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Jefferson County, AR Weather and Climate Synopsis

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Regional Hourly Observations For JEFFERSON County
400 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2019


SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
PINE BLUFF     FAIR      72  68  87 S6        29.98F                  
STUTTGART      FAIR      76  70  82 S8        29.99S                  
MONTICELLO     FAIR      74  67  78 S3        29.99F                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Arkansas
Based on observations at 400am CDT, Monday May 27, 2019

Across Arkansas...temperatures are near 66 degrees north, near 73 degrees central, and near 70 degrees south. Current sky conditions are partly cloudy north, cloudy central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 64 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 84%, and the dew point is near 68 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 100%, and the dew point is near 70 degrees. The livestock heat stress category is no stress north, no stress central, and no stress south. Winds are calm north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 7 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are calm south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 79 degrees at Mena. The lowest temperature is 65 degrees at .


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For JEFFERSON County,AR

358 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight

Warm and sunny conditions today will lead to heat indices in the
lower to middle 90s across Arkansas this afternoon.

The Arkansas River will continue to rise. Major flooding is expected 
through tonight west of Conway. This includes water over roads, many 
acres of land, and engulfing some homes and businesses.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Monday Through Saturday

Major flooding is expected at most forecast points along the 
Arkansas River. This will be an historic event, with record or near 
record crests in some cases. Crests will begin to occur at Morrilton 
and points upstream by Friday, and farther downstream by the 
weekend.  

Afternoon heat index values will climb into the mid 90s across parts 
of southern and eastern Arkansas on Tuesday.

Chances of showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast Tuesday 
night through Thursday. One to three inches of rain will be possible 
over the northwest half of the state. Some storms could be strong to 
severe in the north and west with flash flooding possible as well. 

 Spotter Information Statement  

Spotter activation may be needed by Wednesday in northern and 
western Arkansas. 

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For JEFFERSON County, Arkansas
341 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

TODAY
Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. South winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts to around 25 mph.

TONIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY
Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Average rainfall less than 1/10 inch.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy in the evening
becoming partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph in the evening
decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening
becoming mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.

THURSDAY
Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.

FRIDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening
becoming mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.

SUNDAY
Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Arkansas
                             ARKANSAS                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                 JUN 1-JUN 5  JUN 3-JUN 9    JUN       JUN-AUG                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above      Below      Below                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above     Normal      Above                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Monday May 27, 2019 the 147th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 21.420000
Distance 0.999716 AU
Rise 06:59 EDT Set 21:14 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:06 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:31 EDT Ends 21:41 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

////////////////////////////
MAY 27TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1896...
A massive tornado struck Saint Louis MO killing 306 persons and causing
thirteen million dollars damage. The tornado path was short, but cut across
a densely populated area. It touched down six miles west of Eads Bridge in
Saint Louis and widened to a mile as it crossed into East Saint Louis. The
tornado was the most destructive of record in the U.S. up until that time.
It pierced a five-eighths inch thick iron sheet with a two by four inch
pine plank. A brilliant display of lightning accompanied the storm. (David
Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

...1873...
A tornado struck Louisville, with terrific lightning. (NWS Louisville)

...1987...
Severe thunderstorms in West Texas produced baseball size hail at Crane,
hail up to three and a half inches in diameter at Post, and grapefruit size
hail south of Midland. Five days of flooding commenced in Oklahoma.
Thunderstorms produced 7 to 9 inches of rain in central Oklahoma. Oklahoma
City reported 4.33 inches of rain in six hours. Up to six inches of rain
caused flooding in north central Texas. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)

...1995...
An F0 tornado struck a farm near Campbellsburg (Washington 
County Indiana). (NWS Louisville)

...1996...
Lightning struck and injured a person in Lexington. (NWS Louisville)



Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky