Bracken County, KY Weather And Climate Synopsis


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Updated Thursday Evening, February 21, 2019

...Dry Today, Rain Returns Later Tonight West & Statewide Friday...
...Flood Watch Continues Into This Morning...
...Additional Heavy Rainfall and Thunderstorms This Weekend...
...Renewed Flood And River Flood Expected For Weekend And Into Next Week...

Kentucky got a much needed break from the rainfall today, but unfortunately, another significant round of rainfall is on the way. Widespread light rain is expected to expand across the area starting this evening and into the overnight/tomorrow. Not anticipating additional flooding with this round, but that changes Friday night and Saturday.

Strong southerly flow will transport an abundant amount of moisture into the area starting Friday night. Widespread rains return, but this time, could be moderate to heavy at times. 1 to 2 inches will be possible. Attention then turns to later that evening and overnight where there is the potential for severe weather and more flooding. Some tornadoes and damgaging winds will be possible. All together, 1 to 3+ inches is not out of the question over the next couple days. This rain will cause areal flooding and possibly some flash flooding, while keeping river levels high. Producers should continue to maintain livestock at higher ground!

Dry conditions return Sunday and into the early stages of next work week.

Kentucky Weather Forecast

Western KY:
Central KY:
Eastern KY:

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Regional Hourly Observations For BRACKEN County, Kentucky
Issued at 900 PM EST THU FEB 21 2019
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LEXINGTON      CLOUDY    44  34  67 CALM      30.28R                  
COVINGTON      CLOUDY    41  28  60 CALM      30.27R                  
FRANKFORT      FAIR      42  35  76 NW5       30.26S                  

KY Round-up, Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, Rh, Wind, Regional Obs., Station Model, NWS Louisville
Meteograms: Paducah , Evansville , Bowling Green , Hopkinsville , Frankfort , Louisville , Lexington , Covington , Jackson , London , About Meteograms


Current Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Conditions in Kentucky
Based on observations at 900pm EST, Thursday February 21, 2019

Across Kentucky...temperatures are near 41 degrees west, near 44 degrees central, and near 46 degrees east. Current sky conditions are mostly cloudy west, cloudy central, and cloudy east. In the west, relative humidity is near 73%, and the dew point is near 33 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 67%, and the dew point is near 34 degrees. In the east, relative humidity is near 60%, and the dew point is near 33 degrees. Current drying conditions are fair west, fair central, and fair east. Winds are from the northeast at 7 mph west, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm east, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category west, no stress category central, and no stress category east. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 46 degrees at Louisville International and Jackson. The lowest temperature is 41 degrees at Paducah, Hopkinsville, Henderson, Fort Knox, and Covington.

List of Agriculture, Lawn & Garden Weather Observations in Kentucky


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Hazardous Weather Outlook For BRACKEN County, Kentucky
359 PM EST Thu Feb 21 2019

 DAY ONE  This Afternoon and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday through Wednesday.

More rain is forecast for Saturday and Saturday night. One to two 
inches of rain will be possible, with locally higher amounts. This  
could result in localized flooding. 

Showers and a few embedded thunderstorms will accompany a cold front
Saturday night. Some storms may become severe with damaging winds as
the primary threat.

A vigorous low pressure system will move across the Great Lakes on 
Sunday. Strong winds are expected over the area with gusts between 
45 and 55 mph, potentially causing power outages or tree damage.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For BRACKEN County, KY
622 PM EST Thu Feb 21 2019

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds around 5 mph.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Mild with lows in the lower 40s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.

SATURDAY
Showers in the morning, then showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mild with highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Mild with lows in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph, increasing to 40 mph after midnight. Chance of rain 100 percent.

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning, then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Breezy with highs around 50. Chance of rain 30 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Much cooler with lows in the mid 20s.

MONDAY
Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 40s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s.

Day 1 Precip, Day 2, 5 Day Total, Days 1-5, ALL


Medium & Long Range Outlook For BRACKEN County, Kentucky
                             KENTUCKY                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                FEB 27-MAR 3  MAR 1-MAR 7    FEB       FEB-APR                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below     Normal      Below                      
 Precipitation:      Below       Normal      Above      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
TWC Jet, 15-Day Jet,Trend, Max/Mins
6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook


Drought Status For BRACKEN County, Kentucky
(Based on the latest Palmer Drought Severity and Crop Moisture Indices)
BLUEGRASS KY CLIMATE DIVISION

Hydrological Drought (PDSI) Situation:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Long-term Hydrological Moisture Status: EXTREME MOIST SPELL   (PDSI=   4.15)
Rainfall Needed:  0.00 inches ABOVE NORMAL


Crop Moisture (CMI) Situation:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Current Short-term Crop Moisture Status: Favorable, Except Still Too Wet In Spots     (CMI=   1.16)
Change From Previous Week: DRIER      SOILS ( -0.98)

Note: Due to rainfall variability within each climate division, check Precip Reports/GIS Estimates and the Kentucky Climate Summary for the latest moisture information for this county.

Additional Drought Info.: UKAWC Drought Page


Kentucky Climate Summary
Kentucky Climate Summary
For the Period 02-14-2019 to 02-20-2019

Temperatures for the period averaged 40 degrees across the state which was 2 degrees warmer than normal and no change to the previous period. High temperatures averaged from 45 in the West to 49 in the East. Departure from normal high temperatures ranged from 5 degrees cooler than normal in the West to 1 degrees cooler than normal in the East. Low temperatures averaged from 32 degrees in the West to 33 degrees in the East. Departure from normal low temperature ranged from 3 degrees warmer than normal in the West to 7 degrees warmer than normal in the East. The extreme high temperature for the period was 62 degrees at FRANKFORT and the extreme low was 18 degrees at BURLINGTON 4S.

Precipitation (liq. equ.) for the period totaled 2.50 inches statewide which was 1.59 inches above normal and 275% of normal. Precipitation totals by climate division, West 2.53 inches, Central 2.63 inches, Bluegrass 1.89 inches and East 2.93 inches, which was 1.51, 1.65, 1.11 and 2.08 inches above normal. By station, precipitation totals ranged from a low of 0.90 inches at CARBONDALE ASOS to a high of 4.62 inches at HICKMAN 2E.

Kentucky Climate Summaries: Last day, Last 3 days, 7 days, 14, 21, 30, 60, 90 days
Yesterday's Weather Data, Kentucky Climate in Review


Almanac Information
Thursday February 21, 2019 the 52th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -10.280000
Distance 0.999723 AU
Rise 07:20 EST Set 18:24 EST
Transit Meridian 12:51 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 06:55 EST Ends 18:50 EST

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Normal Max/Min Temperature for Today: 49 / 27
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Calculations made for central point in Kentucky
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Sunrise/Sunset/Moonrise/Moonset Computation (USN)
What the Moon looks like right now (USN)

On This Day In

Weather History...



FEBRUARY 21ST
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1918...
A spectacular chinook wind at Granville ND caused the temperature to spurt
from a morning low of 33 degrees below zero to an afternoon high of 50
degrees above zero. (David Ludlum)
...1935...
Frequent duststorms occurred in eastern Colorado during the month, forcing
schools to close and people to stay indoors. A fatality occurred on this
date when two section cars collided on the railroad near Arriba CO, due to
poor visibility. (The Weather Channel)
...1936...
The temperature at Langdon ND climbed above zero for the first time in six
weeks. Readings never got above freezing during all three winter months.
(David Ludlum)
...1971...
An outbreak of tornadoes hit northeastern Louisiana and northern and
central Mississippi. The tornadoes claimed 121 lives, including 110 in
Mississippi. Three tornadoes accounted for 118 of the deaths. There are
1600 persons injured, 900 homes were destroyed or badly damaged, and total
damage was 19 million dollars. (David Ludlum)
UKAWC Briefing Page

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky