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Winston County, AL Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
All Radar images NOAA/UKAWC
Satellite images from NOAA

Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

Today and Tonight.

This AM, at the surface we have a secondary front moving through the 
state with breezy northerly winds ushering in much drier air into 
the state. Ridging will build across Eastern Conus through tonight. 
As it does so, tight pressure gradients will allow for us a sunny, 
but much cooler and breezy day to start. Winds should stay up some 
through the morning. After which, the ridge will settle in allowing 
gradients to relax some. We are expecting clear skies and lighter to 
near calm winds tonight. Cooler readings are expected for tonight, 
and the northern counties will be borderline for frost. Will hold 
off on an advisory just yet to see how the next run comes in. ARW is 
showing some cooler values but did not appear to initialize well. So 
my confidence is not high enough at this time.


Monday through Sunday.

Low level ridging slides eastward to the Coastal Carolinas on 
Monday, shifting our winds more easterly to southeasterly to start 
the week. We've got generally zonal flow aloft Monday into Tuesday, 
so high temps Monday will moderate slightly, just from the lack of 
cold air advection, but likely won't warm significantly. A few weak 
shortwaves move eastward along the Gulf Coast Tuesday, but this 
shouldn't impact our weather in Central AL too much. 

A longwave trough digs into the Rockies Tuesday, amplifying a ridge 
over the Central Plains in response. This will keep our area mostly 
dry through at least mid-week with temps running slightly below 
normal, but not drastically colder than what would be expected for 
this time of year. Models continue to struggle with the evolution of 
this trough as it builds eastward through the Plains and into the 
Eastern US. Guidance suggests several shortwaves moving through the 
region ahead of the main trough axis, which will bring some chances 
for rain Thursday or Friday, but exact timing remains uncertain. 
Given the low confidence in the forecast for the end of the week, 
expect a few more changes as models come into better agreement. 

I do expect the main trough axis to shift east of our area by 
Saturday or Sunday, leading to another round of cooler temperatures. 


Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For WINSTON County
800 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2018
MUSCLE SHOALS  FAIR      41  28  60 NE10G18   30.38R                  
HUNTSVILLE     FAIR      41  30  65 NE13      30.34R                  
DECATUR        FAIR      39  27  62 N10       30.35R WCI  32          
HALEYVILLE     FAIR      38  27  64 NE9       30.34R WCI  31          
GADSDEN        FAIR      43  31  62 N10       30.31R                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 800am CDT, Sunday October 21, 2018

Across Alabama...temperatures are near 39 degrees north, near 42 degrees central, and near 57 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, fair central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 62%, and the dew point is near 27 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 64%, and the dew point is near 31 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 72%, and the dew point is near 48 degrees. Winds are from the north at 10 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. The wind chill is near 32 degrees north. Winds are from the north at 12 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the north at 10 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 60 degrees at Brookely Field. The lowest temperature is 39 degrees at Decatur.

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar Map, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For WINSTON County, AL

358 AM CDT Sun Oct 21 2018

 DAY ONE  Outlook through Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.


Activation of storm spotters and emergency management is not
expected at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

7-Day Forecast For WINSTON County, Alabama
830 AM CDT Sun Oct 21 2018

Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Clear. Patchy frost after midnight. Lows in the mid 30s. Light winds.

Sunny in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Light winds.

Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.

Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s.

Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.

Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the lower 60s.

Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 40s.

Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s.

Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.

Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 60s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   OCT 26-30 OCT 28-NOV 3    OCT       OCT-DEC                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below                                            
 Precipitation:     Normal        Above                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Sunday October 21, 2018 the 294th Day of Year

Declination -11.030000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 07:58 EDT Set 19:07 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:32 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:34 EDT Ends 19:31 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

A severe windstorm lashed the northern Pacific coast. In Washington State,
the storm claimed the lives of 22 persons, and caused 1.7 million dollars
damage, mostly to timber. Winds, gusting to 87 mph at North Head WA,
produced waves twenty feet high. (David Ludlum)
The second in a series of unusual October storms hit southern California
causing widespread thunderstorms. Santa Maria was drenched with 1.13 inches
of rain in two hours. Hail drifted to 18 inches in East Los Angeles.
Waterspouts were sighted off Point Mugu and Oceanside. (20th-21st) (The
Weather Channel)
Cold arctic air continued to invade the central U.S. Eleven record lows
were reported in the Great Plains Region, including lows of 12 degrees at
Valentine NE, and 9 degrees at Aberdeen SD. Temperatures warmed rapidly
during the day in the Southern and Central Plains Region. Goodland KS
warmed from a morning low of 24 degrees to an afternoon high of 75 degrees.
(The National Weather Summary)
Joan, the last hurricane of the season, neared the coast of Nicaragua
packing 125 mph winds. Joan claimed more than 200 lives as she moved over
Central America, and total damage approached 1.5 billion dollars. Crossing
more than 40 degrees of longitude, Hurricane Joan never strayed even one
degree from the 12 degree north parallel. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)
Unseasonably cold weather continued to grip the south central and
southeastern U.S. Twenty cities reported record low temperatures for the
date, including Calico AR with a reading of 26 degrees, and Daytona Beach
FL with a low of 41 degrees. Squalls in the Great Lakes Region finally came
to an end, but not before leaving Marquette MI buried under 12.7 inches of
snow, a record 24 hour total for October. (The National Weather Summary)
(Storm Data)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky