Breckinridge County, KY Weather And Climate Synopsis


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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


Updated Saturday, February 16, 2019

...Rain Chances Later Sunday, Then Heavy Rain Potential Across Southern KY Mid To Late Next Week...

Welcome to those attending the last day of the 2019 National Farm Machinery Show at the Kentucky Exposition Center in Lousiville. Stop by the UK College of Ag, Food and Environment, Department of Biosystems and Agricultural Engineering exhibit today. Matt will be there to speak to you and your friends about Kentucky weather. Or just to say Hi!

Active pattern continues with multiple disturbances forecast to cross the region this work week. A warm front lifting north late tonight will bring changing winds Sunday, as well as more rain chances.

Expect a dry day with skies becoming partly cloudy. Highs will mostly range in the low to mid 40s. Precipitation chances will again increase overnight toward dawn on Sunday. Most of the precipitation will be light rain, however there is a chance for some light freezing rain or freezing drizzle north of the I-64 corridor. Little to no ice accumulation is expected.

A frontal boundary is forecast to stall somewhere in the region by mid to late week, with multiple waves of rain riding along it Tuesday through Friday. There is potential for several inches of rain during this time, which could lead to flooding and continued river flooding concerns. Right now, the heaviest rain looks to fall mostly over southern Kentucky however this could change in the coming days. Anyone with interests along rivers should pay attention to the forecast in the coming week.

Kentucky Weather Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

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Regional Hourly Observations For BRECKINRIDGE County, Kentucky
Issued at 600 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2019
NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LOUISVILLE/SDF MOCLDY    41  20  43 NE7       29.95S                  
LOUISVILLE/LOU FAIR      39  19  44 NE6       29.96R WCI  35          
FORT KNOX      FAIR      39  21  47 NE7       29.94R WCI  34          

KY Round-up, Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, NWS Louisville
Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London , About Meteograms


Current Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 600pm EST, Saturday February 16, 2019

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 34 degrees west, near 38 degrees central, and near 38 degrees east. Current sky conditions are fair west, fair central, and fair east. In the west, relative humidity is near 75%, and the dew point is near 27 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 52%, and the dew point is near 22 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 70%, and the dew point is near 29 degrees. Current drying conditions are fair west, fair central, and fair east. Winds are from the northeast at 6 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The wind chill is near 29 degrees west. Winds are from the northeast at 10 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The wind chill is near 31 degrees central. Winds are calm east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category west, no stress category central, and no stress category east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 42 degrees at Bowling Green. The lowest temperature is 32 degrees at Covington.

List of Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Observations in Kentucky


Radar:
UKAWC Radar, NWS Radar (NEW!), SPC Radar, SkyWarn, NEXRAD,
Hazardous Weather Outlook For BRECKINRIDGE County, Kentucky
632 PM EST Sat Feb 16 2019 /532 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019/

 DAY ONE  Tonight.

Precipitation late tonight may begin briefly as freezing rain over
portions of southeast Indiana and the northern Bluegrass region. A
light glaze of ice may result in a few slick spots early Sunday
morning. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Sunday through Friday.

Repeated waves of rainfall Tuesday through Friday could bring 
copious amounts of rain to portions of central and southern Kentucky.
Those with interests in river flooding need to be aware of the 
forecasts over the next week, especially for the Cumberland, upper 
Kentucky, and possibly Green River basins. 

In addition, some light wintry precipitation would be possible 
across southern Indiana and northern Kentucky at times mid to late
next week.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For BRECKINRIDGE County, KY
201 PM CST Sat Feb 16 2019

TONIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening, then cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain after midnight. Lows in the lower 30s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY
Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the lower 40s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Rain showers possibly mixed with snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.

WEDNESDAY
Rain showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of showers 70 percent.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Rain showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Chance of showers 60 percent.

THURSDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers possibly mixed with snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.

FRIDAY
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the lower 50s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Chance of showers 60 percent.

SATURDAY
Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of showers 70 percent.

Day 1 Precip, Day 2, 5 Day Total, Days 1-5, ALL


Medium & Long Range Outlook For BRECKINRIDGE County, Kentucky
                             KENTUCKY                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   FEB 22-26 FEB 24-MAR 2    FEB       FEB-APR                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above     Normal      Below                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
TWC Jet, 15-Day Jet,Trend, Max/Mins
6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook


Drought Status For BRECKINRIDGE County, Kentucky
(Based on the latest Palmer Drought Severity and Crop Moisture Indices)
CENTRAL   KY CLIMATE DIVISION

Hydrological Drought (PDSI) Situation:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Long-term Hydrological Moisture Status: VERY MOIST SPELL      (PDSI=   3.50)
Rainfall Needed:  0.00 inches ABOVE NORMAL


Crop Moisture (CMI) Situation:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Short-term Crop Moisture Status: Favorable, Except Still Too Wet In Spots     (CMI=   1.25)
Change From Previous Week: DRIER      SOILS ( -1.10)

Note: Due to rainfall variability within each climate division, check Precip Reports/GIS Estimates and the Kentucky Climate Summary for the latest moisture information for this county.

Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page


Kentucky Climate Summary
Kentucky Climate Summary
For the Period 02-09-2019 to 02-15-2019

Temperatures for the period averaged 40 degrees across the state which was 4 degrees warmer than normal and 12 degrees cooler than the previous period. High temperatures averaged from 48 in the West to 49 in the East. Departure from normal high temperatures ranged from 0 degrees from normal in the West to 1 degrees warmer than normal in the East. Low temperatures averaged from 33 degrees in the West to 33 degrees in the East. Departure from normal low temperature ranged from 5 degrees warmer than normal in the West to 8 degrees warmer than normal in the East. The extreme high temperature for the period was 65 degrees at WHITESBURG 2NW and the extreme low was 12 degrees at BURLINGTON 4S.

Precipitation (liq. equ.) for the period totaled 2.47 inches statewide which was 1.56 inches above normal and 273% of normal. Precipitation totals by climate division, West 3.29 inches, Central 2.71 inches, Bluegrass 2.20 inches and East 1.68 inches, which was 2.28, 1.72, 1.42 and 0.84 inches above normal. By station, precipitation totals ranged from a low of 1.13 inches at SOMERSET AWOS to a high of 5.04 inches at MURRAY 1W.

Kentucky Climate Summaries: Last day, Last 3 days, 7 days, 14, 21, 30, 60, 90 days
Yesterday's Weather Data, Kentucky Climate in Review


Almanac Information
Saturday February 16, 2019 the 47th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -12.070000
Distance 0.999723 AU
Rise 07:27 EST Set 18:18 EST
Transit Meridian 12:52 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:01 EST Ends 18:44 EST

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Normal Max/Min Temperature for Today: 48 / 26
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Calculations made for central point in Kentucky
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)
What the Moon looks like right now (USN)

On This Day In

Weather History...



FEBRUARY 16TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1899...
Washington D.C. received 1.26 inches of rain in six hours atop a snow cover
more than 30 inches deep making it the soggiest day of record. (Sandra and
TI Richard Sanders - 1987)
...1903...
The temperature at Pokegama Dam MN plunged to 59 degrees below zero to
establish a state record. (David Ludlum)
...1943...
Record cold prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The mercury plunged to 43
degrees below zero at Concord NH, and to -39 degrees at Portland ME. The
morning low of -32 degrees at Falls Village CT established a state record,
yet the afternoon high that day was 20 degrees above zero. (David Ludlum)
(The Weather Channel)
UKAWC Briefing Page

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky