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Perry County, AL Weather and Climate Synopsis

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36 Hr. Forecast Map
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Weather Summary Hourly Observations Nowcast Agricultural Weather Outlook
7 Day Forecast Medium & Long Range Outlook Almanac Historical Facts





US Weekly Rainfall Departure



US Weekly Temperature Departure
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A joint service of the UK Ag Weather Center and the National Weather Service.


.SHORT TERM...
Today and Tonight.

We just saw the thin blue line pass through the office this morning 
as the cold front continues its journey south. We will see rain on 
both sides of the front today, but the most definite area will be in 
the north behind the front. Another shortwave will slide along the 
main trough. As it slides into the area, the bulk of the lift will 
be due to the isentropic flow north of the front. Light rain can be 
expected for a good piece of the morning and afternoon for areas 
generally along and north of the I-20 corridor. There will be quite 
a temperature range today behind and ahead of the front. Highs in 
the northwest will be in the low 60s while the southeast will be in 
the upper 80s. Areas right along the front will be in the 70s. 

The front will remain generally south of the I-20 corridor but north 
of the I-85 corridor through tonight with the best chances of rain 
once again across the north, generally before Midnight. There will 
still be some activity around overnight but not as widespread. Lows 
will be in the upper 40s to low 50s north to upper 60s in the 
southeast.

16

.LONG TERM...
Wednesday and Thursday.

Lingering effects from frontal passage (FROPA) will be felt on 
Wednesday in the form of light rainfall scattered across the 
forecast area through the evening. Northerly winds will continue to 
provide cold air advection and decreasing tropospheric moisture 
through Thursday as the center of high pressure in the Plains moves 
eastward to our north near the Ohio Valley. For now have placed 20-
30% PoPs in the forecast for Wednesday afternoon with decreasing 
coverage & southward progression through the evening as low-level 
confluent flow & isentropic ascent weakens. Temperature wise, 60s 
and 70s are expected for daytime highs with a few counties in the 
far southeast reaching the low 80s. Cool low temperatures Wed 
night/Thu morning where mid to upper 40s are likely across the 
north, increasing to upper 50s in the south under partly cloudy 
skies. Dry on Thursday with pleasant conditions & temperatures, 
highs in the mid 60s/upper 70s overall with a shift to easterly 
winds as high pressure to our north slides towards the East Coast.

Friday through Sunday.

After a brief break in the weather, another approaching trough & 
frontal boundary will enter the picture by Friday evening. A digging 
trough and cold air mass will move from south-central Canada and 
spill into the Northern Plains/Midwest before eventually moving 
southward into our region Saturday. With easterly flow in place, 
surface/low-level pre-frontal winds will veer with time giving a 
small window of warm air advection and increasing moisture. 
Frontogenetic forcing up through ~700mb will be in place across 
field of higher moisture availability (PWs ~1.6") and will likely 
develop areas of light to moderate rain Saturday afternoon. 
Instability looks to remain low, so have left thunder out of grids 
at this time though wouldn't be surprised to see areas in the 
southeast hear a few rumbles in heavier showers. Though isentropic 
ascent keeps a slight chance of light rain across the south, this 
system should move along fairly quickly with FROPA expected by 
Saturday evening. Subsidence will improve conditions thereafter with 
drier air and sunny skies on Sunday. Highs in the low 60s/low 70s 
expected by then.

Monday and Tuesday.

High pressure dominates weather conditions through the end of the 
forecast period. After drying out on Sunday, the beginning of the 
next work week appears to remain calm and pleasant as the jet stream 
pattern remains under a period of transition. Split flow is 
suggested in the extended with the Polar Jet amplifying back up into 
Canada by Tuesday. A persistent upper-level low near the Desert 
Southwest has been aiding in this configuration for the past several 
days. Marginal flow aloft will remain in place here with westerly H3 
sub-tropical jet stream winds ~50 kts. Pre-dominant easterly winds 
at the surface should keep daily our weather pleasant and dry 
overall with temperatures in the upper 60s/lower 70s under mostly 
sunny skies.

40/Sizemore


Alabama Forecast Discussion (NWS)
National Ag. Weather Outlook, International Ag. Weather Summary

Current Surface Map, [2nd Source TWC]

Click here for UKAWC Point Agricultural, Lawn & Garden Forecast/Outlook in case of corrupt tables.
Regional Hourly Observations For PERRY County
600 AM CDT TUE OCT 16 2018
CENTRAL ALABAMA
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BIRMINGHAM     CLOUDY    60  57  89 NE8       30.19S                  
MONTGOMERY     FOG       70  70 100 SW3       30.11R VSB 3/4          
SHELBY CO ARPT CLOUDY    65  61  87 N7        30.15R                  
MAXWELL AFB    FAIR      71  70  98 CALM      30.10R FOG              
GREENVILLE     FOG       70  66  87 N3        30.10S VSB 3/4          
SELMA            N/A     72  70  94 NW5       30.10S FOG              
PRATTVILLE     FAIR      69  69 100 CALM      30.10R                  
BESSEMER       CLOUDY    60  59  96 N9        30.17R                  
TALLADEGA      CLOUDY    65  64  96 N6        30.16R                  
PELL CITY      CLOUDY    64  64 100 N7        30.17R                  
MARION         CLOUDY    69  69 100 W9        30.11S                  
SYLACAUGA      CLOUDY    69  69 100 N3        30.14R                  

Current Temperatures, Dewpoint, RH, Wind, Regional Obs, Surface 4-Panel


Current Agricultural Weather Conditions in Alabama
Based on observations at 600am CDT, Tuesday October 16, 2018

Across Alabama...temperatures are near 54 degrees north, near 60 degrees central, and near 75 degrees south. Current sky conditions are light rain north, cloudy central, and fog south. In the north, relative humidity is near 86%, and the dew point is near 50 degrees. In the central part of the state, relative humidity is near 89%, and the dew point is near 57 degrees. In the south, relative humidity is near 100%, and the dew point is near 75 degrees. Visibility is less than one mile south. Winds are from the northeast at 5 mph north, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to light rain. Winds are from the northeast at 8 mph central, where conditions are favorable for spraying. Winds are from the east at 5 mph south, where conditions are not favorable for spraying due to fog. Based on current available observations, the highest temperature is 78 degrees at Brookely Field. The lowest temperature is 54 degrees at Decatur.


Current NOWCAST not available:
Nowcasts are not issued routinely during fair weather. Only when
precipitation or other significant weather is occuring in this county will these
forecasts be issued. Currently, there is no short term forecast in effect.

U.S. Radar Map, All NWS Radars (In near-real time), Current Livestock Heat Stress Index (LSI), Current Wind Chill Map
Hazardous Weather Outlook For PERRY County, AL

507 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

 DAY ONE  Outlook through Tonight.

Dense fog will reduce visibilities to less than one mile at times
through 9 am across the southeast. Areas impacted will generally be 
south of the cold front, or along and south of a Selma to Auburn 
line. 

 DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN  Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT  

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management is not
expected at this time.

NWS Severe Weather Map , Convective Outlook


7-Day Forecast For PERRY County, Alabama
630 AM CDT Tue Oct 16 2018

TODAY
Cloudy. Chance of showers early this morning, then isolated showers in the morning. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

TONIGHT
Cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the evening, then isolated rain showers after midnight. Lows around 60. North winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

WEDNESDAY
Cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers in the morning. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds around 5 mph.

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Lows around 60.

SATURDAY
Rain showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Cooler. Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 40s.

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

SUNDAY NIGHT
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.

MONDAY
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

12-48 Hr Surface Forecast Maps, TWC 4-Panel Surface Forecast, Fire Danger, Day 1 Precip, Day 2 Precip, Days 1-5 Precip, Severe Weather Pot.-Day 1, Day 2


Medium & Long Range Outlook For Alabama
                              ALABAMA                                                                     
                 ---------------------------------------------
                 6 TO 10 DAY  8 TO 14 DAY   30 DAY    90 DAY 
                   OCT 21-25    OCT 23-29    OCT       OCT-DEC                      
                 -----------  -----------  --------  ---------
   Temperature:      Below        Below                                            
 Precipitation:      Above        Above                                            

....  Medium and long range outlooks provided by NCEP/K. Thomas Priddy
5 Day Rainfall Forecast, 6 to 10 Day , 8 to 14 Day , Text, 30-Day Outook, 90-Day Outook, 120-Day Outlook
Almanac Information

Tuesday October 16, 2018 the 289th Day of Year

---------------------------------------------------
SUN
Declination -9.230000
Distance 0.999721 AU
Rise 07:54 EDT Set 19:13 EDT
Transit Meridian 13:33 EDT
Civil Twilight Begins 07:30 EDT Ends 19:37 EDT

Calculations made for central point in the state.
Time in ET -- and will vary due to location and
elevation -- Priddy


Historical Weather And Climate Facts For Today

/////////////////////////
OCTOBER 16TH
HISTORIC WEATHER EVENTS
...1780...
The most deadly Western Hemisphere hurricane on record raged across the 
Caribbean. It killed 22,000 people on the islands of Martinique, St. 
Eustatius, and Barbados. Thousands more died at sea. (NWS Louisville)
...1913...
The temperature in Downtown San Francisco soared to 101 degrees to equal
their record for October. (The Weather Channel)
...1925...
A family of tornadoes and downbursts moved over a 45 mile long path from 
Warren County through Edmonson County into Hart County. Two homes near 
Bowling Green were blown into the Barren River. A hotel was torn apart at 
Mammoth Cave National Park. (NWS Louisville)
...1937...
An unlikely winter-like storm produced as much as ten inches of snow in
Minnesota and Iowa.
...1987...
Ten cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for
the date. The low of 34 degrees at Augusta GA marked their third straight
morning of record cold. A cold front brought showers and thunderstorms to
parts of the central U.S. Lightning struck a bull and six cows under a tree
near Battiest OK. (The National Weather Summary)
...1988...
Late afternoon thunderstorms produced severe weather in southwestern Lower
Michigan and northern Indiana. One thunderstorm spawned a tornado north of
Nappanee IN which caused half a million dollars damage. Six cities in
California reported record high temperatures for the date. The afternoon
high of 100 degrees at Red Bluff CA was the latest such reading of record
for so late in the autumn season. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm
Data)
...1989...
Heavy snow blanketed the foothills of Colorado. Up to three inches was
reported around Denver. Echo Lake was buried under nineteen inches of snow.
Temperatures again warmed into the 80s and lower 90s in the eastern and
south central U.S. Thirteen cities reported record high temperatures for
the date, including Atlantic City NJ with a reading of 84 degrees. (Storm
Data) (The National Weather Summary)


Ag Weather Center, Department of Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering, University of Kentucky