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Pike County, AL Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts





US Weekly Rainfall Departure



US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


.SHORT TERM...
Today and tonight.

Another hot day out there today as the airmass still remains about 
the same. A cold front remains well to our north, generally draped 
across the Midwest. Numerous MCS have developed along that front and 
pushed outflows down to the south. One of those outflows is currently 
near Little Rock. Cirrus and additional mesoscale boundaries stretch 
away from this outflow boundary and are moving over northern 
Mississippi and western Tennessee. These boundaries will help spark 
convection later this morning to our west and then move into the 
area close to lunch time. This will be in addition to all the 
leftover boundaries from todays activity in our neck of the woods. 
Meanwhile the main boundary that has been in the southern half of 
the area remains in the southern half of the area. All of this 
combined will result in once again a higher than normal chance at 
seeing scattered to numerous showers/thunderstorms across the area 
this afternoon/early evening. Temperatures will be very similar to 
the previous day, although will concentrate the heat advisory across 
generally the southwestern third of the area as the rain and cloud 
cover may move into the northwest before the maximum heating could 
occur. The airmass remains moist with very little flow, so localized 
heavy rains and flooding could be a threat along with stronger 
storms. 

16

.LONG TERM...
Tuesday through Sunday.

On Tuesday, we are looking at a low pressure system over Quebec
moving eastward and dragging a front across the northern half of 
Eastern Conus. However, across the southern half of Eastern Conus,
the upper flow will be much weaker and not favorable for pushing 
a front completely through Alabama. This is not surprising since 
it is July, but the front could make it into the northern half of 
the state before stalling. Rain chances will be well above normal 
for Tuesday with warm temperatures, lots of available moisture, 
and a front nearby. 

For Wednesday, we should see a north/south orientation for 
precipitation chances and dew points with a lingering stalled 
boundary somewhere likely across Central Alabama and high 
pressure building in from the north. For overnight lows on 
Thursday morning, readings should not be quite as warm and not as
muggy with a surface ridge across much of Eastern Conus and a 
stalled boundary remaining across the southern part of Central 
Alabama with weak flow aloft. Rain chances will be somewhat lower
for Thursday with not as much focus and more diurnally driven
activity.

By Friday, we move into a tricky upper northwest flow pattern. Our
previous surface front should be taken back northward as a warm
front with low level moisture increasing behind it and higher dew
points returning to the state. Going with mainly chance pops as we
head into next weekend. Confidence is low with extended guidance 
not agreeing on how deep upper troughing will become over Eastern
Conus along with the resulting intensity of any disturbances that
may be flowing through this upper troughing ahead of another 
approaching surface front by the end of next weekend. 

08


Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For PIKE County
700 AM CDT MON JUL 16 2018
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
DOTHAN         PTSUNNY   74  72  93 CALM      30.09R FOG              
6HR MIN TEMP:  73; 6HR MAX TEMP:  75;                                

OZARK          FAIR      73  73 100 CALM      30.05R                  
6HR MIN TEMP:  72; 6HR MAX TEMP:  74;                                

TROY           FOG       72  70  93 CALM      30.06S VSB 3/4          
6HR MIN TEMP:  71; 6HR MAX TEMP:  73;                                

EUFAULA        NOT AVBL                                               

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 600am CDT, Monday July 16, 2018

Across Alabama...temperatures are near 70 degrees north, near 73 degrees central, and near 76 degrees south. Current sky conditions are fair north, mostly cloudy central, and mostly cloudy south. In the north, relative humidity is near 100%, and the dew point is near 70 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 96%, and the dew point is near 72 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 93%, and the dew point is near 74 degrees. The livestock heat stress category is no stress north, no stress central, and no stress south. Winds are from the south at 3 mph north, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the southeast at 3 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the east at 3 mph south, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 77 degrees at Brookely Field. The lowest temperature is 70 degrees at Decatur.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar Map, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For PIKE County, AL

255 AM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

 DAY ONE  Outlook through Tonight.

Heat indices will be near 105 degrees in southwestern portions of 
Central Alabama today.

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management is not
expected at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For PIKE County, Alabama
702 AM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

TODAY
Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms until late afternoon, then thunderstorms likely late this afternoon. Highs around 90. Southwest winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

TONIGHT
Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening then becoming light.

TUESDAY
Widespread thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. West winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent.

TUESDAY NIGHT
Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening then becoming light.

WEDNESDAY
Thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s.

FRIDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

SATURDAY
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

SUNDAY
Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
                              ALABAMA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   JUL 21-25    JUL 23-29    JUL       JUL-SEP                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:     Normal       Normal      Above      Above                      
 Precipitation:      Above        Above     Normal     Normal                      

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Monday July 16, 2018 the 197th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination 21.200000
Distance 0.999716 AU
Rise 06:50 EDT Set 20:58 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:54 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 06:23 EDT Ends 21:25 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

////////////////////////
JULY 16TH...HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1920...
A severe hailstorm over parts of Antelope and Boone counties in Nebraska
stripped trees of bark and foliage, ruined roofs, and broke nearly every
window facing north. (The Weather Channel)
...1946...
The temperature at Medford OR soared to an all-time high of 115 degrees to
begin a two week heat wave. During that Oregon heat wave the mercury hit
100 degrees at Sexton Summit for the only time in forty years of records.
(David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)
...1975...
An early afternoon thunderstorm raked the east side of Tucson AZ with gale
force winds, heavy rain, and numerous lightning strikes. A thirteen year
old boy was swept through a forty foot long culvert by raging waters before
being rescued. (The Weather Channel)
...1979...
An intense thunderstorm dropped as much as 7 inches of rain in a three hour 
period over portions of southeastern pike county. two residents lost their lives 
as the car they were in was washed off the road. a young boy also died while 
being evacuated from his home. forty businesses and 2560 homes were 
affected...amounting to 7 million dollars in damage. (NWS JKL)
...1987...
Showers and thundestorms in the southwestern U.S. ended a record string of
thirty-nine consecutive days of 100 degree heat at Tucson AZ. A
thunderstorm at Bullhead City AZ produced wind gusts to 70 mph reducing the
visibility to near zero in blowing dust. Southerly winds gusting to 40 mph
pushed temperature readings above 100 degrees in the Northern Plains. Rapid
City SD reported a record high of 106 degrees, following a record low of 39
degrees just three days earlier. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm
Data)
...1988...
Thirty-seven cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures
for the date. Highs of 96 degrees at Bluefield WV and 104 degrees at
Charleston WV were all-time records, and afternoon highs of 98 degrees at
Binghamton NY, 99 degrees at Elkins WV, and 103 degrees at Pittsburgh PA,
tied all-time records. Highs of 104 degrees at Baltimore MD and 105
degrees at Parkersburg WV were records for July, and Beckley WV equalled
their record for July with a high of 94 degrees. Martinsburg WV was the hot
spot in the nation with a reading of 107 degrees. Afternoon and evening
thunderstorms raked the northeastern U.S. with large hail and damaging
winds. (The National Weather Summary)
...1989...
Showers and thunderstorms developing along a stationary front drenched the
Middle Atlantic Coast States with heavy rain, causing flooding in some
areas. More than five inches of rain was reported near Madison VA and
Ferncliff VA. Hot weather prevailed in Texas. San Angelo reported a record
high of 106 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky