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Van Buren County, AR Weather and Climate Synopsis

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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


WEATHER SUMMARY FOR ARKANSAS 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 
1134 AM CST Sun Feb 18 2018

It was a foggy and cold morning across the Natural State. Low
temperatures this morning were in the upper 20s and ranged to the
lower 40s. Light rain was observed in the far southern portions of
the state, but resulted in very little accumulation. Fog 
dissipated by the mid morning hours, leaving behind partly cloudy 
skies in the north, and mostly cloudy skies across the south. 
Winds were generally out of the southeast at 10 to 15 mph. 

High temperatures today will range from the mid 50s to lower 60s, 
and cloud cover will increase throughout the day. Some showers 
cannot be ruled out across the central and southern portions of
Arkansas during the afternoon and evening.

High temperatures Monday and Tuesday will be in the 70s, with lows
in the 50s and 60s. Temperatures will cool down significantly mid-week
after a cold front moves through on Wednesday.

Rain chances will increase on Monday as a slow moving storm 
system approaches from the west. Initially, only scattered 
rainfall is expected for Monday, but rain will become more 
widespread by the middle of the week. Several inches of rain may 
be seen by the end of the week as the storm system lingers across
the state.

Flooding and flash flooding could become a concern but will be
dependent upon where the heaviest rain sets ups. Regardless, a 
very unsettled pattern is shaping up for the state.


National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For VAN BUREN County
1100 AM CST SUN FEB 18 2018


CENTRAL ARKANSAS
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LITTLE ROCK    CLOUDY    48  41  76 SE15      30.23F                  
N LITTLE ROCK    N/A     46  42  86 SE9       30.21F                  
JACKSONVILLE   PTSUNNY   48  48 100 E9        30.22F                  
SEARCY         FAIR      52  43  71 SE10      30.24F                  
HOT SPRINGS    CLOUDY    45  42  89 SE7       30.21F                  
RUSSELLVILLE   CLOUDY    42  39  89 E7        30.21F                  
CLINTON        FAIR      43  41  93 SE6       30.24F                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Arkansas
Based on observations at 1100am CST, Sunday February 18, 2018

Across Arkansas...temperatures are near 43 degrees north, near 48 degrees central, and near 47 degrees south. Current sky conditions are cloudy north, cloudy central, and cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 79%, and the dew point is near 37 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 76%, and the dew point is near 41 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 100%, and the dew point is near 47 degrees. Winds are from the southeast at 15 mph with gusts at 22 mph north, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the southeast at 15 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the east at 6 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category north, no stress category central, and no stress category south. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 52 degrees at Searcy. The lowest temperature is 37 degrees at .


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For VAN BUREN County,AR

433 AM CST Sun Feb 18 2018

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight

Dense fog is likely this morning across portions of central and 
southern Arkansas with freezing fog possible in northern Arkansas. 
This may lead to hazardous travel, either from reduced visibility or 
isolated icy patches on bridges and overpasses where freezing fog 
occurs. Winds could be gusty later this morning into tonight, so 
caution should be exercised on area waterways.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Monday Through Saturday

A slow moving cold front will interact with deep gulf moisture to
produce widespread moderate to heavy rainfall across the area through
the middle of the week. 

At this time, it looks like the heaviest rain will fall Tuesday 
and Wednesday. The potential exists for as much as four to six 
inches of rain with locally highers amounts. 

This amount of rain could lead to some flooding or flash flooding
concerns depending upon where the exact placement of the heaviest
rain occurs. If the heaviest rain falls over the north and west
which has been abnormally dry of late, the impacts will not be as
significant. However, if the heaviest rain falls over the south 
and east which has been wet of late, flooding concerns will be 
higher.

Rivers will also likely be impacted by the widespread heavy rain
expected. 

With the exact placement of the heaviest rain still uncertain, it
is worth monitoring the latest forecasts in the coming days.

 Spotter Information Statement  

Spotter activation will not be needed.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For VAN BUREN County, Arkansas
916 AM CST Sun Feb 18 2018

TODAY
Mostly sunny for the remainder of the morning
becoming mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts to around 25 mph.

TONIGHT
Cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Temperatures steady or slowly rising into the lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts to around 25 mph. The chance of precipitation 50 percent. Average rainfall less than 1/10 inch.

WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
Cloudy, warmer. A chance of showers. Highs around 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts to around 25 mph. The chance of precipitation 40 percent. Average rainfall less than 1/10 inch.

MONDAY NIGHT
Cloudy, warmer. A chance of showers. A slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts to around 30 mph. The chance of precipitation 50 percent.

TUESDAY
Breezy. Rain and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph in the morning
increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph. The chance of precipitation 80 percent.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Much colder. Rain and isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 30s. The chance of precipitation 90 percent.

WEDNESDAY
Much cooler. Rain likely and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 40s. The chance of precipitation 70 percent.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Cloudy. A chance of rain. Lows in the lower 30s. The chance of precipitation 50 percent.

THURSDAY
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s. The chance of precipitation 20 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 30s. The chance of precipitation 40 percent.

FRIDAY
Cloudy. Not as cool. A chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s. The chance of precipitation 40 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Showers likely and isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. The chance of precipitation 60 percent.

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s. The chance of precipitation 40 percent.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Arkansas
                             ARKANSAS                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   FEB 23-27 FEB 25-MAR 3    FEB       FEB-APR                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above     Normal      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Sunday February 18, 2018 the 49th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -11.270000
Distance 0.999723 AU
Rise 07:51 EST Set 18:55 EST
Transit Meridian 13:22 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:26 EST Ends 19:20 EST

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

FEBRUARY 18TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1899...
While much of the central and eastern U.S. was recovering from the most
severe cold wave of modern history, the temperature at San Francisco soared
to 80 degrees to establish a record for month of February. (David Ludlum)
...1959...
Some of the higher elevations of California were in the midst of a five day
storm which produced 189 inches of snow, a single storm record for North
America. (13th-19th) (David Ludlum)
...1987...
A small but intense low pressure system combined with northerly upslope
winds to produce eight inches of snow in five hours at Meeteetsie WY,
located southeast of Cody. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
Thunderstorms soaked the Central Gulf Coast Region with heavy rain. Totals
in southern Louisiana ranged up to 8.50 inches near the town of Ridge, with
6.55 inches at Plaguemine. Thunderstorms in northern Florida drenched
Apalachicola with 5.41 inches of rain in 24 hours, and produced wind gusts
to 75 mph at Mayo. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1989...
Low pressure off the coast of North Carolina brought freezing rain and
heavy snow to Virginia and the Carolinas. Snowfall totals in Virginia
ranged up to 18 inches at Franklin. Freezing rain reached a thickness of
two inches around Charlotte NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1990...
An intense but slow moving Pacific storm worked its way across Utah over a
two day period. The storm blanketed the valleys with 4 to 12 inches of
snow, and produced up to 42 inches of snow in the mountains. Heavy snow
also fell across northern Arizona. Williams received 22 inches of snow, and
12 inches was reported along the south rim of the Grand Canyon. (The
National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky