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Crawford County, AR Weather and Climate Synopsis

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Weather Summary for Arkansas
National Weather Service Little Rock AR 
955 PM CDT Tue Aug 14 2018

Another warn and humid day was noted across the Natural State on 
Tuesday. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms affected 
much of northwest Arkansas early in the day. By the afternoon hours, 
just a few spotty showers were noted over the state. High 
temperatures on Thursday ranged from the 70s over the northwest, to 
the 80s and lower 90s elsewhere.

Not much is expected to change with the forecast over the next 
several days. The upper level low over the southern Plains will 
continue to move slowly to the east, and it will send a series of 
upper level disturbances across the area. This will result in 
increased chances for rainfall in most areas. 

Temperatures will remain quite warm, but below average for this time 
of year, with highs ranging from the upper 70s across the north, to 
the mid 80s central, to the lower 90s over the south.

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For CRAWFORD County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Arkansas
Based on observations at 1100am CDT, Wednesday August 15, 2018

Across Arkansas...temperatures are near 78 degrees north, near 85 degrees central, and near 89 degrees south. Current sky conditions are partly sunny north, cloudy central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 73%, and the dew point is near 69 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 63%, and the dew point is near 71 degrees. The heat index is near 90 degrees central. In the south, relative humidity is near 56%, and the dew point is near 72 degrees. The heat index is near 96 degrees south. The livestock heat stress category is no stress north, danger central, and danger south. Winds are from the southwest at 8 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southwest at 14 mph central, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Winds are from the southwest at 14 mph south, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to strong winds. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 89 degrees at El Dorado. The lowest temperature is 70 degrees at Fayetteville.


NOWCAST For CRAWFORD County: 0-6 Hour Forecast
Issued at 1039 AM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018

.NOW...
At 10:39 AM...Doppler radars detected scattered showers and 
isolated thunderstorms across parts of eastern Oklahoma and 
northwest Arkansas. The entire complex was gradually shifting 
east, while the main movement remains toward the east at around 35
mph.
Through 12:30 PM...Occasional showers and isolated thunderstorms 
will remain possible for areas mainly along and east of a 
McAlester to Welch line. Average hourly rainfall of up to one 
tenth of an inch will be common, with locally higher amounts to 
around one inch possible in heavier downpours. Localized flooding 
will be possible where the heavier rains occur, especially in low 
lying and poor drainage areas.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map


Hazardous Weather Outlook For CRAWFORD County,AR

442 AM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA  

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK  Limited.
AREA  Southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET  This afternoon.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK  Limited.
AREA  Eastern Oklahoma southeast of I-44 and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET  Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK  Elevated.
AREA  Eastern Oklahoma southeast of I-44 and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET  Ongoing.

DISCUSSION  
Showers and thunderstorms will continue this morning across much of
eastern Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas. Rainfall is expected to
diminish across eastern Oklahoma this afternoon, although activity
may persist into the afternoon across northwest Arkansas and possibly
into parts of southeast Oklahoma. Efficient rainfall rates will result
in areas of locally heavy rainfall, with another 1 to 3 inches of
rain possible, especially across portions of west central Arkansas.
Locally higher amounts will be possible as well.

A few strong to marginally severe storms will be possible later this
afternoon, with strong wind gusts being the main threat.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT  
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY through SATURDAY  Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY  Thunderstorm Potential  Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY  Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY  No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION  
Active northwesterly flow aloft will bring chances of showers and
thunderstorms for the remainder of the weekend and the weekend. Some
locally heavy rainfall will be possible.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For CRAWFORD County, Arkansas
1051 AM CDT Wed Aug 15 2018


FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING

REST OF TODAY
Occasional showers and scattered thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds becoming west up to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Heat index readings 100 to 103 in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Light winds.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s.

SATURDAY
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s.

SUNDAY
Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s.

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s.

MONDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Arkansas
                             ARKANSAS                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   AUG 20-24    AUG 22-28    AUG       AUG-OCT                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above      Below      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Wednesday August 15, 2018 the 227th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 13.730000
Distance 0.999717 AU
Rise 07:30 EDT Set 20:56 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:13 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:04 EDT Ends 21:22 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

///////////////////////////
AUGUST 15TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1787...
Tornadoes were reported in Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and
New Hampshire. Wethersfield CT was hard hit by the tornado outbreak. (David
Ludlum)
...1946...
Saint Louis MO was deluged with a record 8.78 inches of rain in 24 hours.
(The Weather Channel)
...1967...
The "sundance fire" in northern Idaho was started by lightning. Winds of 50
mph carried firebrands as much as ten miles in advance to ignite new fires,
and as a result, the forest fire spread twenty miles across the Selkirk
Mountains in just twelve hours, burning 56,000 acres. The heat of the fire
produced whirlwinds of flame with winds up to 300 mph which flung giant
trees about like matchsticks. (David Ludlum)
...1987...
Thunderstorms developing ahead of a sharp cold front produced severe
weather in the Upper Midwest during the afternoon and evening hours, with
Minnesota and eastern South Dakota hardest hit. A thunderstorm in west
central Minnesota spawned a tornado at Eagle Lake which killed one person
and injured eight others. A thunder- storm in eastern South Dakota produced
softball size hail at Warner. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
Thirty five cities in twenty states in the north central and northeastern
U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Lamoni IA
and Baltimore MD, where the mercury hit 105 degrees. Temperatures 100
degrees or above were reported in twenty-two states. Pierre SD was the hot
spot in the nation with a high of 114 degrees. Bluefield WV reported eight
straight days of record heat. (The National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Evening thunderstorms in eastern New Mexico produced wind gusts to 66 mph
at Clovis. Evening thunderstorms in West Texas produced baseball size hail
around Hereford, Dimmitt, Ware and Dalhart. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky