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Upper Mobile County, AL Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts

US Weekly Rainfall Departure

US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.

1034mb high pressure will build into the region today. Skies will 
clear a little bit more in the north, with partly cloudy skies 
south. The center of the high pressure will slide into the Great 
Lakes region overnight, while slightly building even more. Overall 
winds will not calm all the way down, so prime radiational cooling 
is not expected tonight. Although the well protected valley may drop 
quite a bit. Look for highs to be in the upper 60s north to upper 
70s south, with lows in the upper 40s north to upper 50s south. As 
mentioned earlier. well protected areas in the north may drop into 
the low to mid 40s. 


Friday through Thursday.

The ridging pattern begins to flatten across the Southeastern US as 
a trough slides into the Northern Plain, pushing a cold front 
through the Midwestern States. A pre-frontal shortwave develops
and moves across the Mid-MS Valley, spreading eastward through TN
and Northern AL late Friday night into Saturday morning. Lift 
associated with the shortwave and the approaching cold front will 
allow for rain development mainly after midnight north of I-59. 
This will spread southward through the day on Saturday, reaching 
the I-85 corridor during the early afternoon. Locations south of 
I-85 could see a few rumbles of thunders with the rain as it 
pushes through in the afternoon and some modest instability is 
able to work its way in, but generally I don't expect much 
thunderstorm development with this system. 

The cold front pushes south and east of Central AL by Saturday 
night, so I've cleared out all mention of rain or thunderstorms 
after midnight. A cooler and drier air mass gets advected into the 
region with northerly flow persisting most of the day Sunday. 
Therefore, high temps Sunday will generally be in the mid to upper 
60s in the south with some locations in the northern counties 
struggling to reach 60 degrees. The center of a surface high 
pressure system slides through the Ohio River Valley Sunday evening 
into Monday as ridging aloft builds in across the Southeastern US. 
This will lead to synoptic scale subsidence, clearing skies 
overnight Sunday into Monday, which will allow for effective 
radiational cooling. This will setup for potentially our coolest 
night of the season so far with Monday morning lows in the upper 30s 
in the north to the low 40s for most of Central AL. 

By Monday afternoon, the surface high pressure system has shifted 
over the Outer Banks, veering our winds more southeasterly and 
southerly. This will act to moderate temps across Central AL Monday 
through Wednesday to seasonable diurnal ranges. 

Wednesday into Thursday, another trough slides into the Central 
Plains, developing our next system that will move in just beyond the 
extended period. Details are uncertain as models have not shown run 
to run consistency on the evolution or timing of the trough. 
Therefore, I have introduced 30-40 PoPs area-wide Wednesday and 
Thursday, but will need to adjust up or down depending on how models 
trend over the next few days. 


Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

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Regional Hourly Observations For UPPER MOBILE County
400 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2018
MOBILE REG APT FAIR      62  57  83 NE9       30.24S                  
BROOKLEY FIELD FAIR      66  60  81 N10       30.24S                  
USA CAMPUS*      N/A     61  57  88 NE8       30.23S                  
DOG RIVER*       N/A     64  59  82 NE6         N/A                   

GULF SHORES    FAIR      64  59  83 N8G21     30.20S                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel

Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 300am CDT, Thursday October 18, 2018

Across Alabama...temperatures are near 50 degrees north, near 56 degrees central, and near 63 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, fair central, and fair south. In the north, relative humidity is near 77%, and the dew point is near 43 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 77%, and the dew point is near 49 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 83%, and the dew point is near 58 degrees. Winds are from the north at 7 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the north at 5 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the north at 8 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 67 degrees at Brookely Field. The lowest temperature is 50 degrees at Decatur.

Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar Map, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For UPPER MOBILE County
Hazardous report currently not available
NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook

Current FORECAST not available 12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2

Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   OCT 23-27 OCT 25-OCT 31    OCT       OCT-DEC                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:     Normal        Below                                            
 Precipitation:      Above        Above                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Thursday October 18, 2018 the 291th Day of Year

Declination -9.960000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 07:55 EDT Set 19:10 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:33 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:31 EDT Ends 19:34 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy

Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

A hurricane struck South Florida drowning 124 persons stranded in the
Florida Keys. (David Ludlum)
Northeasterly winds as high as 70 mph (from a hurricane moving northward up
the Florida peninsula) carried water out of Tampa Bay and the Hillsboro
River. The water level lowered to nine feet below mean low water. Forty
ships were grounded.
(The Weather Channel)
A big early season lake effect snowburst on the lee shores of Lake Erie and
Lake Ontario produced 47 inches at Governeur NY and 48 inches just south of
Buffalo. (David Ludlum)
Thunderstorms in northeastern Texas produced golf ball size hail at
Atlanta, along with wind gusts to 86 mph, and four inches of rain. Damage
from the storm was estimated at more than a million dollars. Sunny and mild
weather continued across much of the rest of the nation. (The National
Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
Eight cities in the southwestern U.S. reported record high temperatures for
the date, including Red Bluff CA with a reading of 96 degrees. (The
National Weather Summary)
Unseasonably cold air began to invade the central and eastern U.S. Light
snow fell across northern Maine, and snow was also reported in the Great
Lakes Region, including the Chicago area. Bismarck ND was the cold spot in
the nation with a low of 9 degrees above zero. Five cities in Florida
reported record high readings for the date, as temperatures warmed above 80
degrees. Miami FL reported a record high of 90 degrees. (The National
Weather Summary)

Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky