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Carroll County, AR Weather and Climate Synopsis

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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
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Weather Summary for Arkansas
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1130 PM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

Across Arkansas on Tuesday, partly to mostly sunny conditions were 
seen, with again mainly afternoon to evening showers and 
thunderstorms. A few storms became strong to severe, with strong 
winds and some heavy rain being reported. Localized flooding was 
noted in the Little Rock area. After morning lows mainly in the 70s, 
Tuesday highs reached the 90s in most locations, while Hot Springs 
and Russellville reached 100 degrees. Heat index values reached the 
90s, to 100 to above 105 degrees Tuesday afternoon. Tuesday night, 
isolated showers and thunderstorms will still be possible, with a 
weak frontal boundary across the state, and as some upper level 
energy moves through the region. Lows will be in the 60s to 70s.

For the rest of the week, mainly partly sunny skies are forecast, 
with highs mainly in the 90s with some locations around 100 degrees. 
During the afternoon hours some additional showers and thunderstorms 
are forecast across Arkansas. Late in the week, the hottest days of 
the week with only some an isolated convection possible. Remember to 
drink plenty of water, stay in an air-conditioned room if possible, 
stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives, neighbors and pets.

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For CARROLL County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Arkansas
Based on observations at 900am CDT, Wednesday July 18, 2018

Across Arkansas...temperatures are near 75 degrees north, near 79 degrees central, and near 80 degrees south. Current sky conditions are light rain north, cloudy central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 96%, and the dew point is near 74 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 94%, and the dew point is near 77 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 94%, and the dew point is near 78 degrees. The heat index is near 88 degrees south. The livestock heat stress category is no stress north, no stress central, and danger south. Winds are from the southwest at 5 mph north, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. Winds are calm central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southwest at 3 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 84 degrees at West Memphis. The lowest temperature is 70 degrees at .


NOWCAST For CARROLL County: 0-6 Hour Forecast
Issued at 920 AM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

.NOW...
At 9:20 AM...Doppler radars detected scattered rain showers 
across parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. This 
activity continues to move off to the southeast at around 20 mph.
Through 11:00 AM...Widely scattered rain showers will remain
possible across the area, with most of the coverage during this
time to be confined to far eastern and southeast Oklahoma, as well
as northwest Arkansas. Light showers will be common, resulting in
average hourly rainfall of less than one tenth of an inch.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map


Hazardous Weather Outlook For CARROLL County,AR

516 AM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

 DAY ONE  Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK  Elevated.
AREA  Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET  Ongoing.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK  Elevated.
AREA  Eastern Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas.
ONSET  This Afternoon.

DISCUSSION  
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will diminish this morning
across northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Isolated to
scattered thunderstorms may redevelop this afternoon across parts
of northwest Arkansas. While an isolated strong storm is possible,
organized severe weather is not expected.

Hot and humid weather is expected today, with afternoon heat index
values between 102 and 108 degrees across much of eastern Oklahoma
and west central Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT  
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY through MONDAY  Dangerous Heat Potential.
TUESDAY  No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION  
The heat will intensify Thursday and Friday, with the hottest
temperatures in several years possible by Friday. Heat advisories
or warnings will likely be needed both Thursday and Friday.
Somewhat cooler weather will arrive over the weekend, but it will
still be hot and humid.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT  
An uptick in heat related responses is possible Thursday and
Friday. Any local plans related to heat impacts may experience an
uptick in activation levels.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For CARROLL County, Arkansas
426 AM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

TODAY
Cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy late in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

TONIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 90s. Southeast winds around 10 mph in the morning becoming light. Heat index readings 100 to 105 in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Light winds.

FRIDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 90s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s.

SUNDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 90s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.

MONDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 90s.

MONDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs around 90.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Arkansas
                             ARKANSAS                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   JUL 23-27 JUL 25-JUL 31    JUL       JUL-SEP                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above       Normal      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:     Normal        Above      Below      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Wednesday July 18, 2018 the 199th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 20.840000
Distance 0.999716 AU
Rise 07:09 EDT Set 21:21 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:15 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:42 EDT Ends 21:48 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

//////////////////////////
JULY 18TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1889...
A cloudburst in West Virginia along the small creeks in Wirt County,
Jackson County and Wood County claimed twenty lives. Rockport WV reported
nineteen inches of rain in two hours and ten minutes that Thursday evening.
Tygart Creek rose 22 feet in one hour, and villages were swept away on
Tygart, Slate, Tucker, and Sandy Creeks. (The Weather Channel)
...1942...
A record deluge occurred at Smethport in northern Pennsylvania, with 30.7
inches in just six hours. The downpours and resultant flooding in
Pennsylvania were devastating. (David Ludlum)
...1986...
One of the most "photo-genic" tornadoes touched down in the northern
suburbs of Minneapolis MN during the late afternoon. The very slow moving
tornado actually appeared live on the evening news by way of an aerial
video taken by the KARE-TV helicopter crew. The tornado, unlike most, was
quite the prima donna, staying visible to tens of thousands of persons for
thirty minutes. It was moderate in intensity, with winds of 113-157 mph,
and caused 650 thousand dollars damage. (Storm Data)
...1987...
Cool weather prevailed in the western U.S. Seven cities reported record low
temperatures for the date, including Alamosa CO with a reading of 38
degrees. The low of 52 degrees at Bakersfield CA was a record for July. Up
to eight inches of snow covered the Northern Sierra Nevada Range of
California from a storm the previous day. During that storm, winds gusting
to 52 mph at Slide Mountain NV produced a wind chill reading of 20 degrees
below zero. Susanville CA reached 17 degrees that previous day, Blue Canyon
CA dipped to a July record of 36 degrees, and the high of 44 degrees at
Klamath Falls OR smashed their previous record for July by ten degrees.
(The National Weather Summary)
...1988...
Sweltering heat continued in California, with record highs of 111 degrees
at Redding and 112 degrees at Sacramento. Death Valley CA hit 127 degrees.
Late afternoon and evening thunderstorms in the Central Plains Region
produced baseball size hail at Kimball NE, wind gusts to 79 mph at Colby
KS, and six inches of rain near Lexington NE. (The National Weather
Summary) (Storm Data)
...1989...
Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma, northern Texas and
Arkansas during the afternoon, and into the night. Thunderstorms produced
baseball size hail at Stamford TX, and wind gusts to 92 mph near
Throckmorton TX. Record heat continued in the southwestern U.S. Phoenix AZ
reported a record high of 115 degrees, and a 111 degree reading at Midland
TX was second only to their all-time record high of 112 degrees established
sixteen days earlier. (The National Weather Summary)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky