Warren County, KY Weather And Climate Synopsis


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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


Updated Thursday Evening, August 16, 2018

...Waves Of Rainfall Into The Weekend...

Kentucky has entered into a rather active pattern over much of the upcoming week. Just today, counties along the river across North Central Kentucky recieved in upwards of 2 inches in spots. While numerous showers and storms exit Eastern Kentucky this evening, the current thinking is for scattered coverage to remain overnight, before another round of elevated coverage tomorrow. As was the case today, storms will be capable of producing very heavy rainfall and could lead to localized flooding.

Shower and storm chances then continue through the weekend and into the upcoming work week. Sunday appears to be the one day through the period where Kentucky could see a break.

Kentucky Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

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Regional Hourly Observations For WARREN County, Kentucky
Issued at 1100 PM EDT THU AUG 16 2018
WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
PADUCAH        FAIR      79  75  87 S6        29.99R                  
HENDERSON      FAIR      77  73  87 S6        30.00R                  
OWENSBORO      FAIR      76  73  91 SW6       30.02R                  
HOPKINSVILLE   FAIR      79  74  86 S6        30.03R                  
BOWLING GREEN  MOCLDY    80  74  81 S7        30.05R                  
GLASGOW        LGT RAIN  74  71  91 CALM      30.05S                  

KY Round-up, Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, NWS Louisville
Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London , About Meteograms


Current Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 1100pm EDT, Thursday August 16, 2018

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 79 degrees west, near 75 degrees central, and near 69 degrees east. Current sky conditions are fair west, fair central, and fair east. In the west, relative humidity is near 87%, and the dew point is near 75 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 81%, and the dew point is near 69 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 90%, and the dew point is near 66 degrees. Current drying conditions are poor west, poor central, and poor east. The livestock heat stress category is no stress west, no stress central, and no stress east. Winds are from the south at 6 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 12 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 81 degrees at Louisville International and Louisville Bowman. The lowest temperature is 69 degrees at Jackson.

List of Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Observations in Kentucky


Radar:
UKAWC Radar, NWS Radar (NEW!), SPC Radar, SkyWarn, NEXRAD,
Hazardous Weather Outlook For WARREN County, Kentucky
902 PM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018 /802 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018/

 DAY ONE  Overnight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this evening and overnight as
another weather disturbance moves across the outlook area. Any storm
will have the potential to produce torrential rainfall and cloud to
ground lightning. If storms move over the same locations, then 
isolated flooding could occur.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday through Wednesday.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will continue Friday into Friday night
as the upper-level weather disturbance moves slowly across the Ohio 
Valley. Localized flooding is possible where multiple storms move over
the same area. Isolated strong wind gusts also are possible Friday 
afternoon from the strongest storms. Storms will become more isolated
on Saturday.

Another approaching storm system will bring more thunderstorms to 
the area Monday afternoon and/or night. Some of those storms could 
produce strong wind gusts and heavy rain. 

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotters should report any high rainfall amounts, flooding, and 
strong wind gusts over the next several days.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For WARREN County, KY
759 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

OVERNIGHT
Partly cloudy late in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY
Numerous showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds around 5 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 5 mph.

SUNDAY
Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows around 70.

MONDAY
Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s.

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.

THURSDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.

Day 1 Precip, Day 2, 5 Day Total, Days 1-5, ALL


Medium & Long Range Outlook For WARREN County, Kentucky
                             KENTUCKY                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   AUG 22-26    AUG 24-30    AUG       AUG-OCT                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Above      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:     Normal        Above     Normal     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
TWC Jet, 15-Day Jet,Trend, Max/Mins
6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook


Drought Status For WARREN County, Kentucky
(Based on the latest Palmer Drought Severity and Crop Moisture Indices)
CENTRAL   KY CLIMATE DIVISION

Hydrological Drought (PDSI) Situation:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Long-term Hydrological Moisture Status: NEAR NORMAL           (PDSI=  -0.27)
Rainfall Needed:  0.00 inches ABOVE NORMAL


Crop Moisture (CMI) Situation:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Short-term Crop Moisture Status: Moisture Adequate For Present Needs          (CMI=   0.06)
Change From Previous Week: WETTER     SOILS (  0.14)

Note: Due to rainfall variability within each climate division, check Precip Reports/GIS Estimates and the Kentucky Climate Summary for the latest moisture information for this county.

Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page


Kentucky Climate Summary
Kentucky Climate Summary
For the Period 08-08-2018 to 08-14-2018

Temperatures for the period averaged 75 degrees across the state which was 0 degrees from normal and 2 degrees cooler than the previous period. High temperatures averaged from 87 in the West to 83 in the East. Departure from normal high temperatures ranged from 1 degrees cooler than normal in the West to 3 degrees cooler than normal in the East. Low temperatures averaged from 67 degrees in the West to 66 degrees in the East. Departure from normal low temperature ranged from 1 degrees warmer than normal in the West to 3 degrees warmer than normal in the East. The extreme high temperature for the period was 94 degrees at MADISONVILLE 4S and the extreme low was 58 degrees at RICHMOND 8E.

Precipitation (liq. equ.) for the period totaled 0.98 inches statewide which was 0.1 inches above normal and 111% of normal. Precipitation totals by climate division, West 0.89 inches, Central 0.90 inches, Bluegrass 0.99 inches and East 1.12 inches, which was 0.06, 0.04, 0.12 and 0.15 inches above normal. By station, precipitation totals ranged from a low of 0.03 inches at CALHOUN 5NW to a high of 3.94 inches at PIKEVILLE 13S.

Kentucky Climate Summaries: Last day, Last 3 days, 7 days, 14, 21, 30, 60, 90 days
Yesterday's Weather Data, Kentucky Climate in Review


Almanac Information
Thursday August 16, 2018 the 228th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 13.420000
Distance 0.999717 AU
Rise 06:55 EDT Set 20:30 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:42 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:28 EDT Ends 20:56 EDT

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Normal Max/Min Temperature for Today: 86 / 63
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Calculations made for central point in Kentucky
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)
What the Moon looks like right now (USN)

On This Day In

Weather History...



........................
AUGUST 16TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1777...
The Battle of Bennington, delayed a day by rain, was fought. The rain
delayed British reinforcements, and allowed the Vermont Militia to arrive
in time, enabling the Americans to win a victory by defeating two enemy
forces, one at a time. (David Ludlum)
...1909...
A dry spell began in San Bernardino County of southern California that
lasted until the 6th of May in 1912, a stretch of 994 days! Another dry
spell, lasting 767 days, then began in October of 1912. (The Weather
Channel)
...1916...
Altapass NC was deluged with 22.22 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish
a state record. (The Weather Channel)
...1987...
Afternoon and evening thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced
severe weather from Oklahoma to Wisconsin and Lower Michigan. Thunderstorms
in central Illinois produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Springfield which
toppled two large beer tents at the state fair injuring 58 persons.
Thunderstorms also drenched Chicago IL with 2.90 inches of rain, making
August 1987 their wettest month of record. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)
...1988...
Thunderstorms developing along a slow moving cold front produced severe
weather from North Dakota to Lower Michigan during the day. Nine tornadoes
were sighted in North Dakota, and thunderstorms also produced hail three
inches in diameter at Lakota ND, and wind gusts to 83 mph at Marais MI.
Thirty-seven cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record high
temperatures for the date, including Rockford IL with a reading of 104
degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1989...
Late afternoon and evening thunderstorms in the Central High Plains Region
produced golf ball size hail at La Junta CO, Intercanyon CO, and Custer SD.
Afternoon thunderstorms over South Texas drenched Brownsville with 2.60
inches of rain. Fair skies allowed viewing of the late evening full lunar
eclipse from the Great Lakes Region to the Northern and Central Plains
Region, and across much of the western third of the country. (The National
Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

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Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky