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Lower St. Bernard Parish, LA Weather and Climate Synopsis

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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1138 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

.AVIATION...
For the 20/06Z terminal forecast period, ceilings will 
deteriorate to IFR/LIFR by 20/12Z. Rain over much of the ArkLaTex
will continue to migrate southeastward into deep east Texas and 
north Louisiana through 20/12Z. Light winds will become northeast 
and increase to 10 knots with higher gusts on Saturday with
ceilings gradually improving to MVFR by mid-morning. Otherwise, 
skies to improve to VFR after 20/18Z. /05/

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.

Regional Hourly Observations For LOWER ST. BERNARD County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Louisiana
Based on observations at 1100pm CDT, Friday October 19, 2018

Across Louisiana...temperatures are near 62 degrees north, near 72 degrees central, and near 78 degrees south. Current sky conditions are rain north, cloudy central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 100%, and the dew point is near 62 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 94%, and the dew point is near 71 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 76 degrees. There is patchy fog north. Winds are calm in the north, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to rain. Winds are coming from the northwest at 6 mph in the central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are coming from the southeast at 5 mph in the south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 78 degrees at N.O. INTL ARPT. The lowest temperature is 62 degrees at Shreveport.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this Parish will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For LOWER ST. BERNARD County, LA

921 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

 DAY ONE  Tonight

Areas of fog are possible late tonight over land areas late
tonight. Otherwise, hazardous weather is not anticipated at this 
time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Saturday through Thursday

The threat of widespread hazardous weather across land areas is 
low Saturday through Monday. Strong winds behind a cold front are
expected to produce hazardous wave conditions for small craft by
late Saturday evening and continuing through much of Sunday
across the marine area. 

A higher chance of thunderstorms is expected by late Monday night
and continuing through Thursday, particularly in coastal areas. A
few thunderstorms during those periods could produce frequent 
lightning, gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall which may lead 
to flooding in low lying and poor drainage areas.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For LOWER ST. BERNARD Parish, LA
344 PM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018

TONIGHT
Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers in the evening. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds to 5 mph.

SATURDAY
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. North winds to 10 mph. Chance of showers 50 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Cooler. Cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds 15 to 25 mph.

SUNDAY
Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows 61 to 67. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

MONDAY
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in the morning, then chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Cloudy with showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

TUESDAY
Cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.

WEDNESDAY
Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the evening, then chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows around 70. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

THURSDAY
Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


LOWER ST. BERNARD County, Louisiana Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory

Current Weather Advisory is NOT available

Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps:Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Louisiana

                            LOUISIANA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   OCT 25-29 OCT 27-NOV 2    OCT       OCT-DEC                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below       Normal                                            
 Precipitation:      Above        Above                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Saturday October 20, 2018 the 293th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -10.680000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 08:15 EDT Set 19:30 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:52 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:52 EDT Ends 19:53 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

////////////////////////////
OCTOBER 20TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1770...
An exceedingly great storm struck eastern New England causing extensive
coastal damage from Massachusetts to Maine, and the highest tide in 47
years. (David Ludlum)
...1983...
Remnants of Pacific Hurricane Tico caused extensive flooding in central and
south central Oklahoma. Oklahoma City set daily rainfall records with 1.45
inch on the 19th, and 6.28 inches on the 20th. (17th-21st) (The Weather
Channel)
...1987...
Cold arctic air invaded the Upper Midwest, and squalls in the Lake Superior
snowbelt produced heavy snow in eastern Ashland County and northern Iron
County of Wisconsin. Totals ranged up to 18 inches at Mellen. In the
western U.S., the record high of 69 degrees at Seattle WA was their
twenty-fifth of the year, their highest number of record highs for any
given year. Bakersfield CA reported a record 146 days in a row with daily
highs 80 degrees or above. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
Unseasonably warm weather continued in the western U.S. In California,
afternoon highs of 96 degrees at Redding and Red Bluff were records for the
date. (The National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Forty-nine cities reported record low temperatures for the date as readings
dipped into the 20s and 30s across much of the south central and
southeastern U.S. Lows of 32 degrees at Lake Charles LA and 42 degrees at
Lakeland FL were records for October, and Little Rock AR reported their
earliest freeze of record. Snow blanketed the higher elevations of Georgia
and the Carolinas. Melbourne FL dipped to 47 degrees shortly before
midnight to surpass the record low established that morning. Showers and
thunderstorms brought heavy rain to parts of the northeastern U.S. Autumn
leaves on the ground clogged drains and ditches causing flooding. Up to
4.10 inches of rain soaked southern Vermont in three days. Flood waters
washed 600 feet of railroad track, resulting in a train derailment. (The
National Weather Summary)(Storm Data)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky