Harlan County, KY Weather And Climate Synopsis

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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

Updated Saturday, February 16, 2019

...Rain Chances Later Sunday, Then Heavy Rain Potential Across Southern KY Mid To Late Next Week...

Welcome to those attending the last day of the 2019 National Farm Machinery Show at the Kentucky Exposition Center in Lousiville. Stop by the UK College of Ag, Food and Environment, Department of Biosystems and Agricultural Engineering exhibit today. Matt will be there to speak to you and your friends about Kentucky weather. Or just to say Hi!

Active pattern continues with multiple disturbances forecast to cross the region this work week. A warm front lifting north late tonight will bring changing winds Sunday, as well as more rain chances.

Expect a dry day with skies becoming partly cloudy. Highs will mostly range in the low to mid 40s. Precipitation chances will again increase overnight toward dawn on Sunday. Most of the precipitation will be light rain, however there is a chance for some light freezing rain or freezing drizzle north of the I-64 corridor. Little to no ice accumulation is expected.

A frontal boundary is forecast to stall somewhere in the region by mid to late week, with multiple waves of rain riding along it Tuesday through Friday. There is potential for several inches of rain during this time, which could lead to flooding and continued river flooding concerns. Right now, the heaviest rain looks to fall mostly over southern Kentucky however this could change in the coming days. Anyone with interests along rivers should pay attention to the forecast in the coming week.

Kentucky Weather Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

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Regional Hourly Observations For HARLAN County, Kentucky
Issued at 600 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2019
JACKSON          N/A     38  29  70 CALM      29.91R                  
LONDON           N/A     37  30  75 E5        29.92R WCI  33          
SOMERSET*        N/A     39  32  75 E7        29.93R WCI  34          
MONTICELLO*      N/A     40  33  76 NW8       29.93S WCI  34          
WILLIAMSBURG*  CLOUDY    37  32  81 N6        29.91S WCI  33          
MIDDLESBORO*   CLOUDY    40  34  79 NE6       29.91R                  
HARLAN APT*    CLOUDY    37  32  82 CALM      29.89S                  
PIKE CO APT*     N/A     38  26  61 CALM      29.90S                  
BIG SANDY APT*   N/A     40  22  49 N3        29.92R                  
MOREHEAD APT*    N/A     39  18  41 NE6G13    29.95R WCI  35          
ASHLAND*         N/A     39  21  48 E5        29.97S                  

KY Round-up, Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, NWS Louisville
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Current Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 600pm EST, Saturday February 16, 2019

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 34 degrees west, near 38 degrees central, and near 38 degrees east. Current sky conditions are fair west, fair central, and fair east. In the west, relative humidity is near 75%, and the dew point is near 27 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 52%, and the dew point is near 22 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 70%, and the dew point is near 29 degrees. Current drying conditions are fair west, fair central, and fair east. Winds are from the northeast at 6 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The wind chill is near 29 degrees west. Winds are from the northeast at 10 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The wind chill is near 31 degrees central. Winds are calm east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category west, no stress category central, and no stress category east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 42 degrees at Bowling Green. The lowest temperature is 32 degrees at Covington.

List of Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Observations in Kentucky

UKAWC Radar, NWS Radar (NEW!), SPC Radar, SkyWarn, NEXRAD,
Hazardous Weather Outlook For HARLAN County, Kentucky
418 PM EST Sat Feb 16 2019

 DAY ONE  Tonight.

There is a small chance of freezing rain north of I-64 towards

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Sunday through Friday.

A small chance of freezing rain will linger for a few hours early
Sunday morning north of I-64. 

Multiple rounds of moderate to heavy rain through next week will 
bring a threat of flooding of creeks, streams, and rivers across 
the area. At this time, it appears that this threat is highest for
locations south of the I-64 corridor. Please see the latest
hydrological outlook for more information.

Snow is possible generally north of the Mountain Parkway and in
the highest elevations near the VA border on Tuesday night.


Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For HARLAN County, KY
338 PM EST Sat Feb 16 2019

Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain near dawn. Lows in the mid 30s. Light winds.

Rain. Highs in the upper 40s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

Rain in the evening, then a chance of rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Light winds. Chance of rain 80 percent.

Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain in the morning, then mostly sunny in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 40s. Light winds.

Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Light winds.

Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 90 percent.

Rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of rain 90 percent.

Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 90 percent.

Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows around 40.

Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s.

Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Day 1 Precip, Day 2, 5 Day Total, Days 1-5, ALL

Medium & Long Range Outlook For HARLAN County, Kentucky
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   FEB 22-26 FEB 24-MAR 2    FEB       FEB-APR                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above     Normal      Below                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
TWC Jet, 15-Day Jet,Trend, Max/Mins
6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook

Drought Status For HARLAN County, Kentucky
(Based on the latest Palmer Drought Severity and Crop Moisture Indices)

Hydrological Drought (PDSI) Situation:

Current Long-term Hydrological Moisture Status: VERY MOIST SPELL      (PDSI=   3.87)
Rainfall Needed:  0.00 inches ABOVE NORMAL

Crop Moisture (CMI) Situation:

Current Short-term Crop Moisture Status: Favorable, Except Still Too Wet In Spots     (CMI=   1.34)
Change From Previous Week: DRIER      SOILS ( -1.21)

Note: Due to rainfall variability within each climate division, check Precip Reports/GIS Estimates and the Kentucky Climate Summary for the latest moisture information for this county.

Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page

Kentucky Climate Summary
Kentucky Climate Summary
For the Period 02-09-2019 to 02-15-2019

Temperatures for the period averaged 40 degrees across the state which was 4 degrees warmer than normal and 12 degrees cooler than the previous period. High temperatures averaged from 48 in the West to 49 in the East. Departure from normal high temperatures ranged from 0 degrees from normal in the West to 1 degrees warmer than normal in the East. Low temperatures averaged from 33 degrees in the West to 33 degrees in the East. Departure from normal low temperature ranged from 5 degrees warmer than normal in the West to 8 degrees warmer than normal in the East. The extreme high temperature for the period was 65 degrees at WHITESBURG 2NW and the extreme low was 12 degrees at BURLINGTON 4S.

Precipitation (liq. equ.) for the period totaled 2.47 inches statewide which was 1.56 inches above normal and 273% of normal. Precipitation totals by climate division, West 3.29 inches, Central 2.71 inches, Bluegrass 2.20 inches and East 1.68 inches, which was 2.28, 1.72, 1.42 and 0.84 inches above normal. By station, precipitation totals ranged from a low of 1.13 inches at SOMERSET AWOS to a high of 5.04 inches at MURRAY 1W.

Kentucky Climate Summaries: Last day, Last 3 days, 7 days, 14, 21, 30, 60, 90 days
Yesterday's Weather Data, Kentucky Climate in Review

Almanac Information
Saturday February 16, 2019 the 47th Day of Year

Declination -12.070000
Distance 0.999723 AU
Rise 07:27 EST Set 18:18 EST
Transit Meridian 12:52 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:01 EST Ends 18:44 EST

Normal Max/Min Temperature for Today: 48 / 26

Calculations made for central point in Kentucky
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)
What the Moon looks like right now (USN)

On This Day In

Weather History...

Washington D.C. received 1.26 inches of rain in six hours atop a snow cover
more than 30 inches deep making it the soggiest day of record. (Sandra and
TI Richard Sanders - 1987)
The temperature at Pokegama Dam MN plunged to 59 degrees below zero to
establish a state record. (David Ludlum)
Record cold prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The mercury plunged to 43
degrees below zero at Concord NH, and to -39 degrees at Portland ME. The
morning low of -32 degrees at Falls Village CT established a state record,
yet the afternoon high that day was 20 degrees above zero. (David Ludlum)
(The Weather Channel)
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Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky