagued the Central Rockies and Central High Plains. Colorado Springs CO
reported thirteen inches of snow. Low pressure in Wisconsin brought heavy
snow to the Lake Superior snowbelt area, with 22 inches reported at
Marquette MI. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
...1989...
High winds and heavy snow prevailed from Montana to Colorado. Snowfall
totals in Wyoming ranged up to 20 inches at Burgess Junction, leaving up to
48 inches on the ground in the northeast sections of the state. Wind gusts
in Colorado reached 87 mph south of the town of Rollinsville. Strong
northwesterly winds continued to produce heavy snow squalls in the Great
Lakes Region. Totals in northeastern Lower Michigan ranged up to 29 inches
at Hubbard Lake, with 28 inches reported at Posen. Two day totals in
northeastern Wisconsin ranged up to thirty inches. (Storm Data) (The
National Weather Summary)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky