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Van Buren County, AR Weather and Climate Synopsis

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Weather Summary for Arkansas
National Weather Service Little Rock AR 
955 PM CDT Tue Aug 14 2018

Another warn and humid day was noted across the Natural State on 
Tuesday. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms affected 
much of northwest Arkansas early in the day. By the afternoon hours, 
just a few spotty showers were noted over the state. High 
temperatures on Thursday ranged from the 70s over the northwest, to 
the 80s and lower 90s elsewhere.

Not much is expected to change with the forecast over the next 
several days. The upper level low over the southern Plains will 
continue to move slowly to the east, and it will send a series of 
upper level disturbances across the area. This will result in 
increased chances for rainfall in most areas. 

Temperatures will remain quite warm, but below average for this time 
of year, with highs ranging from the upper 70s across the north, to 
the mid 80s central, to the lower 90s over the south.

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For VAN BUREN County
1100 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2018


CENTRAL ARKANSAS
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
LITTLE ROCK    CLOUDY    85  71  63 SW14      30.01R HX  90           
N LITTLE ROCK    N/A     82  74  76 SW6       30.02R HX  89           
JACKSONVILLE   PTSUNNY   86  77  74 SW12G17   29.97S HX  97           
CONWAY         PTSUNNY   84  75  74 W6        29.99S HX  92           
SEARCY         FAIR      86  75  69 W8        30.01R HX  95           
HOT SPRINGS    CLOUDY    80  75  84 W5        30.02R HX  85           
RUSSELLVILLE   RAIN      72  72 100 CALM      30.02R FOG              
CLINTON        LGT RAIN  73  70  88 CALM      30.02S                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Arkansas
Based on observations at 1100am CDT, Wednesday August 15, 2018

Across Arkansas...temperatures are near 78 degrees north, near 85 degrees central, and near 89 degrees south. Current sky conditions are partly sunny north, cloudy central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 73%, and the dew point is near 69 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 63%, and the dew point is near 71 degrees. The heat index is near 90 degrees central. In the south, relative humidity is near 56%, and the dew point is near 72 degrees. The heat index is near 96 degrees south. The livestock heat stress category is no stress north, danger central, and danger south. Winds are from the southwest at 8 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southwest at 14 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the southwest at 14 mph south, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 89 degrees at El Dorado. The lowest temperature is 70 degrees at Fayetteville.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For VAN BUREN County,AR

500 AM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast 
across the northern half of Arkansas. There will be areas of heavy 
rain which could lead to flash flooding in places. 

The parts of the state most susceptible to high water problems 
today and tonight are the Ouachita Mountains of the west and the 
Arkansas River Valley west of Morrilton. These places received 
heavy rain on Tuesday. 

Any severe through tonight will be spotty. Strong to damaging 
winds will be be main concern. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Thursday Through Tuesday

An unsettled weather pattern will continue into the weekend and 
early next week, with chances for showers and thunderstorms each 
day. Initially, precipitation will be concentrated over northern and 
central sections of the state. As the week progresses, rain will 
affect the southern counties as well.

The main headliner in the coming days will be the heavy rain 
potential. Widespread two to four inch amounts are expected across 
the northern and central counties, and there could be locally more. 
Given this much rain, high water problems could become an issue.

 Spotter Information Statement  

Spotter activation will not be needed.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For VAN BUREN County, Arkansas
1126 AM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018


FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

THIS AFTERNOON
Periods of showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of precipitation near 100 percent. Average rainfall 1/4 to 1/2 inch.

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening
decreasing to 5 mph after midnight. The chance of precipitation 50 percent. Average rainfall 1/2 to 1 inch.

THURSDAY
Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of precipitation 40 percent. Average rainfall 1/10 to 1/4 inch.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 5 mph. The chance of precipitation 50 percent.

FRIDAY
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 mph. The chance of precipitation 70 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper 60s. The chance of precipitation 70 percent.

SATURDAY
Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. The chance of precipitation 50 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. The chance of precipitation 40 percent.

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the upper 60s. The chance of precipitation 50 percent.

MONDAY
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. The chance of precipitation 60 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy in the evening
becoming partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. The chance of precipitation 40 percent.

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. The chance of precipitation 20 percent.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Arkansas
                             ARKANSAS                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   AUG 20-24    AUG 22-28    AUG       AUG-OCT                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Below      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Wednesday August 15, 2018 the 227th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 13.730000
Distance 0.999717 AU
Rise 07:30 EDT Set 20:56 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:13 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:04 EDT Ends 21:22 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

///////////////////////////
AUGUST 15TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1787...
Tornadoes were reported in Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and
New Hampshire. Wethersfield CT was hard hit by the tornado outbreak. (David
Ludlum)
...1946...
Saint Louis MO was deluged with a record 8.78 inches of rain in 24 hours.
(The Weather Channel)
...1967...
The "sundance fire" in northern Idaho was started by lightning. Winds of 50
mph carried firebrands as much as ten miles in advance to ignite new fires,
and as a result, the forest fire spread twenty miles across the Selkirk
Mountains in just twelve hours, burning 56,000 acres. The heat of the fire
produced whirlwinds of flame with winds up to 300 mph which flung giant
trees about like matchsticks. (David Ludlum)
...1987...
Thunderstorms developing ahead of a sharp cold front produced severe
weather in the Upper Midwest during the afternoon and evening hours, with
Minnesota and eastern South Dakota hardest hit. A thunderstorm in west
central Minnesota spawned a tornado at Eagle Lake which killed one person
and injured eight others. A thunder- storm in eastern South Dakota produced
softball size hail at Warner. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
Thirty five cities in twenty states in the north central and northeastern
U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Lamoni IA
and Baltimore MD, where the mercury hit 105 degrees. Temperatures 100
degrees or above were reported in twenty-two states. Pierre SD was the hot
spot in the nation with a high of 114 degrees. Bluefield WV reported eight
straight days of record heat. (The National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Evening thunderstorms in eastern New Mexico produced wind gusts to 66 mph
at Clovis. Evening thunderstorms in West Texas produced baseball size hail
around Hereford, Dimmitt, Ware and Dalhart. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky