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Lafayette County, AR Weather and Climate Synopsis

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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


Weather Summary for Arkansas
National Weather Service Little Rock AR 
940 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

Showers and thunderstorms moved into the state during the early
morning hours of Thursday...however mostly sunny conditions were
seen through the daytime hours. Under mostly sunny skies,
temperatures warmed into the lower to upper 90's statewide with
many locations seeing heat index values top 100 degrees.

This afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms developed
across western and northern Arkansas. These storms will continue
to move into the state during the overnight hours. A few stronger
storms will be possible...however widespread severe weather is not
expected.

An unsettled weather pattern will prevail across the mid south on 
Friday and through the weekend, with several rounds of precipitation 
to affecting the region.

 

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For LAFAYETTE County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Arkansas
Based on observations at 1000pm CDT, Thursday August 16, 2018

Across Arkansas...temperatures are near 77 degrees north, near 83 degrees central, and near 83 degrees south. Current sky conditions are cloudy north, cloudy central, and mostly cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 66%, and the dew point is near 65 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 85%, and the dew point is near 78 degrees. The heat index is near 93 degrees central. In the south, relative humidity is near 77%, and the dew point is near 75 degrees. The heat index is near 90 degrees south. The livestock heat stress category is no stress north, danger central, and danger south. There is thunder north. Winds are variable at 3 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 5 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 86 degrees at Texarkana and Jacksonville. The lowest temperature is 70 degrees at Fayetteville.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For LAFAYETTE County,AR

553 AM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight  

Although very isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible 
by later this afternoon, no hazardous weather is expected and most
locations will see no rain. However, afternoon temperatures will 
climb into the mid 90s across much of East Texas, North Louisiana,
and extreme Southern Arkansas. When combined with the humidity, 
heat indices will range from 100 to 105 degrees. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Friday through Wednesday  

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
Friday through the weekend, and may increase in coverage later in
the weekend through Tuesday as a weak cold front moves towards the
area. Some of the stronger storms may produce locally gusty winds
and brief heavy rainfall, especially by early next week.  
Afternoon temperatures will also climb into the mid and possibly 
upper 90s, through the weekend. When combined with the humidity, 
heat indices will range from 100 to 105 degrees. 

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Activation of emergency management personnel  amateur radio
operators  and storm spotters should not be needed through
tonight.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For LAFAYETTE County, Arkansas
959 PM CDT Thu Aug 16 2018

REST OF TONIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. South winds around 5 mph.

FRIDAY
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Becoming mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Heat index readings 101 to 104.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph.

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds 5 mph.

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the lower 70s. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

MONDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the upper 60s.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 90s.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs around 90.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs around 90.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Arkansas
                             ARKANSAS                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   AUG 22-26    AUG 24-30    AUG       AUG-OCT                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below       Normal      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Below        Above      Below      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Thursday August 16, 2018 the 228th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 13.420000
Distance 0.999717 AU
Rise 07:30 EDT Set 20:55 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:13 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:05 EDT Ends 21:20 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

........................
AUGUST 16TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1777...
The Battle of Bennington, delayed a day by rain, was fought. The rain
delayed British reinforcements, and allowed the Vermont Militia to arrive
in time, enabling the Americans to win a victory by defeating two enemy
forces, one at a time. (David Ludlum)
...1909...
A dry spell began in San Bernardino County of southern California that
lasted until the 6th of May in 1912, a stretch of 994 days! Another dry
spell, lasting 767 days, then began in October of 1912. (The Weather
Channel)
...1916...
Altapass NC was deluged with 22.22 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish
a state record. (The Weather Channel)
...1987...
Afternoon and evening thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced
severe weather from Oklahoma to Wisconsin and Lower Michigan. Thunderstorms
in central Illinois produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Springfield which
toppled two large beer tents at the state fair injuring 58 persons.
Thunderstorms also drenched Chicago IL with 2.90 inches of rain, making
August 1987 their wettest month of record. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)
...1988...
Thunderstorms developing along a slow moving cold front produced severe
weather from North Dakota to Lower Michigan during the day. Nine tornadoes
were sighted in North Dakota, and thunderstorms also produced hail three
inches in diameter at Lakota ND, and wind gusts to 83 mph at Marais MI.
Thirty-seven cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record high
temperatures for the date, including Rockford IL with a reading of 104
degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1989...
Late afternoon and evening thunderstorms in the Central High Plains Region
produced golf ball size hail at La Junta CO, Intercanyon CO, and Custer SD.
Afternoon thunderstorms over South Texas drenched Brownsville with 2.60
inches of rain. Fair skies allowed viewing of the late evening full lunar
eclipse from the Great Lakes Region to the Northern and Central Plains
Region, and across much of the western third of the country. (The National
Weather Summary) (Storm Data)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky