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Hot Spring County, AR Weather and Climate Synopsis

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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


Weather Summary for Arkansas
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
255 PM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

Warm conditions were seen so far this afternoon as breezy southerly 
winds ushered in warm and moist air to the region. Temperatures this 
afternoon have warmed into the mid 60s to upper 70s. Most areas 
remained dry this afternoon...but a line of showers were lifting 
north over western Arkansas this afternoon...from around Fort Smith 
to near Harrison.

The best chances for seeing showers and a few thunderstorms will be 
across the northwest third of the state through tonight. Given the 
warm southerly winds...temperatures tonight will not fall very 
far...with lows by Tuesday morning in the 60s for most areas. 

A cold front will approach the state from the northwest on 
Tuesday...with chances for widespread showers and thunderstorms 
highest across far northwest sections of the state through Tuesday 
afternoon. However...this front will slowly drop southeast Tuesday 
night through Wednesday before stalling across far southeast 
Arkansas Wednesday night and Thursday morning. This will result in 
the best chances for widespread rainfall shifting further south and 
east Tuesday night through Wednesday night. 

Several inches of rainfall will result from this slow moving 
front...with rainfall amounts of 2 to 5 or more inches across the 
northwest two thirds of the state. Expect generally 1 to around 3 
inches across the southeast third of the state. 

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For HOT SPRING County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Arkansas
Based on observations at 900pm CST, Monday February 19, 2018

Across Arkansas...temperatures are near 67 degrees north, near 68 degrees central, and near 72 degrees south. Current sky conditions are cloudy north, mostly cloudy central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 72%, and the dew point is near 58 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 73%, and the dew point is near 59 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 66%, and the dew point is near 60 degrees. Winds are from the south at 16 mph with gusts at 23 mph north, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the southeast at 10 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the south at 13 mph south, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. The livestock cold stress index is in the no stress category north, no stress category central, and no stress category south. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 72 degrees at Mena and El Dorado. The lowest temperature is 54 degrees at Mount Ida.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For HOT SPRING County,AR

229 PM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

 DAY ONE  This Afternoon and Tonight

Breezy south winds will continue this afternoon  with wind speeds
of 15 to 25 mph expected. Gusts will occasionally exceed 30 mph. 
As a result  caution is advised on area lakes and waterways. 

Thunderstorms will remain possible through tonight across far
northwest sections of the area. However  the threat for hazardous
weather will remain low with this activity.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Tuesday Through Sunday

Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected Tuesday
through the weekend. Several inches of rain will be possible from
Little Rock to the north and west through Wednesday  before the 
axis of heavy rainfall shifts to the southeast Wednesday night 
into Thursday. 

Rainfall amounts through Thursday will range from 1 to 3 inches 
across the southeast third of the state  to 2 to over 5 inches 
possible from central and northwest sections of the state. Some 
locally higher amounts cannot be ruled out in these areas. As a 
result  the threat for flash and river flooding will increase 
over time  even with some areas across the northern and western 
portion of the state in a drought at this time.

Additional heavy rainfall will return to the forecast by late
Thursday through next weekend  with additional rainfall amounts 
of 2 or more inches possible across some portion of the state. 
This will result in storm total rainfall amounts through next 
weekend of 2 to 3 inches across the far southeast portion of the 
state  and 4 to 7 or more inches across a large portion of
Arkansas further north and west. Some locally higher amounts will
be possible. As a result  the threat for widespread river and 
flash flooding will continue to increase throughout the week and 
into the weekend.

 Spotter Information Statement  

Spotter activation will not be needed.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For HOT SPRING County, Arkansas
601 PM CST Mon Feb 19 2018


FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts to around 25 mph. The chance of precipitation 50 percent. Average rainfall less than 1/10 inch.

TUESDAY
A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely and isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts to around 25 mph. The chance of precipitation 70 percent. Average rainfall 1/10 to 1/4 inch.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Cooler. Periods of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Locally heavy rainfall possible. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of precipitation near 100 percent. Average rainfall 1 to 2 inches.

WEDNESDAY
Cooler. Periods of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Locally heavy rainfall possible. Highs in the upper 50s. Temperatures falling into the lower 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Colder. Periods of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Locally heavy rainfall possible. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of precipitation 90 percent.

THURSDAY
Cloudy. A chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s. The chance of precipitation 50 percent.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Temperatures steady or slowly rising. The chance of precipitation 80 percent.

FRIDAY
Warmer. Showers likely and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. The chance of precipitation 70 percent.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Showers likely and isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. The chance of precipitation 60 percent.

SATURDAY
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 60s. The chance of precipitation 60 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy in the evening
becoming partly cloudy. Cooler. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. The chance of precipitation 50 percent.

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. The chance of precipitation 20 percent.

MONDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Arkansas
                             ARKANSAS                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                FEB 25-MAR 1 FEB 27-MAR 5    MAR       MAR-MAY                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above     Normal      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Above     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Monday February 19, 2018 the 50th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -10.910000
Distance 0.999723 AU
Rise 07:49 EST Set 18:56 EST
Transit Meridian 13:22 EST
Civil Twilight Begins 07:25 EST Ends 19:21 EST

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

FEBRUARY 19TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1871...
A. Lapham, in Cincinnati, wrote the first public weather forecast.
...1884...
Severe thunderstorms spawned sixty tornadoes in the southeastern U.S.,
killing more than 420 persons and causing three million dollars damage.
Georgia and the Carolinas hardest were hit in the tornado outbreak. (David
Ludlum)
...1888...
A tornado struck Mount Vernon IL. The tornado killed sixteen persons along
its 62 mile path. (David Ludlum)
...1954...
High winds across the southern half of the Great Plains, gusting to 85 mph,
caused the worst duststorms since the 1930s. Graders were needed in places
to clear fence high dirt drifts. (The Weather Channel)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky