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Caldwell Parish, LA Weather and Climate Synopsis

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National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1013 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1013 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

The evening sfc analysis indicates that our cold front has drifted
S into upper SE TX and Cntrl LA, after having been stationary for
much of the day along the I-20 corridor of N LA into Lower E TX.
While this front may drift a tad farther S overnight, cool
advection will remain minimal, with temps not expected to fall off
as much as was previously advertised. Meanwhile, weak overrunning
has commenced this evening atop the very shallow air mass in place
(near or less than 1kft deep per the 00Z KSHV raob), with areas of
-RA having developed over the last couple of hours over portions
of NE TX into SW AR. Also beginning to see areas of -RA
developing over NW TX/SW OK, near an area of PVA traversing atop
weak convergence along an inverted H850 trough that extends NE
into Srn and SE OK. As the PVA increases from the W overnight,
should see an increase in convection late, especially over the
Nrn third of the area as the H850 trough bridges E into Srn AR,
with additional development occurring along an inverted H925
trough extending farther S into Lower E TX into N LA. Thus, the
current pop forecast of high chance/likely still looks good late
over these areas, becoming more widespread after daybreak
Saturday once convergence in maximized between the H925-850
troughs. 

As was the case last night/this morning, the NBM was much too cool
with overnight temps within this very shallow air mass, with the
warmer HRRR/NAM 2M temps doing a seemingly better job with temps. Thus,
have trended the forecast more in line with these higher
resolution progs, having raised min temps several degrees as a
slightly tighter pressure gradient overnight will keep the winds
up and the air more mixed, not allowing the air mass to completely 
saturate. Did not make any changes beyond tonight, as minimal
warming is expected generally along/N of I-20 Saturday as periods
of convection continue. 

Zone update already out...grids will be available shortly. 

15

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
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Regional Hourly Observations For CALDWELL County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Louisiana
Based on observations at 1100pm CDT, Friday April 19, 2024

Across Louisiana...temperatures are near 76 degrees south. Current sky condition is cloudy south. In the south, relative humidity is near 85%, and the dew point is near 71 degrees. Winds are unavailable north. Winds are unavailable central. Winds are coming from the southwest at 5 mph in the south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 78 degrees at New Orleans Lakefront. The lowest temperature is 76 degrees at N.O. INTL ARPT.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this Parish will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For CALDWELL County, LA

630 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

 DAY ONE  Today and tonight.

A cold front will continue to shift across the region today, but any
thunderstorm activity should be isolated. The chance of thunderstorms 
will increase later tonight as an upper-level disturbance approaches
the region from the west, mainly after midnight through the predawn 
hours on Saturday. However, no hazardous weather is expected at this
time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Saturday through Thursday.

An upper-level disturbance will continue to produce scattered storms
and more widespread showers with periods of heavy rainfall through 
Saturday night before the storm system moves east of our region on 
Sunday. Look for widespread rainfall amounts of one to three inches
with isolated higher amounts possible. This may result in additional
rises on area waterways through early next week. Low-lying and poor 
drainage areas will also be susceptible to localized flash flooding.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For CALDWELL Parish, LA
953 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

REST OF TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Isolated thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

SATURDAY
Cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Much cooler. Near steady temperature in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler with lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Windy with highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph, becoming north around 5 mph after midnight.

MONDAY
Sunny. Highs around 70.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.

TUESDAY
Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Not as cool with lows in the mid 50s.

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


CALDWELL County, Louisiana Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory

Current Weather Advisory is NOT available

Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps:Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Louisiana

                            LOUISIANA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   APR 25-29 APR 27-MAY 3    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:                                                                    
 Precipitation:                                                                    

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Saturday April 20, 2024 the 111th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 12.050000
Distance 0.999719 AU
Rise 07:33 EDT Set 20:41 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:06 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:08 EDT Ends 21:06 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

APRIL 20TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1901...
A spring storm produced unusally heavy snow in northeast Ohio. Warren
received 35.5 inches in thirty-six hours, and 28 inches fell at Green Hill.
Akron OH established April records of 15.6 inches in 24 hours, and 26.6
inches for the month. Pittsburgh PA established April records of 12.7
inches in 24 hours, and 13.5 inches for the month. (David Ludlum) (The
Weather Channel)
...1920...
Tornadoes in Mississippi and Alabama killed 219 persons. (David Ludlum)
...2002...
An unseasonably warm and moist air mass had settled across eastern Kentucky 
leading to record breaking temperatures at the Jackson Weather Office and the 
London Corbin Airport between the 16th and 21st of April. Jackson saw several 
days in a row with record high temperatures as well as maximum low records. On 
the 19th the mercury soared to a record high of 89 degrees at Jackson and a 
record tying 87 degrees at London. The low temperature at Jackson was a balmy 69 
degrees good enough for a daily as well as a monthly maximum low temperature 
record. (NWS Jackson)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky