Lawrence County, KY Weather And Climate Synopsis


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Crop Moisture Index
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NWS: Calculated Soil Moisture.
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


Updated Thursday Evening, January 17, 2019

......Heavy Rain and Flooding Saturday...Sharply Colder Saturday Night with Winter Mix and then Snow...
.........Bitter Cold Sunday thru Monday Morning with BRRR Wind Chills....

Light showers will push off to the east this evening and overnight, leading to dry conditions for the end of the work week. Kentucky will see similar temperatures tomorrow with highs low to middle 40s.

A much stronger system will bring more substantial rain, heavy at times, Friday night into Saturday. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches are expected and could lead to localized flooding on creeks, streams, and low-lying areas, along with rises on some rivers.

A changeover to snow is expected from the northwest Saturday afternoon and evening as much colder arctic air arrives behind a strong cold front. Gusty northwest winds will result in wind chill readings in the single digits by late Saturday night and Sunday morning. Some snow accumulation is possible Sunday.

Temperatures plummet 20 to 30 degrees Saturday night and bitter cold temperatures continue into Monday morning. Livestock Cold Stress will plunge into the Emergency Category during this period.Wind chills Sunday will only be from 5-15, and from 3 below to 5 above zero early Monday morning.

Kentucky Weather Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

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Regional Hourly Observations For LAWRENCE County, Kentucky
Issued at 700 PM EST THU JAN 17 2019
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LEXINGTON      LGT RAIN  42  40  92 SW7       30.01R                  
COVINGTON      FOG       39  38  96 SW6       29.99R VSB 3/4 WCI  35  
FRANKFORT      CLOUDY    44  42  93 SW6       30.00R                  

KY Round-up, Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, NWS Louisville
Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London , About Meteograms


Current Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 700pm EST, Thursday January 17, 2019

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 46 degrees west, near 42 degrees central, and near 38 degrees east. Current sky conditions are cloudy west, light rain central, and light rain east. In the west, relative humidity is near 89%, and the dew point is near 43 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 92%, and the dew point is near 40 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 100%, and the dew point is near 38 degrees. Current drying conditions are poor west, poor central, and poor east. Tobacco stripping conditions are favorable west, favorable central, and favorable east. Visibility is less than one mile east. Winds are from the northwest at 3 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southwest at 7 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. Winds are from the southwest at 5 mph east, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. The wind chill is near 34 degrees east. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category west, no stress category central, and no stress category east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 47 degrees at Hopkinsville and Bowling Green. The lowest temperature is 38 degrees at Jackson.

List of Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Observations in Kentucky


Radar:
UKAWC Radar, NWS Radar (NEW!), SPC Radar, SkyWarn, NEXRAD,
Hazardous Weather Outlook For LAWRENCE County, Kentucky
316 AM EST Thu Jan 17 2019

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight.

A brief wintry mix of snow or a rain snow mix is possible this
morning. Slick spots are possible.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday through Wednesday.

A strong storm system will affect the area Saturday through Sunday.
Precipitation may start out as a wintry mix of snow, sleet, and
freezing rain Saturday morning, before transitioning to heavy rain by
Saturday afternoon. Slick travel is possible early Saturday, with
localized flooding a possibility as rain develops. 

Rain will change over to snow late Saturday night and into Sunday,
with light to moderate accumulations possible. 

Winter weather and/or water related headlines may be possible. 

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For LAWRENCE County, KY
633 PM EST Thu Jan 17 2019

TONIGHT
Rain with a chance of drizzle this evening, then a chance of rain after midnight. Near steady temperature around 40. West winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy. A chance of drizzle with a slight chance of rain in the morning. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds around 5 mph.

SATURDAY
Rain. Highs in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Rain in the evening, then rain and snow likely after midnight. Light snow accumulation. Colder with lows in the mid 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph, becoming northwest with gusts up to 25 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow in the morning, then partly sunny in the afternoon. Much colder with highs in the mid 20s. Chance of snow 50 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY
Partly cloudy. Cold. Lows around 10 above. Highs in the mid 20s. Wind chill values as low as zero.

MONDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Not as cold with lows around 20.

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. Not as cool with highs in the upper 40s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Not as cool with lows in the mid 30s.

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the lower 40s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A chance of rain showers in the evening. Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Colder with lows in the mid 20s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

THURSDAY
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. A 30 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s.

Day 1 Precip, Day 2, 5 Day Total, Days 1-5, ALL


Medium & Long Range Outlook For LAWRENCE County, Kentucky
                             KENTUCKY                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   JAN 23-27 JAN 25-JAN 31    JAN       JAN-MAR                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below      Below      Below                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Below      Below      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
TWC Jet, 15-Day Jet,Trend, Max/Mins
6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook


Drought Status For LAWRENCE County, Kentucky
(Based on the latest Palmer Drought Severity and Crop Moisture Indices)
EASTERN   KY CLIMATE DIVISION

Hydrological Drought (PDSI) Situation:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Long-term Hydrological Moisture Status: EXTREME MOIST SPELL   (PDSI=   4.12)
Rainfall Needed:  0.00 inches ABOVE NORMAL


Crop Moisture (CMI) Situation:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Short-term Crop Moisture Status: More Dry Weather Needed, Work Delayed        (CMI=   2.17)
Change From Previous Week: DRIER      SOILS ( -0.25)

Note: Due to rainfall variability within each climate division, check Precip Reports/GIS Estimates and the Kentucky Climate Summary for the latest moisture information for this county.

Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page


Kentucky Climate Summary
Kentucky Climate Summary
For the Period 01-10-2019 to 01-16-2019

Temperatures for the period averaged 32 degrees across the state which was 1 degrees cooler than normal and 14 degrees cooler than the previous period. High temperatures averaged from 39 in the West to 36 in the East. Departure from normal high temperatures ranged from 4 degrees cooler than normal in the West to 8 degrees cooler than normal in the East. Low temperatures averaged from 29 degrees in the West to 27 degrees in the East. Departure from normal low temperature ranged from 3 degrees warmer than normal in the West to 4 degrees warmer than normal in the East. The extreme high temperature for the period was 49 degrees at BURKESVILLE 3W and the extreme low was 13 degrees at HINDMAN 5N.

Precipitation (liq. equ.) for the period totaled 0.61 inches statewide which was 0.25 inches below normal and 71% of normal. Precipitation totals by climate division, West 0.60 inches, Central 0.59 inches, Bluegrass 0.67 inches and East 0.60 inches, which was 0.3, 0.33, 0.07 and 0.29 inches below normal. By station, precipitation totals ranged from a low of 0.00 inches at WHITLEY CITY 3N to a high of 1.00 inches at CINCINNATI.

Kentucky Climate Summaries: Last day, Last 3 days, 7 days, 14, 21, 30, 60, 90 days
Yesterday's Weather Data, Kentucky Climate in Review


Almanac Information
Thursday January 17, 2019 the 17th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -20.590000
Distance 0.999725 AU
Rise 07:52 EST Set 17:45 EST
Transit Meridian 12:48 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:25 EST Ends 18:13 EST

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Normal Max/Min Temperature for Today: 41 / 22
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Calculations made for central point in Kentucky
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)
What the Moon looks like right now (USN)

On This Day In

Weather History...



JANUARY 17TH
HISTORICAL WEATHER FACTS
...1817...
A luminous snowstorm occurred in Vermont and New Hampshire. Saint Elmo's
fire appeared as static discharges on roof peaks, fence posts, and the hats
and fingers of people. Thunderstorms prevailed over central New England.
(David Ludlum)
...1893...
The mercury dipped to 17 degrees below zero at Millsboro DE to establish a
state record. (The Weather Channel)
...1972...
A single storm unloaded 77.5 inches of snow at Summit MT to establish a
state record. (The Weather Channel)
...1982...
Strong chinook winds caused severe wind damage in Boulder CO. Wind gusts to
118 mph was recorded on the roof of the Environmental Research Laboratories
(ERL), and a wind gust to 137 mph was measured atop the roof of the NCAR
building (in the southwest part of the city, 600 feet above ground level).
The high winds uprooted trees and damage roofs. (Storm Data)
...1987...
A winter storm spread snow from the Southern Rockies into the Middle
Mississippi Valley and southwestern sections of the Great Lakes Region, and
freezing rain across Texas and oklahoma. Snowfall totals ranged up to 16
inches at Tulia TX, with 12 inches at Wellington KS. (National Weather
Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
A Pacific storm battered the southern coast of California. Winds gusting to
65 mph uprooted trees in San Diego. Los Angeles reported an all-time record
low baromteric pressure reading of 29.25 inches. (National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)
...1989...
Strong chinook winds along the eastern slopes of the Rockies gusted to 90
mph near Rollinsville CO, and reached 94 mph near Big Timber MT. Heavy snow
blanketed parts of the Upper Mississippi Valley, with eight inches reported
in Douglas County WI. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1990...
Twenty cities across the southeastern half of the country reported record
high temperatures for the date. Record highs included 61 degrees at
Williamstown PA and 85 degrees at Brownsville TX. Evening thunderstorms
produced large hail and damaging winds from eastern Texas to Mississippi.
(National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...2006...
Bowling Green received 1.37" of liquid equivalent precipitation on January 
17, setting a new record for the date.  The old record was 1.25" set in 
1990. (Louisville NWS)
UKAWC Briefing Page

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky