Fayette County, KY Weather And Climate Synopsis


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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


Updated Thursday Evening, February 21, 2019

...Dry Today, Rain Returns Later Tonight West & Statewide Friday...
...Flood Watch Continues Into This Morning...
...Additional Heavy Rainfall and Thunderstorms This Weekend...
...Renewed Flood And River Flood Expected For Weekend And Into Next Week...

Kentucky got a much needed break from the rainfall today, but unfortunately, another significant round of rainfall is on the way. Widespread light rain is expected to expand across the area starting this evening and into the overnight/tomorrow. Not anticipating additional flooding with this round, but that changes Friday night and Saturday.

Strong southerly flow will transport an abundant amount of moisture into the area starting Friday night. Widespread rains return, but this time, could be moderate to heavy at times. 1 to 2 inches will be possible. Attention then turns to later that evening and overnight where there is the potential for severe weather and more flooding. Some tornadoes and damgaging winds will be possible. All together, 1 to 3+ inches is not out of the question over the next couple days. This rain will cause areal flooding and possibly some flash flooding, while keeping river levels high. Producers should continue to maintain livestock at higher ground!

Dry conditions return Sunday and into the early stages of next work week.

Kentucky Weather Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

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Regional Hourly Observations For FAYETTE County, Kentucky
Issued at 900 PM EST THU FEB 21 2019
...CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
MT STERLING*   CLOUDY    43  36  75 CALM      30.30S                  
FLEMING/MASON* CLOUDY    42  32  68 CALM      30.29R                  
DANVILLE*      LGT RAIN  41  36  81 E6        30.28R                  
LEXINGTON      CLOUDY    44  34  67 CALM      30.28R                  
FRANKFORT        N/A     42  35  76 NW5       30.26S                  
LOUISVILLE     CLOUDY    46  32  58 E3        30.27S                  
LEBANON*         N/A     43  37  81 CALM      30.27S                  
GLASGOW*       LGT RAIN  44  38  79 NE7       30.24S                  
BOWLING GREEN  LGT RAIN  45  38  76 NE5       30.26R                  

KY Round-up, Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, NWS Louisville
Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London , About Meteograms


Current Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 900pm EST, Thursday February 21, 2019

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 41 degrees west, near 44 degrees central, and near 46 degrees east. Current sky conditions are mostly cloudy west, cloudy central, and cloudy east. In the west, relative humidity is near 73%, and the dew point is near 33 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 67%, and the dew point is near 34 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 60%, and the dew point is near 33 degrees. Current drying conditions are fair west, fair central, and fair east. Winds are from the northeast at 7 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category west, no stress category central, and no stress category east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 46 degrees at Louisville International and Jackson. The lowest temperature is 41 degrees at Paducah, Hopkinsville, Henderson, Fort Knox, and Covington.

List of Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Observations in Kentucky


Radar:
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Hazardous Weather Outlook For FAYETTE County, Kentucky
304 PM EST Thu Feb 21 2019 /204 PM CST Thu Feb 21 2019/

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT  

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

 DAY ONE  Tonight.

Area rivers will remain high from recent rainfall. See our webpage 
for the most recent updates to river flood advisories and flood 
warnings.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday through Wednesday.

Additional heavy rain is likely late Friday night through Saturday
night, particularly over central Kentucky. Another 1 to 2 inches of
rain is expected with isolated 3 inch amounts possible. This rain 
will cause areal flooding and possibly some flash flooding, while 
keeping river levels high.

Furthermore, severe thunderstorms are possible Saturday evening as a
strong cold front moves through the area. With strong low-level wind
shear expected, the strongest cells could produce wind damage and 
tornadoes.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotters will be needed Friday night through Saturday night to 
report heavy rain, flooding, and possibly severe weather.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For FAYETTE County, KY
847 PM EST Thu Feb 21 2019


FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT

OVERNIGHT
Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Northeast winds up to 5 mph.

FRIDAY
Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of showers 70 percent.

SATURDAY
Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 40 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

SUNDAY
Breezy. Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Colder. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s.

MONDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs around 50.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers and snow showers. Highs in the mid 40s.

Day 1 Precip, Day 2, 5 Day Total, Days 1-5, ALL


Medium & Long Range Outlook For FAYETTE County, Kentucky
                             KENTUCKY                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                FEB 27-MAR 3  MAR 1-MAR 7    FEB       FEB-APR                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below     Normal      Below                      
 Precipitation:      Below       Normal      Above      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
TWC Jet, 15-Day Jet,Trend, Max/Mins
6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook


Drought Status For FAYETTE County, Kentucky
(Based on the latest Palmer Drought Severity and Crop Moisture Indices)
BLUEGRASS KY CLIMATE DIVISION

Hydrological Drought (PDSI) Situation:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Long-term Hydrological Moisture Status: EXTREME MOIST SPELL   (PDSI=   4.15)
Rainfall Needed:  0.00 inches ABOVE NORMAL


Crop Moisture (CMI) Situation:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Short-term Crop Moisture Status: Favorable, Except Still Too Wet In Spots     (CMI=   1.16)
Change From Previous Week: DRIER      SOILS ( -0.98)

Note: Due to rainfall variability within each climate division, check Precip Reports/GIS Estimates and the Kentucky Climate Summary for the latest moisture information for this county.

Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page


Kentucky Climate Summary
Kentucky Climate Summary
For the Period 02-14-2019 to 02-20-2019

Temperatures for the period averaged 40 degrees across the state which was 2 degrees warmer than normal and no change to the previous period. High temperatures averaged from 45 in the West to 49 in the East. Departure from normal high temperatures ranged from 5 degrees cooler than normal in the West to 1 degrees cooler than normal in the East. Low temperatures averaged from 32 degrees in the West to 33 degrees in the East. Departure from normal low temperature ranged from 3 degrees warmer than normal in the West to 7 degrees warmer than normal in the East. The extreme high temperature for the period was 62 degrees at FRANKFORT and the extreme low was 18 degrees at BURLINGTON 4S.

Precipitation (liq. equ.) for the period totaled 2.50 inches statewide which was 1.59 inches above normal and 275% of normal. Precipitation totals by climate division, West 2.53 inches, Central 2.63 inches, Bluegrass 1.89 inches and East 2.93 inches, which was 1.51, 1.65, 1.11 and 2.08 inches above normal. By station, precipitation totals ranged from a low of 0.90 inches at CARBONDALE ASOS to a high of 4.62 inches at HICKMAN 2E.

Kentucky Climate Summaries: Last day, Last 3 days, 7 days, 14, 21, 30, 60, 90 days
Yesterday's Weather Data, Kentucky Climate in Review


Almanac Information
Thursday February 21, 2019 the 52th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -10.280000
Distance 0.999723 AU
Rise 07:20 EST Set 18:24 EST
Transit Meridian 12:51 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 06:55 EST Ends 18:50 EST

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Normal Max/Min Temperature for Today: 49 / 27
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Calculations made for central point in Kentucky
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)
What the Moon looks like right now (USN)

On This Day In

Weather History...



FEBRUARY 21ST
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1918...
A spectacular chinook wind at Granville ND caused the temperature to spurt
from a morning low of 33 degrees below zero to an afternoon high of 50
degrees above zero. (David Ludlum)
...1935...
Frequent duststorms occurred in eastern Colorado during the month, forcing
schools to close and people to stay indoors. A fatality occurred on this
date when two section cars collided on the railroad near Arriba CO, due to
poor visibility. (The Weather Channel)
...1936...
The temperature at Langdon ND climbed above zero for the first time in six
weeks. Readings never got above freezing during all three winter months.
(David Ludlum)
...1971...
An outbreak of tornadoes hit northeastern Louisiana and northern and
central Mississippi. The tornadoes claimed 121 lives, including 110 in
Mississippi. Three tornadoes accounted for 118 of the deaths. There are
1600 persons injured, 900 homes were destroyed or badly damaged, and total
damage was 19 million dollars. (David Ludlum)
UKAWC Briefing Page

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky