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Ashley County, AR Weather and Climate Synopsis

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Weather Summary for Arkansas
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1130 AM CDT Sun Jul 15 2018

Warm and muggy conditions prevailed across Arkansas overnight, with 
morning lows bottoming out in the lower to mid 70's across the 
mountains, with mid 70's to near 80 across the rest of the state. 

Much of the state remains under a heat advisory for today. By mid 
morning, many locations across the state had already surpassed 90 
degrees, and some areas could see the mercury top out around 100 
today. With the humid conditions across the state, heat index values 
will exceed 105 degrees in many areas.

A few showers have been falling across northern Arkansas this 
morning. Thunderstorms are expected to develop and become a bit more 
widespread than yesterday, with most of the activity occurring 
north of I-40. 

With temperatures this warm, remember to drink plenty of water, stay 
in an air-conditioned room if possible, stay out of the sun, and 
check up on relatives, neighbors and pets. 

National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary
Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Regional Hourly Observations For ASHLEY County

SWR not available
Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel
Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Arkansas
Based on observations at 700pm CDT, Sunday July 15, 2018

Across Arkansas...temperatures are near 86 degrees north, near 93 degrees central, and near 95 degrees south. Current sky conditions are light rain north, cloudy central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 65%, and the dew point is near 73 degrees. The heat index is near 93 degrees north. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 43%, and the dew point is near 68 degrees. The heat index is near 97 degrees central. In the south, relative humidity is near 47%, and the dew point is near 72 degrees. The heat index is near 103 degrees south. The livestock heat stress category is danger north, danger central, and emergency south. There is thunder central. Winds are from the south at 3 mph north, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. Winds are from the south at 9 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southwest at 6 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 98 degrees at Hot Springs. The lowest temperature is 72 degrees at Mount Ida.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

US Radar, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For ASHLEY County,AR

310 PM CDT Sun Jul 15 2018

 DAY ONE  Tonight and Monday

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT  Elevated
TIMING  Monday

Highs temperatures in the mid 90s will combine with high humidity
to result in heat index values near or above 105 degrees until 7 
PM this evening and then again Monday. Precautions should be taken
to avoid strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable 
to heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted 
clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Monday night through Saturday

Highs temperatures in the low to mid 90s will combine with high 
humidity to result in heat index values near 105 degrees again 
Tuesday. Precautions should be taken to avoid strenuous outdoor 
activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat stress. Stay 
hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

 SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT  
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Saturday.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For ASHLEY County, Arkansas
559 PM CDT Sun Jul 15 2018


HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING

TONIGHT
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

MONDAY
Sunny in the morning, then partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 90s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Heat index readings 102 to 107.

MONDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

TUESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph. The chance of rain 30 percent.

WEDNESDAY
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 90s.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

FRIDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s.

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 90s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

SUNDAY
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 90s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Arkansas
                             ARKANSAS                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   JUL 21-25    JUL 23-29    JUL       JUL-SEP                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Above        Above      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Below        Above      Below      Below                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Sunday July 15, 2018 the 196th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 21.360000
Distance 0.999715 AU
Rise 07:07 EDT Set 21:22 EDT
Transit Meridian 14:14 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:40 EDT Ends 21:50 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

////////////////////////////
JULY 15TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1916...
A dying South Atlantic Coast storm produced torrential rains in the
southern Appalachian Mountains. Altapass NC was drenched with more than 22
inches of rain, a 24 hour rainfall record for the state. Flooding resulted
in considerable damage, particularly to railroads. (David Ludlum)
...1954...
The temperature at Balcony Falls VA soared to 110 degrees to establish a
state record. (The Weather Channel)
...1983...
The Big Thompson Creek in Colorado flooded for the second time in seven
years, claiming three lives, and filling the town of Estes Park with eight
to ten feet of water. (The Weather Channel)
...1987...
Unseasonably cool weather spread into the south central and eastern U.S.
Fifteen cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including
Houghton Lake MI with a reading of 37 degrees. The high temperature for the
date of 58 degrees at Flint MI was their coolest of record for July.
Thunderstorms spawned several tornadoes in Illinois and Indiana, injuring a
cow near Donovan IL. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
...1988...
Twenty-six cities east of the Mississippi River reported record high
temperatures for the date. Charleston WV established an all-time record
high with a reading of 103 degrees, and Chicago IL reported a record fifth
day of 100 degree heat for the year. A severe thunderstorm moving across
Omaha NE and the Council Bluffs area of west central Iowa spawned three
tornadoes which injured 88 persons, and also produced high winds which
injured 18 others. Winds at the Omaha Eppley Airport reached 92 mph. Damage
from the storm was estimated at 43 million dollars. (Storm Data) (The
National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Thunderstorms drenched Kansas City MO with 4.16 inches of rain, a record
for the date. Two and a half inches of rain deluged the city between Noon
and 1 PM. Afternoon thunderstorms in South Carolina deluged Williamstown
with six inches of rain in ninety minutes, including four inches in little
more than half an hour. (The National Weather Summary)(Storm Data)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky