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Iberia Parish, LA Weather and Climate Synopsis

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National Weather Service Shreveport LA
506 PM CDT Sun Jul 15 2018

.AVIATION...
Much less cumulus today compared to Sat Aftn and as a
result...much less in the way of convection to deal with. Will
watch isolated showers which have just recently developed in the
vicinity of the LFK terminal for the possible addition of a VCSH
or VCTS mention in the 00z TAF cycle but otherwise, should have
prevailing VFR conditions through the night and through the day
Monday. 

Cu field will again begin building near or shortly after 15z on
Mon but no ceilings are expected attm. The 12z NAM output is the
only model suggesting the likelihood of -TSRA in the vicinity of
the TXK/ELD terminals late in the TAF period on Monday so will
choose to leave out any mention of this weather for this cycle but
may need to include a mention for the 06z TAF package if more
model consensus indicates.

Look for light south to southwest winds overnight with speeds less
than 10kts. South to southwest winds will prevail near 6-10kts
areawide beyond 15z Monday. 

13

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
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Hourly Observations For IBERIA Parish
600 PM CDT SUN JUL 15 2018

SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LAKE CHARLES   FAIR      91  76  61 SW9       29.99F HX 103           
LAFAYETTE      FAIR      92  75  57 SW9       29.98F HX 103           
PATTERSON      FAIR      89  78  70 SW10      30.00F HX 103           
SALT POINT       N/A    N/A N/A N/A VRB5      29.98F                  
NEW IBERIA     FAIR      91  73  55 W7        29.98F HX  99           
CHENAULT AIRPK PTSUNNY   79  75  89 CALM      30.00F                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Louisiana
Based on observations at 700pm CDT, Sunday July 15, 2018

Across Louisiana...temperatures are near 87 degrees south. Current sky condition is partly sunny south. In the south, relative humidity is near 69%, and the dew point is near 76 degrees. The heat index is near 97 degrees south. The livestock heat stress category is unavailable north, unavailable central, and danger south. Winds are unavailable north. Winds are unavailable central. Winds are coming from the southwest at 8 mph in the south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 91 degrees at New Orleans Lakefront. The lowest temperature is 86 degrees at Slidell and Houma.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this Parish will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For IBERIA County, LA

356 PM CDT Sun Jul 15 2018

 DAY ONE  This Afternoon and Tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms will continue through early this evening
before dissipating. Occasional lightning, brief heavy rainfall, and 
gusty winds can be expected with these thunderstorms.

Heat index values are expected to remain above 95 degrees through
approximately 9 PM this evening. Precautions to avoid heat illness
should continue through late this evening.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Monday through Saturday.

There will be chances for isolated to scattered thunderstorms each
day Monday through Friday. The best chances for thunderstorms will be
across southwest Louisiana and Acadiana. Occasional lightning, brief heavy
rainfall, and gusty winds will be possible with these thunderstorms.

Maximum heat index values are expected to range from 100-105 each 
day Monday through Wednesday. Temperatures will begin to increase on
Thursday as high pressure builds into the region. This will result in
heat index values of 105-110 each afternoon Thursday through
Saturday. Precautions to avoid heat illness should continue to be
taken through the rest of the week.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For IBERIA Parish, LA
305 PM CDT Sun Jul 15 2018

TONIGHT
Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the upper 70s. West winds up to 10 mph. Highest heat index readings around 105 in the evening.

MONDAY
Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Highest heat index readings around 105 in the afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy in the evening, then partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the upper 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.

TUESDAY
Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Heat index readings around 105.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.

THURSDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Highest heat index readings 105 to 106 in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s.

FRIDAY
Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Heat index readings 105 to 109.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Highest heat index readings around 105 in the evening.

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Heat index readings 105 to 109.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s.

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Heat index readings 105 to 107.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


IBERIA County, Louisiana Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory

Current Weather Advisory is NOT available

Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps:Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Louisiana

                            LOUISIANA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   JUL 21-25    JUL 23-29    JUL       JUL-SEP                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Below       Normal      Below      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Sunday July 15, 2018 the 196th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 21.360000
Distance 0.999715 AU
Rise 07:14 EDT Set 21:14 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:14 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:47 EDT Ends 21:41 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

////////////////////////////
JULY 15TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1916...
A dying South Atlantic Coast storm produced torrential rains in the
southern Appalachian Mountains. Altapass NC was drenched with more than 22
inches of rain, a 24 hour rainfall record for the state. Flooding resulted
in considerable damage, particularly to railroads. (David Ludlum)
...1954...
The temperature at Balcony Falls VA soared to 110 degrees to establish a
state record. (The Weather Channel)
...1983...
The Big Thompson Creek in Colorado flooded for the second time in seven
years, claiming three lives, and filling the town of Estes Park with eight
to ten feet of water. (The Weather Channel)
...1987...
Unseasonably cool weather spread into the south central and eastern U.S.
Fifteen cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including
Houghton Lake MI with a reading of 37 degrees. The high temperature for the
date of 58 degrees at Flint MI was their coolest of record for July.
Thunderstorms spawned several tornadoes in Illinois and Indiana, injuring a
cow near Donovan IL. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
Twenty-six cities east of the Mississippi River reported record high
temperatures for the date. Charleston WV established an all-time record
high with a reading of 103 degrees, and Chicago IL reported a record fifth
day of 100 degree heat for the year. A severe thunderstorm moving across
Omaha NE and the Council Bluffs area of west central Iowa spawned three
tornadoes which injured 88 persons, and also produced high winds which
injured 18 others. Winds at the Omaha Eppley Airport reached 92 mph. Damage
from the storm was estimated at 43 million dollars. (Storm Data) (The
National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Thunderstorms drenched Kansas City MO with 4.16 inches of rain, a record
for the date. Two and a half inches of rain deluged the city between Noon
and 1 PM. Afternoon thunderstorms in South Carolina deluged Williamstown
with six inches of rain in ninety minutes, including four inches in little
more than half an hour. (The National Weather Summary)(Storm Data)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky