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Natchitoches Parish, LA Weather and Climate Synopsis

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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


National Weather Service Shreveport LA
651 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday)
Issued at 320 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

The weather story and hazard outlooks remain largely unchanged from 
recent forecasts as of this writing. As a series of upper level lows 
eject east from the Intermountain West and veer along a 
northeasterly track up the Great Plains and towards the Great Lakes, 
this persistent unsettled pattern will result in several days worth 
of showers and storms bringing rainfall to much of the ArkLaTex, and 
some chances of severe weather, particularly to our northwestern 
half. 

Showers have already begun to move into our southeastern Oklahoma 
zones as of the 08Z hour, and will increase in coverage and 
intensity while gradually trekking south and east after daybreak 
today. Showers and storms will impact all but the southeasternmost 
reaches of the ArkLaTex through this afternoon, receding in 
coverage back to the north of the I-30 corridor overnight into 
Saturday. 

The severe weather outlook today remains much the same as previous 
iterations, with a Slight Risk covering our northwestern zones from 
Tyler up to Texarkana and along I-30, extending just far enough 
south to clip the northwestern corner of Louisiana. The chief modes 
of severe weather expected will be damaging wind and especially 
large hail, but a tornado or two cannot be ruled out entirely. 
Simultaneously, these same zones are included in a slight risk of 
excessive rainfall leading to flash flooding, particularly in areas 
of training torrential rainfall. 1-2 inches of accumulation today 
look easily possible, particularly north of I-30. 

Today's highs will range from the middle 70s northwest to middle 80s 
southeast, followed by a night of lows in the upper 60s to near 70 
degrees, and a warmer Saturday as more sites reach the mid to upper 
80s. 

Saturday continues to look like the "in-between" day of this 
stretch, where we will not see a defined line of storms associated 
with one of the aforementioned lows move into the region. 
Nevertheless, conditions will remain ripe for renewed showers and 
storms across the northern half of the Four State Region through the 
course of the day, accompanied by a Marginal Risk for severe weather 
and a sliver of Slight Risk on our northwestern corner, accompanied 
by a similar distribution of ERO risks. All modes of severe weather 
will again be possible, but at reduced confidence compared to Friday 
and Sunday. 

/26/

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.

Regional Hourly Observations For NATCHITOCHES County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Louisiana
Based on observations at 1000am CDT, Friday April 26, 2024

Across Louisiana...temperatures are near 77 degrees north, near 77 degrees central, and near 79 degrees south. Current sky conditions are cloudy north, cloudy central, and partly sunny south. In the north, relative humidity is near 69%, and the dew point is near 66 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 72%, and the dew point is near 68 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 62%, and the dew point is near 65 degrees. Winds are coming from the south at 15 mph with gusts at 24 mph in the north, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are coming from the south at 20 mph with gusts at 25 mph in the central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are coming from the southeast at 14 mph with gusts at 22 mph in the south, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 79 degrees at New Orleans Lakefront, N.O. INTL ARPT, Lafayette, Houma, and Baton Rouge. The lowest temperature is 75 degrees at DTN Shreveport.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this Parish will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For NATCHITOCHES County, LA

551 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

 DAY ONE  Today and tonight.

Severe weather chances will return to the region today and continue
into the weekend. All modes of severe weather will be possible, along
with a threat for flash flooding resulting from training heavy
rainfall. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Saturday through Thursday.

Severe weather chances will linger through the weekend. The greatest 
chance for widespread severe weather will be Sunday, with all modes 
of severe weather being possible. Additionally, 3-5 inches of 
rainfall will be possible through the middle of the new workweek, 
which could result in additional flooding and flash flooding given 
recent rainfall.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For NATCHITOCHES Parish, LA
235 AM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

TODAY
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Windy with lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Windy with highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Windy with lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

MONDAY
Thunderstorms likely. Showers, windy with highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 80 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

TUESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.

THURSDAY
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


NATCHITOCHES County, Louisiana Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory

Current Weather Advisory is NOT available

Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps:Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Louisiana

                            LOUISIANA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                 MAY 1-MAY 5  MAY 3-MAY 9    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above                                            
 Precipitation:     Normal       Normal                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Friday April 26, 2024 the 117th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 14.010000
Distance 0.999718 AU
Rise 07:26 EDT Set 20:45 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:05 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:02 EDT Ends 21:10 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

APRIL 26TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1834...
Killer frosts were reported in the Deep South. The frost was quite severe
around Huntsville AL, and highlighted a backward spring in the South that
year. (David Ludlum)
...1978...
An unusually strong occluded front swept out of the Gulf of Alaska and
produced the first April thunderstorm of record at Fairbanks. Pea size hail
fell northeast of Fairbanks from thunderstorms whose tops were less than
8000 feet. (The Weather Channel)
...1984...
Severe thunderstorms associated with an intense cyclone spawned a total of
forty-seven tornadoes in two days from Louisiana to Upper Michigan. The
tornadoes killed 16 persons and injured 259 others. (Storm Data)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky