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Assumption Parish, LA Weather and Climate Synopsis

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National Weather Service Shreveport LA
622 AM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018

.AVIATION...

Scattered -SHRA/-TSRA were noted northwest of ktxk this morning,
courtesy of a nearby upper level disturbance. Computer models hint
at this precipitation activity being maintained north of ktxk
though would not be surprised of a stray -SHRA/-TSRA nears the 
said terminal. However, confidence is not high enough to insert a 
mention at this time but will of course amend as necessary. 
Concurrently, -SHRA have been struggling to develop west of klfk 
and once again will elect to not insert a precipitation mention. 
MVFR fog and CIGS have developed south of klfk and would not be 
surprised if either phenomena affects kggg, ktyr and kmlu later 
this morning. Have hinted at this potential with a SCT mention at 
kggg and ktyr, but recent trends suggests that a TEMPO group at 
kmlu and klfk is appropriate. Otherwise, light southerly or calm 
winds of this morning will veer to the south-southwest by late 
morning, with speeds increasing to around 10 kts by the afternoon 
/breeziest conditions to occur across the western terminals/. 
Shortly after sunset, wind speeds will drop to below 10 kts and 
hints of VFR-MVFR fog could plague klfk overnight. /29/


National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.

Regional Hourly Observations For ASSUMPTION County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Louisiana
Based on observations at 1100am CDT, Wednesday August 15, 2018

Across Louisiana...temperatures are near 91 degrees south. Current sky condition is fair south. In the south, relative humidity is near 63%, and the dew point is near 77 degrees. The heat index is near 104 degrees south. The livestock heat stress category is unavailable north, unavailable central, and emergency south. Winds are unavailable north. Winds are unavailable central. Winds are coming from the north at 6 mph in the south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 91 degrees at Slidell and N.O. INTL ARPT. The lowest temperature is 87 degrees at Baton Rouge.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this Parish will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For ASSUMPTION County, LA

500 AM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop from
late morning through the afternoon hours today. The highest risk
of thunderstorms will mainly be along and south of the I-10
corridor. The strongest thunderstorms could produce frequent
lightning strikes, gusty winds, and brief heavy rainfall.  

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Thursday through Tuesday

Scattered thunderstorms are expected each day during the period.
A few storms could become strong each day, producing gusty winds,
frequent lightning and brief heavy rainfall.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For ASSUMPTION Parish, LA
423 AM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018

TODAY
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Light and variable winds becoming southwest up to 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.

TONIGHT
Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds to 5 mph in the evening becoming light and variable.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. East winds to 5 mph shifting to the south around 5 mph in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast winds to 5 mph.

FRIDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds to 5 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s.

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

SUNDAY
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s.

MONDAY
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

MONDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


ASSUMPTION County, Louisiana Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Advisory

Current Weather Advisory is NOT available

Ag. Weather Forecast Parameter Maps:Spraying Conditions , Dewpoint Temperatures, Livestock Heat Stress

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Louisiana

                            LOUISIANA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   AUG 20-24    AUG 22-28    AUG       AUG-OCT                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Below      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Wednesday August 15, 2018 the 227th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 13.730000
Distance 0.999717 AU
Rise 07:33 EDT Set 20:51 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:12 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:09 EDT Ends 21:15 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

///////////////////////////
AUGUST 15TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1787...
Tornadoes were reported in Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and
New Hampshire. Wethersfield CT was hard hit by the tornado outbreak. (David
Ludlum)
...1946...
Saint Louis MO was deluged with a record 8.78 inches of rain in 24 hours.
(The Weather Channel)
...1967...
The "sundance fire" in northern Idaho was started by lightning. Winds of 50
mph carried firebrands as much as ten miles in advance to ignite new fires,
and as a result, the forest fire spread twenty miles across the Selkirk
Mountains in just twelve hours, burning 56,000 acres. The heat of the fire
produced whirlwinds of flame with winds up to 300 mph which flung giant
trees about like matchsticks. (David Ludlum)
...1987...
Thunderstorms developing ahead of a sharp cold front produced severe
weather in the Upper Midwest during the afternoon and evening hours, with
Minnesota and eastern South Dakota hardest hit. A thunderstorm in west
central Minnesota spawned a tornado at Eagle Lake which killed one person
and injured eight others. A thunder- storm in eastern South Dakota produced
softball size hail at Warner. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
Thirty five cities in twenty states in the north central and northeastern
U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Lamoni IA
and Baltimore MD, where the mercury hit 105 degrees. Temperatures 100
degrees or above were reported in twenty-two states. Pierre SD was the hot
spot in the nation with a high of 114 degrees. Bluefield WV reported eight
straight days of record heat. (The National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Evening thunderstorms in eastern New Mexico produced wind gusts to 66 mph
at Clovis. Evening thunderstorms in West Texas produced baseball size hail
around Hereford, Dimmitt, Ware and Dalhart. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky