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Polk County, AR Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

Weather Summary for Arkansas 
National Weather Service Little Rock AR 
435 PM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018

Light rain fell across a good portion of the state during the
early morning hours today. However, most locations saw less than a
tenth of an inch. Morning low temperatures were fairly mild to
start the day, however by the afternoon hours temperatures warmed
into the upper 60's in the east to lower 80's in western Arkansas.

This afternoon and a evening, a few showers and thunderstorms may
develop across eastern Arkansas...however heavy rain is not
expected. Overnight low temperatures will once again be mild with
low temperatures ranging from the lower 40's to upper 50's.

Dry weather will return on Saturday before the next storm system
approaches late Sunday night. Showers and thunderstorms can be
expected during the evening and continuing into Monday. A few of
the storms on Monday could be a bit stronger, however with these
storms expected to move through early in the day it may somewhat
limit the severe potential of these storms.

Temperatures through the forecast period will be at or just above
normal with highs generally in the 60's and 70's with lows in the
40's and 50's.


National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Regional Hourly Observations For POLK County
1100 PM CDT FRI MAR 16 2018

MENA           FAIR      54  36  50 CALM      29.85R                  
MOUNT IDA      FAIR      56  42  59 CALM      29.82R                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Arkansas
Based on observations at 1100pm CDT, Friday March 16, 2018

Across Arkansas...temperatures are near 57 degrees north, near 60 degrees central, and near 64 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, fair central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 100%, and the dew point is near 57 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 100%, and the dew point is near 60 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 62 degrees. Winds are from the south at 7 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 3 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 66 degrees at Monticello. The lowest temperature is 42 degrees at Mount Ida.

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For POLK County,AR

1020 PM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018

 DAY ONE  Tonight

A few isolated thunderstorms may be seen, especially over 
northeastern to eastern parts of the state, but overall coverage 
will be low. The threat of any severe weather will be very low. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Saturday Through Thursday

Thunderstorms will return to the forecast late Saturday night and
through much of Sunday. There will be some potential for strong to 
severe thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and evening, with large hail 
possible with the strongest storms.

 Spotter Information Statement  

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For POLK County, Arkansas
1100 PM CDT Fri Mar 16 2018

Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Cloudy. A slight chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds 5 mph in the evening
becoming east after midnight. The chance of precipitation 20 percent. Average rainfall less than 1/10 inch.

A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of precipitation 70 percent.

Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph
with gusts to around 20 mph. The chance of precipitation 50 percent.

Sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning. Highs in the lower 70s. The chance of precipitation 20 percent.

Partly cloudy in the evening
becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.

Mostly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s.

Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.

Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.

Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

Partly cloudy in the evening
becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Arkansas
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   MAR 22-26    MAR 24-30    MAR       MAR-MAY                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:     Normal       Normal     Normal      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Saturday March 17, 2018 the 76th Day of Year

Declination -0.940000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 07:16 EDT Set 19:19 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:17 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:52 EDT Ends 19:43 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

A winter storm in southwestern and central Tennessee produced 26 inches of
snow at Riddleton, and 18.5 inches at Memphis. It was the deepest snow of
record for those areas. (David Ludlum)
Record cold on Saint Patrick's Day: Louisville 9, Lexington 4, Bowling 
Green 16. (NWS Louisville, KY)
The temperature at Snake River WY dipped to 50 degrees below zero, a record
for the U.S. for the month of March. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)
A powerful spring storm produced severe thunderstorms over the Central Gulf
Coast States, and heavy snow in the High Plains Region. A tornado caused
three million dollars damage at Natchez MS, and six inches of rain in five
hours caused five million dollars damage at Vicksburg MS. Cactus TX
received 10 inches of snow. Western Kansas reported blizzard conditions.
(The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky